fantasy premier league forward tips – player rankings for GW13


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Here’s our fantasy premier league forward tips article for GW13.  There’s a range of stats plus commentary on each player and their next 6 fixtures. This will help you choose the best transfer for your team

 fantasy premier league forward tips – player rankings for GW13

First it’s important to remember that each player is ranked as a transfer target for this week. So while we generally look at fixtures, form and underlying stats a player who’s away to Man City is going to be ranked lower than someone home to Huddersfield for example. If possible a transfer should have a good fixture first up.

Firstly there’s a table of stats. Then there’s a bit of brief commentary on each player and their next 6 fixtures.

This is the 4th player rankings article. I’ve also written a defenders and GKs player rankings article a budget midfielders article and a premium midfielders article

STATS DEFINITIONS

Fixt Ease: The ease of the mentioned fixture range from an attacking perspective. See our GW13 fixture ease article

Mins per FPL Pt. The amount of minutes a player takes to earn an FPL point. The shorter and obviously lower the number is the better

ATGS – the bookies anytime goalscoring odds for GW13.

xG and xA per 90 – the expected goals and assists per 90 minutes played from the better than excellent site understat.com. See our underlying stats summary for expected goal information on teams and players.

THE SCHEDULE




 fantasy premier league forward tips

KANE

No one is causing more agonising and division in FPL than Kane at the moment.  The last 2 blanks though have seen incredibly disturbing performances.  The fear that as soon as you sell him he will start bringing in double figure hauls and his overall good underlying stats mean a number of managers are keeping him.

However against Arsenal he didn’t look fit although he returned to score in the UCL midweek.

However it’s important to remember his goal threat xG is at the same level as last season when he scored 29 goals.  It’s also been delivered relatively consistently up to the last 2 performances.

However blanks at home to Burnley, Swansea, Bournemouth and Palace just aren’t acceptable no matter what underlying stats are produced.

It’s just whether you believe it will come right or whether you’ve got the “cojones” to quote Troy Deeney to set him free

West Brom (H)
Leicester (A)
Watford (A)
Stoke (H)
Brighton (H)
Man City (A)

Morata

8 goals and 4 assists in 9 starts and 2 part games for the Chelsea CF.  He’s returned in 5 of those 9 starts which is what you would expect for the price.

His underlying stats are good and he’s only really had 2 bad performances against Watford and Arsenal.

A great run of fixtures after the weekend as well is the big attraction.

 Liverpool (A)
Swansea (H)
Newcastle (H)
West Ham (A)
Huddersfield (A)
Southampton (H)

Lukaku

Lukaku did finally score in the Newcastle match putting his poor return run behind him. 8 goals and 3 assists in 12 90 minute starts isn’t a disaster but there are issues behind it.

There is a positive side though.  He has been consistent,  producing a goal or assist in 9 of his 12 starts.  Also his underlying stats against the lower placed teams (apart from the Huddersfield game) have been exceptional.  However he’s lacked that explosiveness that you want for the price and as a captain.  So far he’s only produced 2 double figure FPL point hauls.  If I wanted a 6 point captain only I could have captained Phil Jones!

He also seems to have a bonus problem only receiving them 3 times and on 2 occasions needing 2 returns in a game to get them.  Ibrahimovic back also could take minutes or force him wide for the last 20 or so.

2 good fixtures next and then it’s 2 tricky ones who could see a number of managers push the exit button

Brighton (H)
Watford (A)
Arsenal (A)
Man City (H)
Bournemouth (H)
West Brom (A)

Aguero

If Aguero were to start every game in the way that Kane and Lukaku do he would be top of this ranking by a country mile.  I’ve just discounted his ranking due to gametime risk.  Pep seems to want to play with a single striker and that means it will be guess work each week as to whether Aguero or Jesus plays.

Has to be questionable whether he will start in GW13 after playing 90 minutes in he UCL midweek and with Jesus on the bench.

Apart from that fantastic returns, fantastic underlying and also has pens.

Huddersfield (A)
Southampton (H)
West Ham (H)
Man Utd (A)
Swansea (A)
Spurs (H)

Jesus

What I said for Aguero you can say for Jesus.  He’s just not quite as fantastic.  Given he was on the bench and Aguero played midweek then he seems to be the favourite to start against Huddersfield

Huddersfield (A)
Southampton (H)
West Ham (H)
Man Utd (A)
Swansea (A)
Spurs (H)

Lacazette

6 goals and 1 assist in 10 games plus 2 as sub isn’t a disaster but it isn’t getting you rushing out to transfer him in that’s for sure.  The underlying stats are ok but nothing special.

Burnley (A)
Huddersfield (H)
Man Utd (H)
Southampton (A)
West Ham (A)
Newcastle (H)




Wilson

Featured in my bandwagons article this week.

A hat trick in his 2nd start is a pretty impressive way to come back from a long term injury.  It’s worth noting that it was a 5 shot hat trick.  Wilson is more about taking a view on his sustainable level of output and whether his minutes will be managed given the injury return, fixture congestion and back up strikers available.

Previous seasons would suggest his return level is questionable except in good runs of fixtures.

Certainly the next 4 are very good and if you’re going to roll the dice now is as good  a time as any (last week excepted)

Swansea (A)
Burnley (H)
Southampton (H)
Crystal Palace (A)
Man Utd (A)
Liverpool (H)

Vardy

Didn’t get so much as a sniff against Man City.  6 goals in 12 games for the Leicester striker is ok as you would just about describe his overall underlying stats. However the underlying stats and goals suggest that against sides that sit deep he has a problem scoring which is not an ideal trait.

 West Ham (A)
Spurs (H)
Burnley (H)
Newcastle (A)
Southampton (A)
Crystal Palace (H)

Firmino

 FPL owners must have been frustrated to see him score twice in the UCL after seeing him return 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 9 games.

His returns and underlying stats don’t really look like that of a striker.  More of a false 9

Chelsea (H)
Stoke (A)
Brighton (A)
Everton (H)
West Brom (H)
Bournemouth (A)

Rashford

At £7.6m he’s probably to close to the Pogba price to be an alternative to Lukaku.  His wide role has seen a pretty ordinary 3 goals in 9 starts and 3 sub appearances.  However he has added 4 assists and his returns per minute on the pitch are actually very good. In fact very close to Lukaku’s.

However minutes on the pitch will always be an issue and will make it difficult to get an adequate points return

Brighton (H)
Watford (A)
Arsenal (A)
Man City (H)
Bournemouth (H)
West Brom (A)

Benteke

This is just a fixture punt only as his form this season has been dreadful.  No goals or assists in 6 starts plus 1 sub appearance in GW12.  It didn’t help that he missed a sitter in those 15 minutes as well.  Underlying stats are poor to date and less than last season.  To make it worse last season at Palace he under performed them.

Stoke (H)
Brighton (A)
West Brom (A)
Bournemouth (H)
Watford (H)
Leicester (A)

Murray

There are few worse entry points for a transfer than away to Man Utd and some tough fixtures after that make this a difficult time to invest in the 34 year old striker.  Fixture congestion may also make him a rotation risk as well given that age statistic.

Has shown good form with his 4 goals in 6 starts.  Also has good underlying stats and pens. It’s just the tricky fixtures unless you are able to bench him for those

Man Utd (A)
Crystal Palace (H)
Liverpool (H)
Huddersfield (A)
Spurs (A)
Burnley (H)

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