Here’s our fantasy premier league GW13 tips article where we analyse the teams of 10 top FPL managers. These 10 managers have not finished outside the overall rank of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons. Considering how variable the last 3 years have been this is remarkable consistency and shows an ability to adapt strategy in different seasons. It also gives you a view other than my own on strategy and player selection. I’ve added a couple of new bits of analysis this week.
fantasy premier league GW13 tips – analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers
THE 10 MANAGERS STATS
This season we welcome back 4 of last seasons managers who were the subject of our article. We add to that a new 6 managers. Stats of these managers are unbelievable and every bit as impressive as last season
1. The overall average finishing overall rank of the top 10 managers in the last 3 seasons is 2,963
2. The top 10 FPL managers have not been out of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons (ie 30 times playing)
3. All 10 have finished in the top 1,000 in the last 3 seasons
GAMEWEEK REVIEW
A good week for the top 10 FPL managers. 8/10 had green arrows.
The average score of the managers in GW12 was 69 compared to the game average of 56. That’s 13 points and 23% above the game average score. High score of the 10 was 79. The low score was 52. A high spread of 27 for a fairly high scoring gameweek.
The average overall rank of the top 10 FPL managers saw an improvement to 338k compared to 459k in the last gameweek. An average rank improvement of 121k. The best overall rank is 110k and the lowest 570k. All 10 managers have overall ranks better than 1 million. 8 better than 500k.
The average points are 668.
The average value improved from £102.0m to £102.4m
If you’re interested my score was ok at 67 with no point hits and resulted in a 16k green arrow from 164k overall rank to 148k . I had a higher score than only 2 of the managers. I’m ahead in OR terms at the moment of 8/10 of the managers. My team value is up £0.5m on the last gameweek to £102.5m. My total points is 686. You can see my early thoughts on the FFGeek team article for GW13 which I’ll be doing next.
GK/DEFS BY PLAYER
Elliot is in 10/10 FPL managers teams
Daniels, Mee and S Ward in 5/10 FPL managers teams
Jones in 4/10 FPL managers teams
Pope, Fabianski, Foster, Naughton and Alonso in 3/10 FPL managers teams
GK/DEFS BY TEAM
Newcastle and Burnley GK/Defs are represented 13 times in the 10 FPL managers teams
Swansea GK/Defs are represented 7 times in the 10 FPL managers teams
Bournemouth and Chelsea GK/Defs are represented 5 times in the 10 FPL managers teams
Brighton, Man City and Man Utd GK/Defs are represented 4 times in the 10 FPL managers teams
MIDFIELDERS
Salah is in 9/10 FPL managers teams
Richarlison is in 8/10 FPL managers teams
Sterling, Silva and Carroll are in 5/10 FPL managers teams
Sane is in 4/10 FPL managers teams
Choupo Moting, Loftus Cheek and Gross are in 3/10 FPL managers teams
FORWARDS
Kane is in 10/10 FPL managers teams
Lukaku is in 4/10 FPL managers teams
Morata, Vardy and Aguero are in 3/10 FPL managers teams
GW12 CAPTAIN CHOICE
Kane was the captain in 6/10 of the FPL managers team
Lukaku was the captain in 3/10 FPL managers teams
Morata was the captain in 1/10 FPL managers teams
FORMATIONS
5/10 managers played 3-4-3 this week
3/10 managers played 3-5-2
1/10 managers played 4-4-2 and 4-3-3
WILDCARDS, TRANSFERS AND HITS
10/10 have now played their 1st wildcard.
None of the 10 have played their bench boost
0/10 have played their triple captain chip.
0/10 have played their free hit chip
In this round 2 managers took a 4 point deduction for an additional transfer
9/10 of the managers made a transfer.
Transfers in
Daniels was transferred in 5 times
Salah was transferred in 2 times
No one else was transferred in more than once
Transfers out
Davies was transferred out 3 times
Cedric was transferred out 2 times
No one was transferred out more than once
Man City Watch
I thought it would be useful to see how managers are dealing with Man City attackers
9/10 of the managers have 2 City attackers in their team. The other was just the 1
All possible combinations have been used. The only combination that is used more than once is D Silva and Sterling
Team structure of the 10 managers
I won’t go into huge detail here. You’ll see some examples coming up.
Defence – Most only have 1 premium expensive defender of around £5.5m or above . 3 teams have 2 and 1 has 3
Midfield – generally it’s split between 2 premium (above £8m) midfielders and 3 premiums. Then cheaper around the £6m and £5m.
