Here’s our fantasy premier league form article where we provide the underlying stats over the last 5 and 10 games to show players and teams recent form.
fantasy premier league form – underlying stats form tables up to GW37
Here’s some tables I’ve done to look at underlying stats recent form.
People have different views as to what form constitutes. I think 4-6 games is way too short by itself and distorted by fixtures and one off performances so I’ve gone for the last 10 gameweeks with 5 gameweeks as a very recent form check.
I’ve taken all the information from the amazing free site understat.com.
Methodology
I’ve taken the last 5 and 10 gameweeks expected goals per 90 minutes (xG90) and expected assists per 90 (xA90) and turned them into projected FPL points over a hypothetical season. I’ve then adjusted it for the average minutes played per appearance in the last 10 gameweeks.
Average minutes can be distorted by sub appearances and injury returns but those are imperfections I will have to live with to make it a viable article time wise
I’ve also added a value for money column for Mids and Fwds where I’ve just taken the projected points and divided them by the players value.
For attackers there’s no appearance clean sheet or bonus points. Just raw attacking points. For defenders the same.
Just because a player is in the schedule doesn’t mean he is fit or a guaranteed selection.
You can see the schedules on the google spreadsheet here
Midfielders
The table is sorted by projected goal and assist only season FPL points adjusted for average minutes over the last 10 gameweeks. No adjustment for clean sheet, bonus or appearance points. Minimum minutes 360 over the last 10 and 180 over the last 5. n/a will mean they didn’t play the minimum minutes.
A notable absence’s are Anderson, Son and Ward Prowse who didn’t make the top 36 mids.
Forwards
The table is sorted by projected goal and assist only season FPL points adjusted for average minutes over the last 10 gameweeks. No adjustment for bonus or appearance points. Minimum minutes 360 over the last 10 and 180 over the last 5. n/a will mean they didn’t play the minimum minutes.
Ings didn’t make the 10 gameweek minutes cut off but was 10th in the 5 gameweek rankings.
Defenders
The table is sorted by attacking points only for projected season goal and assist FPL points adjusted for average minutes over the last 10 gameweeks. No adjustment for clean sheets, bonus or appearance points. n/a will mean they didn’t play the minimum minutes.
Team defence
The table is sorted by xG against over the last 10 gameweeks.
Rank | Team defence | Games | Goals Conceded | xG conceded |
1 | Manchester City | 10 | 2 | 4.26 |
2 | Liverpool | 10 | 7 | 7.48 |
3 | Everton | 10 | 5 | 7.65 |
4 | Leicester | 10 | 10 | 10.30 |
5 | Chelsea | 11 | 10 | 10.32 |
6 | Wolves | 10 | 10 | 12.09 |
7 | Manchester United | 10 | 17 | 12.65 |
8 | Newcastle United | 10 | 14 | 13.19 |
9 | Tottenham | 10 | 10 | 14.22 |
10 | Southampton | 10 | 18 | 14.94 |
11 | Burnley | 10 | 17 | 15.02 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 15 | 15.08 |
13 | Bournemouth | 10 | 17 | 15.70 |
14 | Brighton | 11 | 17 | 17.54 |
15 | Arsenal | 10 | 13 | 18.02 |
16 | Cardiff | 10 | 17 | 18.45 |
17 | Fulham | 10 | 16 | 18.81 |
18 | West Ham | 10 | 14 | 20.17 |
19 | Huddersfield | 10 | 25 | 21.82 |
20 | Watford | 10 | 20 | 22.07 |
Team attack
The table is sorted by xG over the last 10 gameweeks.
Rank | Team attack | Games | Goals | xG |
1 | Manchester City | 10 | 17 | 23.77 |
2 | Liverpool | 10 | 28 | 22.31 |
3 | Chelsea | 11 | 18 | 18.64 |
4 | Arsenal | 10 | 15 | 17.13 |
5 | Bournemouth | 10 | 15 | 17.12 |
6 | Manchester United | 10 | 13 | 16.95 |
7 | Leicester | 10 | 19 | 16.87 |
8 | Everton | 10 | 16 | 15.86 |
9 | Southampton | 10 | 16 | 15.77 |
10 | Wolves | 10 | 12 | 15.20 |
11 | Tottenham | 10 | 10 | 14.44 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 15 | 13.11 |
13 | Burnley | 10 | 13 | 11.45 |
14 | Newcastle United | 10 | 14 | 11.19 |
15 | Watford | 10 | 12 | 11.00 |
16 | West Ham | 10 | 13 | 10.81 |
17 | Fulham | 10 | 8 | 10.65 |
18 | Cardiff | 10 | 7 | 10.42 |
19 | Huddersfield | 10 | 7 | 9.20 |
20 | Brighton | 11 | 6 | 7.90 |
A form team
Here’s a form team I’ve put together looking at a combination of value for money and points potential. It does not take into account fixtures. The defence takes the top 7 form defence and then picks the attacking players by rank. Once the first 5 were picked the GKs were the 2 remaining. The value is around £102.5m
GW38 fixtures
Other stuff
See how the 10 top FPL managers I follow got on and the early FFGeek team thoughts
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