fantasy premier league form – underlying stats form tables up to GW5


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Here’s our first fantasy premier league form article of the season where we provide the underlying stats over the first 5  games to show players and teams recent form.

fantasy premier league form – underlying stats form tables up to GW5

Here’s the return of the tables I’ve done to look at underlying stats recent form.

People have different views as to what form constitutes. I think 4-6 games is way too short by itself and distorted by fixtures and one off performances so this season it will be for the last 10 gameweeks with 5 gameweeks as a very recent form check.  As we are only at GW5 though this is what I will show

I’ve taken all the information from the amazing free site understat.com.

Methodology

I’ve taken the last 5 gameweeks expected goals per 90 minutes (xG90) and expected assists per 90 (xA90) and turned them into projected FPL points over a hypothetical season. I’ve then adjusted it for the average minutes played per appearance.

Average minutes can be distorted by sub appearances and injury returns but those are imperfections I will have to live with to make it a viable article time wise

I’ve also added a value for money column for Mids and Fwds where I’ve just taken the projected points and divided them by the players value.

For attackers there’s no appearance clean sheet or bonus points. Just raw attacking points. For defenders the same.

Just because a player is in the schedule doesn’t mean he is fit or a guaranteed selection.

Values as of Tuesday 17/9

In each I’ve done the first 37.  If a player isn’t on there they either didn’t qualify through points or minutes

Midfielders

The table is sorted by projected goal and assist only season FPL points adjusted for average minutes over the last 5 gameweeks. No adjustment for clean sheet, bonus or appearance points. Minimum minutes 180 over the last 5.




fantasy premier league form

Notable players who didn’t qualify through points are

H Wilson (41), Fraser (42), McGinn (47), Zaha (61), Ceballos (85), Perez (91)

Forwards

The table is sorted by projected goal and assist only season FPL points adjusted for average minutes over the last 5 gameweeks. No adjustment for bonus or appearance points. Minimum minutes 180 over the last 5.

fantasy premier league form

Defence

The table is sorted by projected goal and assist only season FPL points adjusted for average minutes over the last 5 gameweeks. No adjustment for clean sheets, bonus or appearance points. Minimum minutes 180 over the last 5.  As clean sheets are a major factor in defenders points there is no value for money calculation.

Some notable absentees through not making the points cut are

Chilwell (39), Holebas (43), Van Aanholt (45), Van Dijk (50), Maguire (74), Pereira (89)

Team defence

The table is sorted by xG Against over the last 5 gameweeks.  I’ve also shown the difference between goals against and xG Against.  A positive figure is over performance .  A negative under performance.  Fabianski showing his shot stopping ability

TeamMGAxGAxGA-GA
1Manchester United543.31-0.69
2Leicester544.350.35
3Liverpool544.880.88
4Manchester City565.77-0.23
5Sheffield United566.170.17
6Everton576.32-0.68
7Brighton586.41-1.59
8Burnley576.47-0.53
9Crystal Palace566.660.66
10Tottenham566.860.86
11Chelsea5116.94-4.06
12Watford5107.19-2.81
13Southampton567.211.21
14Aston Villa567.411.41
15Wolves5107.47-2.53
16Newcastle United588.530.53
17Arsenal589.351.35
18Norwich5129.6-2.4
19Bournemouth5910.121.12
20West Ham5710.453.45




Team attack

The table is sorted by xG over the last 5 gameweeks.  I’ve also shown the difference between goals and xG.  A positive figure is over performance .  A negative under performance.   Mane has contributed half of Liverpools over performance

TeamMGxGG-xG
1Manchester City51614.171.83
2Liverpool51510.684.32
3Chelsea5119.591.41
4Manchester United588.76-0.76
5West Ham568.41-2.41
6Watford548.08-4.08
7Southampton557.65-2.65
8Sheffield United557.03-2.03
9Norwich596.932.07
10Tottenham5116.914.09
11Bournemouth586.831.17
12Brighton556.80-1.80
13Everton556.31-1.31
14Arsenal586.211.79
15Wolverhampton Wanderers565.940.06
16Leicester564.891.11
17Aston Villa544.85-0.85
18Burnley564.491.51
19Crystal Palace533.78-0.78
20Newcastle United543.150.85

The Fixture Ease schedules

Just in case you want to investigate a player or teams fixtures without having to go elsewhere

For attacking players

fantasy premier league form

For defenders

FPL best fixtures GW6

Other posts

GW5 review

Fixture ease article

bandwagons and sinking ships

Early thoughts on the FFGeek team

Analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers

Geek note: If you join our Patreon site you will get access to an FPL contributor tracker team which combines the contributors individual teams each week to show their favourite players, transfers and captains. It will always be completed on a Friday/Saturday in a normal gameweek. There will also be a spreadsheet of each managers teams, transfers and captains so you can drill down further.

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Joe’s interactive transfer planner and points projection tool

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