fantasy premier league GW13 tips – the bandwagons and sinking ships

bandwagons and sinking ships, Fantasy Premier League

Here’s our fantasy premier league GW13 tips article where we outline the bandwagons and sinking ships. These are the most transferred in players (bandwagons) and most transferred out players (sinking ships) so far in the FPL gameweek.

fantasy premier league GW13 tips – the bandwagons and sinking ships

Stats definition:

PP90: The FPL points per 90 minutes played for 18/19.

Av mins last 4: The average minutes played in the last 4 games. Coming on as sub or not being played for non injury related matters will count

Consistency: the number of times a goal or assist has been returned in a match as a proportion of the total starts.

ATGS/CS* odds GW13: Anytime goal scorer odds or clean sheet odds* for defenders for GW13.  ATGS odds aren’t available as I write this

Fixture ease: The fixture ranking by difficulty for GW13-18 and GW13-15. See our fixture ease article

Prices as of Tuesday 14 November

The Bandwagons

These are the 5 most transferred IN players so far in the gameweek.



 fantasy premier league GW13 tips

Martial

There was so much hope for Martial coming into this season.  When on the pitch last season he had a PP90 of 7.2 backed up by underlying stats that would have made him one of the top midfielders.  Having missed out on the France World Cup squad he was also fresh for the new campaign.  That was until he fell out with Mourinho over his maternity leave in the summer.  Prior to Gameweek 7 in the new season he had only started 1 game, played 105 minutes in total, had no returns and was producing underlying stats that a centre back would be ashamed of.

How things have changed in the 6 starts since then.  He’s scored 6 goals and 1 assist, returned in every game except 1 and the underlying stats, although still mixed, are starting to head back to where we expect.  In those 6 games he’s averaged 86 minutes and played 90 minutes 4 times.

He’s also a lethal finisher.  Since being at Man Utd he’s outperformed his expected goals by an eye watering amount.

Martial also has got pretty tasty fixtures to look forward to and seems to have nailed his preferred LW position in the front 3.

It’s hard to come up with negatives. Probably the only one is competition for places at Man Utd.  However with this current form it seems unlikely he’ll be replaced in the short term.

Crucially it’s worth stating that he is an injury doubt for GW13 which needs to be monitored before any transfer in.

Crystal Palace (H)
Southampton (A)
Arsenal (H)
Fulham (H)
Liverpool (A)
Cardiff (A)

Jimenez

The price and the next 2 fixtures are definitely a significant part of the attraction although, to be fair, his returns are good for the price and he’s been a consistent returner.  His underlying stats are ok but history shows him to be a pretty ordinary finisher which is the negative with an occasional tendency to be subbed off early

Huddersfield (H)
Cardiff (A)
Chelsea (H)
Newcastle (A)
Bournemouth (H)
Liverpool (H)

Aguero

The returns and the underlying stats are incredible.  The fact that he’s the only attacking player to have started every game for Man City is even more incredible given the quality of his understudy in Jesus.  The only negative is Pep’s habit of subbing him off early.  His average of 75 minutes is not ideal by any stretch.  It’s hard to see that improving given the fixture congestion coming.

West Ham (A)
Bournemouth (H)
Watford (A)
Chelsea (A)
Everton (H)
Crystal Palace (H)

Robertson

From an attacking point of view, on the face of it,  3 assists, 6th in the defenders ranking for them,  isn’t that impressive.  Also, Alonso, Digne, Doherty, Holebas and Trippier  have created more chances per 90 minutes than Robertson.

However, what has swung his way are clean sheet’s and bonus points.  Man City and Liverpool lead the PL with 7 clean sheets and only Alonso has more bonus points than Robertson’s 12.  That’s made him the 2nd highest FPL point scoring defender, also to Alonso.

However it may have just also been his clean sheet, assist and 3 bonus point performance vs Fulham which has given FPL managers a shove to get him this table.

Watford (A)
Everton (H)
Burnley (A)
Bournemouth (A)
Man Utd (H)
Wolves (A)

Alexander Arnold

Another Liverpool defender who saw a double figure FPL point haul v Fulham with a clean sheet and assist.

