Here’s our fantasy premier league GW1 captain choice article where we look at ways of assessing the best captain pick for the gameweek. We look at the fixtures, the bookies odds, the FPL advice site polls, who the FFGeek contributors are captaining, some stats and the FFGeek choice.
fantasy premier league GW1 captain choice
The Bookies Team win odds
Only 3 teams are heavy favourites this week:
Liverpool v West Ham £1.22 – Salah, Mane
Man Utd v Leicester £1.50 – Sanchez
Huddersfield v Chelsea £1.60 – ?
Interestingly Man City at Arsenal is £1.91
The Bookies player odds
Here’s a bookies anytime goal scoring odds:
£1.57 – Salah
£1.91 – Aguero, Firmino, Austin
£2.00 – Lukaku
£2.10 – Mitrovic, Sanchez,
£2.15 – Morata
£2.20 – Aubameyang, Jesus
The FPL advice site Polls
Here’s the FFGeek captain poll:
Unfortunately captain polls are a bit thin on the ground and I can only find 2 in addition to ours.
The FFGeek poll asks who will you captain. Site 1 asks for the best captain and site 2 is silent on the question.
|Site 1||FFGeek||Site 2|
The FFGeek contributors
Here’s the FFGeek contributors captain picks so far. I’ll update on Thursday late. The blanks are yet to be confirmed.
Salah home 17/18 against non top 6
I haven’t got last years FPL data so here’s the data from the excellent site transfer markt
So Salah averaged a goal a game and 0.43 assists per game against the non top 6 opposition. He scored or assists in 11 out of 14 games ie 79%
West Ham defence against top 6 sides away in 17/18
6 games 16 goals conceded with 4 conceded in 3 of the 6.
In theory they should be improved by the signings although whether they have had a chance to gel as a team will be the question.
Aguero away at top 6 teams in 17/18
So he scored in both games he played in although that was only 2 of 5 does tend to show the issues with owning Aguero
Arsenal defence at home against top 6 sides in 17/18
11 goals conceded in 5 games isn’t great to say the least. Whether a new manager, CB and CDM can make a difference remains to be seen
The Bookies make Liverpool the team most favoured to win in GW1 at £1.22
Salah is the favourite anytime goal odds by some distance at £1.57. Aguero is in the next group at £1.91
The captain polls make Salah a runaway favourite with 70% of managers on average saying they will captain him or he is the best captain. Aguero is next around 8%
The FFGeek contributors pretty unanimously say they will captain Salah.
The stats support Salah as having the better returns than Aguero in similar matches last season and West Ham being the worst of the 2 defences just in similar circumstances. Both defences could argue for 18/19 improvement with signings.
The FFGeek choice
It’s definitely Salah for me. Not only do the stats support it the ownership is so high and the captaincy % likely to be so high in his favour that anyone else is taking a big ranking risk
That’s it hope you found it useful.
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