Here’s our first fantasy premier league form article of the season where we provide the underlying stats over the first 5 games to show players and teams recent form.
fantasy premier league form – underlying stats form tables up to GW5
Here’s the return of the tables I’ve done to look at underlying stats recent form.
People have different views as to what form constitutes. I think 4-6 games is way too short by itself and distorted by fixtures and one off performances so this season it will be for the last 10 gameweeks with 5 gameweeks as a very recent form check. As we are only at GW5 though this is what I will show
I’ve taken all the information from the amazing free site understat.com.
Methodology
I’ve taken the last 5 gameweeks expected goals per 90 minutes (xG90) and expected assists per 90 (xA90) and turned them into projected FPL points over a hypothetical season. I’ve then adjusted it for the average minutes played per appearance.
Average minutes can be distorted by sub appearances and injury returns but those are imperfections I will have to live with to make it a viable article time wise
I’ve also added a value for money column for Mids and Fwds where I’ve just taken the projected points and divided them by the players value.
For attackers there’s no appearance clean sheet or bonus points. Just raw attacking points. For defenders the same.
Just because a player is in the schedule doesn’t mean he is fit or a guaranteed selection.
Values as of Tuesday 17/9
In each I’ve done the first 37. If a player isn’t on there they either didn’t qualify through points or minutes
Midfielders
The table is sorted by projected goal and assist only season FPL points adjusted for average minutes over the last 5 gameweeks. No adjustment for clean sheet, bonus or appearance points. Minimum minutes 180 over the last 5.
Notable players who didn’t qualify through points are
H Wilson (41), Fraser (42), McGinn (47), Zaha (61), Ceballos (85), Perez (91)
Forwards
The table is sorted by projected goal and assist only season FPL points adjusted for average minutes over the last 5 gameweeks. No adjustment for bonus or appearance points. Minimum minutes 180 over the last 5.
Defence
The table is sorted by projected goal and assist only season FPL points adjusted for average minutes over the last 5 gameweeks. No adjustment for clean sheets, bonus or appearance points. Minimum minutes 180 over the last 5. As clean sheets are a major factor in defenders points there is no value for money calculation.
Some notable absentees through not making the points cut are
Chilwell (39), Holebas (43), Van Aanholt (45), Van Dijk (50), Maguire (74), Pereira (89)
Team defence
The table is sorted by xG Against over the last 5 gameweeks. I’ve also shown the difference between goals against and xG Against. A positive figure is over performance . A negative under performance. Fabianski showing his shot stopping ability
№ | Team | M | GA | xGA | xGA-GA |
1 | Manchester United | 5 | 4 | 3.31 | -0.69 |
2 | Leicester | 5 | 4 | 4.35 | 0.35 |
3 | Liverpool | 5 | 4 | 4.88 | 0.88 |
4 | Manchester City | 5 | 6 | 5.77 | -0.23 |
5 | Sheffield United | 5 | 6 | 6.17 | 0.17 |
6 | Everton | 5 | 7 | 6.32 | -0.68 |
7 | Brighton | 5 | 8 | 6.41 | -1.59 |
8 | Burnley | 5 | 7 | 6.47 | -0.53 |
9 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 6 | 6.66 | 0.66 |
10 | Tottenham | 5 | 6 | 6.86 | 0.86 |
11 | Chelsea | 5 | 11 | 6.94 | -4.06 |
12 | Watford | 5 | 10 | 7.19 | -2.81 |
13 | Southampton | 5 | 6 | 7.21 | 1.21 |
14 | Aston Villa | 5 | 6 | 7.41 | 1.41 |
15 | Wolves | 5 | 10 | 7.47 | -2.53 |
16 | Newcastle United | 5 | 8 | 8.53 | 0.53 |
17 | Arsenal | 5 | 8 | 9.35 | 1.35 |
18 | Norwich | 5 | 12 | 9.6 | -2.4 |
19 | Bournemouth | 5 | 9 | 10.12 | 1.12 |
20 | West Ham | 5 | 7 | 10.45 | 3.45 |
Team attack
The table is sorted by xG over the last 5 gameweeks. I’ve also shown the difference between goals and xG. A positive figure is over performance . A negative under performance. Mane has contributed half of Liverpools over performance
№ | Team | M | G | xG | G-xG |
1 | Manchester City | 5 | 16 | 14.17 | 1.83 |
2 | Liverpool | 5 | 15 | 10.68 | 4.32 |
3 | Chelsea | 5 | 11 | 9.59 | 1.41 |
4 | Manchester United | 5 | 8 | 8.76 | -0.76 |
5 | West Ham | 5 | 6 | 8.41 | -2.41 |
6 | Watford | 5 | 4 | 8.08 | -4.08 |
7 | Southampton | 5 | 5 | 7.65 | -2.65 |
8 | Sheffield United | 5 | 5 | 7.03 | -2.03 |
9 | Norwich | 5 | 9 | 6.93 | 2.07 |
10 | Tottenham | 5 | 11 | 6.91 | 4.09 |
11 | Bournemouth | 5 | 8 | 6.83 | 1.17 |
12 | Brighton | 5 | 5 | 6.80 | -1.80 |
13 | Everton | 5 | 5 | 6.31 | -1.31 |
14 | Arsenal | 5 | 8 | 6.21 | 1.79 |
15 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 5 | 6 | 5.94 | 0.06 |
16 | Leicester | 5 | 6 | 4.89 | 1.11 |
17 | Aston Villa | 5 | 4 | 4.85 | -0.85 |
18 | Burnley | 5 | 6 | 4.49 | 1.51 |
19 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 3 | 3.78 | -0.78 |
20 | Newcastle United | 5 | 4 | 3.15 | 0.85 |
The Fixture Ease schedules
Just in case you want to investigate a player or teams fixtures without having to go elsewhere
For attacking players
For defenders
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