Here’s our first fantasy premier league form article of the season where we provide the underlying stats over the first 5 games to show players and teams recent form.
fantasy premier league form – underlying stats form tables up to GW5
Here’s the return of the tables I’ve done to look at underlying stats recent form.
People have different views as to what form constitutes. I think 4-6 games is way too short by itself and distorted by fixtures and one off performances so this season it will be for the last 10 gameweeks with 5 gameweeks as a very recent form check. As we are only at GW5 though this is what I will show
I’ve taken all the information from the amazing free site understat.com.
I’ve taken the last 5 gameweeks expected goals per 90 minutes (xG90) and expected assists per 90 (xA90) and turned them into projected FPL points over a hypothetical season. I’ve then adjusted it for the average minutes played per appearance.
Average minutes can be distorted by sub appearances and injury returns but those are imperfections I will have to live with to make it a viable article time wise
I’ve also added a value for money column for Mids and Fwds where I’ve just taken the projected points and divided them by the players value.
For attackers there’s no appearance clean sheet or bonus points. Just raw attacking points. For defenders the same.
Just because a player is in the schedule doesn’t mean he is fit or a guaranteed selection.
Values as of Tuesday 17/9
In each I’ve done the first 37. If a player isn’t on there they either didn’t qualify through points or minutes
The table is sorted by projected goal and assist only season FPL points adjusted for average minutes over the last 5 gameweeks. No adjustment for clean sheet, bonus or appearance points. Minimum minutes 180 over the last 5.
Notable players who didn’t qualify through points are
H Wilson (41), Fraser (42), McGinn (47), Zaha (61), Ceballos (85), Perez (91)
The table is sorted by projected goal and assist only season FPL points adjusted for average minutes over the last 5 gameweeks. No adjustment for bonus or appearance points. Minimum minutes 180 over the last 5.
The table is sorted by projected goal and assist only season FPL points adjusted for average minutes over the last 5 gameweeks. No adjustment for clean sheets, bonus or appearance points. Minimum minutes 180 over the last 5. As clean sheets are a major factor in defenders points there is no value for money calculation.
Some notable absentees through not making the points cut are
Chilwell (39), Holebas (43), Van Aanholt (45), Van Dijk (50), Maguire (74), Pereira (89)
The table is sorted by xG Against over the last 5 gameweeks. I’ve also shown the difference between goals against and xG Against. A positive figure is over performance . A negative under performance. Fabianski showing his shot stopping ability
The table is sorted by xG over the last 5 gameweeks. I’ve also shown the difference between goals and xG. A positive figure is over performance . A negative under performance. Mane has contributed half of Liverpools over performance
The Fixture Ease schedules
Just in case you want to investigate a player or teams fixtures without having to go elsewhere
For attacking players
Geek note: If you join our Patreon site you will get access to an FPL contributor tracker team which combines the contributors individual teams each week to show their favourite players, transfers and captains. It will always be completed on a Friday/Saturday in a normal gameweek. There will also be a spreadsheet of each managers teams, transfers and captains so you can drill down further.
You also get:
Joe’s interactive transfer planner and points projection tool
Weekly podcasts with myself and the contributors
FFGeek private leagues
Access to the FFGeek Slack channel for discussion with the contributors and members
$2 and $3 tiers per calendar month. No commitment beyond 1 month
FFGeek league code codes:
fantasy premier league: fnqq66
Sky Sports fantasy football: fantasyfootball.skysports.com/leagues/join with PIN 8426114
Telegraph fantasy football: passcode 8693. PIN code 8000919. The telegraph have also offered a prize of £100 to the winner.
Telegraph fantasy football European Super League: League PIN: 8186902 League Passcode: 2113
Sun Dream Team:
Classic League PIN: SGDKX9Y3
H2H PIN: SGFU3CR9