However when you compare him to Robertson, Alexander Arnold has less clean sheets, less assists, less bonus points and worse underlying stats.  You’d also say that he also is more easily replaced by Gomez than Robertson is by Moreno.  However there is the question of a significant price difference of £1.4m.  It’s whether you think those differences in performance are worth the saving.

Watford (A)
Everton (H)
Burnley (A)
Bournemouth (A)
Man Utd (H)
Wolves (A)

The Sinking Ships

These are the 5 most transferred OUT players so far in the gameweek.



 fantasy premier league GW13 tips

Trippier

The first 3 players in the sinking ships table appear to be primarily injury related although if you were thinking of jumping off the sinking ship that appears to be Trippier then Chelsea and Arsenal next is as good as most times to do it.

The Spurs RB withdrew from the England squad with a groin injury although, at the moment, there is nothing from the club stating whether that will affect his ability to pay in GW13.   Therefore,  I would have thought that is a monitor rather than an immediate sale for an injury reason alone.

Trippier is 3rd equal for defenders on the assist list with 4 and 6th in the bonus table for defenders with 8.  Spurs are 4th in clean sheets with 8.  Personally I think representation of a Chelsea, Man City and Liverpool defender is a priority over Trippier although the fixtures may turn it for some as they improve at GW15.

Chelsea (H)
Arsenal (A)
Southampton (H)
Leicester (A)
Burnley (H)
Everton (A)

Maddison

Another, at least part, injury related sale I would suggest.  The FPL site says that he has a knee injury with unknown return date.  That maybe true although Puel said before GW12 the following:

“[Maddison] felt something the day after the Cardiff game. It’s not too serious, but he will not play this game.”

That makes it sound far less significant than the FPL site does.

However prior to GW12 it was 4 games without a return which is always going to make managers twitchy.  For the price his returns though are ok and he does have set piece responsibility and an attacking midfield (sometimes central) position.  Despite the run of 4 blanks his last 3 lots of underlying stats were very good.  overall, though,  he lacks a goal threat despite shooting in quite high volumes from all over the place.

Brighton (A)
Watford (H)
Fulham (A)
Spurs (H)
Crystal Palace (A)
Chelsea (A)

Maguire

Maguire is also injured.  The FPL site says knee injury no return date and this is what Puel said

“Maguire is a Cardiff injury and it could be a few weeks. We will talk about his comeback after the international break when we have all the information about him.

He sounds less likely to see GW13 than Maddison that’s for sure.

The fixtures aren’t too bad but it’s possible that Maguire could be out until they turn more difficult.  I personally don’t think that Leicester’s clean sheet ability or his attacking ability warrants a price of £5.5m

Brighton (A)
Watford (H)
Fulham (A)
Spurs (H)
Crystal Palace (A)
Chelsea (A)

Pereyra

Pereyra’s returns aren’t that bad for the price and his average minutes are good.  Unfortunately 4 returning games in 12 is very inconsistent and although 2 of those were double figure FPL point hauls you still need to be lucky to own him at the right time.  Unfortunately the underlying stats don’t make you think this is just bad luck as he’s 28th in the table of 32 midfielders I’ve assessed.

The fixtures have also turned massively negative and Liverpool next is always a good exit point.

Liverpool (H)
Leicester (A)
Man City (H)
Everton (A)
Cardiff (H)
West Ham (A)

Mane

You look at Mane and initially things don’t scream sell.  He’s playing LW in a title chasing team.  Reasonably good returns for the price.  Not bad, if not great, underlying stats and plays 90 minutes most games having only missed 1 start this season through injury.

Then it hits you.  He’s only returned in 4 of 12 games.  That’s not what you pay nigh on £10m for that’s for sure.  Now all of those returning games were 10 FPL points or more but that brings a serious element of luck into when you own him.  That’s not helpful.

Add that to the fact that he blanked against the defensive disaster that is  Fulham and you’ve got a recipe for sales en masse.

Watford (A)
Everton (H)
Burnley (A)
Bournemouth (A)
Man Utd (H)
Wolves (A)

See also Andrew Ferguson’s teams. Andrew finished 715 OR last season.

Plus our fixture ease article,  early thoughts on the FFGeek team and the 10 top FPL managers article

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