Forwards – Only 3 teams have 3 premium (above £10m) up front. 6 have 2 premiums and then either a mid range or a cheapie.
What seems to have gone is the 3 premium strikers and the heavily invested defence.
FOCUS ON 1 MANAGERS TEAM
The celebrity manager we followed last season finished around the 20k mark so he’s not in the group this season. This season were going to focus on the manager each week who had the highest finish last season with an amazing overall rank of 15 believe it or not.
A bounce back score of 71 for this manager. He was the 5th highest scorer of the 10 and his rank is 330k. An improvement of rank of 63k from last weeks OR of 393k. His points total is 667. He’s the 5th ranked of the 10 FPL managers
It’s worth noting that this is a fairly typical structured team of the managers. 3-5-2. 2 premium strikers, 2 City midfielders although normally you’d then see Salah and Richarlison. 2 premium defenders then £4.5m ish defenders and then Pope and Elliot.
THE HIGHEST SCORER
His score was 79
Again a fairly typical team. 2 premium strikers. 2 City midfielders plus Salah and Richarlison. The only difference is that instead of a cheap 3rd striker he’s gone for Vardy and a light defence with no premium defenders
THE LOWEST SCORER
His score was 52. This 3 premium forwards team is in the minority. No Richarlison and 1 City midfielder is also uncommon. Hmmm who’s team does that remind you of?
The differences here again totally blow my theories on how teams have different scores through narrow margins
Only 3 of the 11 players were the same plus 2 defenders from Burnley but different players
As I mention above, I’ve often said that differences in scores in a gameweek come down to 1 of more of the following 3 things normally:
Defence – 9 points difference despite 1 less
Captain – 16 points difference
A few attackers – Here 4 of the 7 attackers were different with a net score difference of 2
So very different teams which is unusual but 2nd consecutive week we’ve seen it
THE TOP 10K OVERALL RANK VS THE FPL MANAGERS
Lets look at the differences in the teams
Player | 10k OR % | Managers % |
De Gea | 60 | n/a |
Courtois | 7 | n/a |
Fabiankski | 5 | 30 |
Pope | 5 | 30 |
Elliot | 5 | 100 |
Foster | n/a | 30 |
Azpilicueta | 39 | n/a |
Ward | 27 | 50 |
Mee | 23 | 50 |
Valencia | 19 | n/a |
Davies | 17 | 10 |
Stones | 15 | 20 |
Jones | 25 | 40 |
Otamendi | 15 | 20 |
Daniels | n/a | 50 |
Naughton | n/a | 30 |
Alonso | n/a | 30 |
Salah | 72 | 90 |
Sane | 44 | 40 |
Silva | 30 | 50 |
Richarlison | 28 | 80 |
Gross | 27 | 30 |
Eriksen | 23 | 10 |
De Bruyne | 22 | n/a |
Loftus Cheek | n/a | 30 |
Choupo Moting | n/a | 30 |
Sterling | n/a | 50 |
Carroll T | n/a | 50 |
Kane | 47 | 100 |
lukaku | 46 | 40 |
Aguero | 35 | 30 |
Morata | 31 | 30 |
Abraham | 25 | 10 |
Firmino | 15 | n/a |
Jesus | 15 | 20 |
Vardy | n/a | 30 |
Some huge differences between the top 10 managers teams and the current top 10k.
The top 10 managers favour more than the top 10k (using more than 30% as a significant difference):
Elliot, Richarlison, Kane, Daniels, Sterling, T Carroll
The top 10k favour more than the FPL managers (using more than 30% as a significant difference):
De Gea and Azpilicueta
The top 10k average score was 65 and the 10 FPL managers average score was 69.
All this information is from the excellent site FPL discovery
THE COMBINED TOP 10 FPL MANAGERS TEAM
Here I’ve tried to replicate a typical structure and players within my budget of £102.5m.
The template is 2 cheap GKs, 2 premium defenders and 3 cheapies. 2 City midfielders plus Salah and Richarlison. 2 premiums and 1 cheapie striker likely to be fluid in terms of it’s formation. However it would require a playing 3rd striker or 5th midfielder (which some have as Gross or Choupo Moting instead of Carroll) which has varied between managers
GW5 TOP 5 OVERALL RANK FOLLOW
You may have seen my recent articles on the top 5 overall ranked FPL managers as at GW5 who I contrasted with the start made by the top 10 managers in this article. In this section we’ll continue to monitor their progress
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