fantasy premier league GW2 tips  – the bandwagons and sinking ships

bandwagons and sinking ships, Fantasy Premier League

Here’s our fantasy premier league GW2 tips article where we outline the bandwagons and sinking ships. These are the 4 most transferred in players (bandwagons) and 4 most transferred out players (sinking ships) so far in the FPL gameweek.

fantasy premier league GW2 tips  – the bandwagons and sinking ships

Geek note: If you join our Patreon site you will get access to an FPL contributor tracker team which combines the contributors individual teams each week to show their favourite players, transfers and captains. It will always be completed on a Friday/Saturday in a normal gameweek. There will also be a spreadsheet of each managers teams, transfers and captains so you can drill down further.

You also get:

Joe’s interactive transfer planner and points projection tool

Weekly podcasts with myself and the contributors

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Access to the FFGeek Slack channel for discussion with the contributors and members

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The Bandwagons

These are the 4 most transferred in players so far in the gameweek

Ederson

It’s pretty rare to see 2 goalkeepers in the top 4 transfers in but when you look down to the transfers out you’ll see that they are related to the massive transfers out of Allison due to his injury in GW1.  Ederson ,although not cheap, means that you get some cover of, what I think, is the best defence in the league.  You also do that without really having to miss out on attacking or bonus hogging options in the defensive lineup.  It also mitigates a large amount of rotation risk that comes with Pep.

The Man City defence against showed it’s strength against what I expect to be a strong attacking team in West Ham by only conceding 5 shots.  It’s just that you don’t get save or bonus points which you could get with a cheaper £4.5m GK.  When and if Mendy returns to the side fit and selected then the choice of Ederson does see a sacrifice of a significant attacking option.  The same could be said, potentially,  of new RB Cancelo if he breaks into the side.  These don’t appear to be immediate issues though.

Tricky fixture first up but after that they look good.

GW2 TOT (H)
GW3 BOU (A)
GW4 BHA (H)
GW5 NOR (A)
GW6 WAT (H)
GW7 EVE (A)

Sterling

A hat trick in4 shots.   3 goals and an xG of 1.59.  The man is the expert of the tap in and the one on one with the GK.

Last season he had the highest points per match in the game and returned a goal or assist in 61% of matches which makes him an ideal captain option.  His returns were no fluke as his underlying stats were excellent.  He was 2nd only to Salah last season in non penalty xG and 6th in xA for those FPL midfielders who played over 1000 minutes.  That combination of goalscoring and assisting is what makes him so consistent.

City have a tricky fixture next but after that they improve massively.

GW2 TOT (H)
GW3 BOU (A)
GW4 BHA (H)
GW5 NOR (A)
GW6 WAT (H)
GW7 EVE (A)

De Gea 

With  the clean sheet against Chelsea United are now half way to their home clean sheet total of 2 last season.  They totalled 7 clean sheets home and away in 18/19 with only Fulham and Huddersfield gaining less.

This season the signings of Wan Bissaka and Maguire will definitely make a difference and the Chelsea clean sheet was a good start.  There is some room for further investigation though and Chelsea hitting the woodwork twice, having 18 shots and United having an xG conceded of 1.34 doesn’t make the transformation of the poor defence of last season to an FPL £5.5m defence a slam dunk.

Whether I would choose De Gea over the bonus potential of Wan Bissaka or the attacking potential of Maguire for the same price is another question.  However they don’t plug an injured Alisson hole.

GW2 WOL (A)
GW3 CRY (H)
GW4 SOU (A)
GW5 LEI (H)
GW6 WHU (A)
GW7 ARS (H)

Rashford

2 goals and maximum bonus points for a 13 point FPL haul is going to get you transfers in.  Especially at £8.5m in a top 6 side when the other teams premium attacking options include Salah £12.5m, Aguero £12m, Aubameyang £11m, and Kane £11m.  Only Chelsea of the top 6 in Abraham offer a cheap forward and he’s unproven in the PL.

There is the issue of position and it seems that he and Martial will interchange the CF position.  The problem is that it seems when he is moved out wide in this interchange then he is expected to defend as we saw the problems v Chelsea when he stayed up the pitch.  There’s also the question as to how much we should read into this one performance.

It’s hard to really pin down Rashford’s underlying stats.  When he played CF last season his stats were ok and reflected the £8.5m price. Certainly with a more attacking approach and especially if he adds penalties to his armoury he looks a good investment.  It’s just the LW thing that’s not ideal.  His PPM was terrible in 18/19 at 3.9 although to be fair distorted by the 7 sub appearances and the multitude of positions played.

The Chelsea game is hard to read.  Chelsea defensively were a mess trying to press in a totally unstructured way and leaving themselves completely open to the counter attack.  Wolves away will be an interesting test for Manchester United’s attack given that Wolves won’t be the disorganised chaos that Chelsea were defensively.  Wolves will also want to play on the counter attack and will let Man Utd have the ball and say break us down.  That will also be an interesting test given that United have no real creator in the side apart from Pogba from deep.   There’s a definite reason why they wanted Eriksen.  After that the fixtures looks better

GW2 WOL (A)
GW3 CRY (H)
GW4 SOU (A)
GW5 LEI (H)
GW6 WHU (A)
GW7 ARS (H)



The Sinking Ships

These are the most transferred out players so far in the gameweek.

Alisson

Transferred out by 3 times more than anyone else after his injury v Norwich.  I’ve seen stuff estimating 4-6 weeks but this for what it’s worth is what Klopp is saying

“[It’s] not too cool. It’s a calf injury which takes him obviously out for a while.

I don’t want to make now [an] exact prognosis on when he will be back but it will not tomorrow for sure, so now then we have to see

“It takes a while, it takes a couple weeks for sure, and we have to see.

“I saw already like ‘six weeks’ and stuff like this, but Ali was not a lot injured in his career so I would like to wait a little bit to see how he develops in that process now, but he is not in for the next few weeks.”

The issue is that most FPL managers will have a non playing £4.0m back up GK so whatever the time frame is he needs to be out.  £4.5m Adrian will be the guy who replaces him and he becomes a real bargain if you don’t want to use your 3 Liverpool spots elsewhere.

The knock on effect on the strength of the defence is a tricky question.  Alisson had the highest save percentage of any GK so it’s definitely going to be an issue.  Adrian is no mug but he’s not Alisson that’s for sure.

GW2 SOU (A)
GW3 ARS (H)
GW4 BUR (A)
GW5 NEW (H)
GW6 CHE (A)
GW7 SHU (A)

Bernardo Silva

There was even more bemusement than usual when the Man City team sheet came out as Bernardo Sil was on the subs bench.  Even more surprising is that he failed to come off it.

Pep clarified this later by saying:

” Bernardo had done nothing wrong, but there was some little muscular problems.”

It does beg the question why he was on the subs bench in the first place but all this is made pretty irrelevant by the fact that Mahrez got 3 assists vs West Ham and is now going to be very hard to replace.  Now it’s possible that Bernardo could go into the midfield 3 and replace David Silva but £8.5m is a pretty expensive asset to have with a possible injury and potentially at risk of not coming back into the side.

Also there could be worse times to sell than with Spurs next.

GW2 TOT (H)
GW3 BOU (A)
GW4 BHA (H)
GW5 NOR (A)
GW6 WAT (H)
GW7 EVE (A)

Robertson

I imagine the combination of Robertson blanking from a defensive and an attacking point of view and the loss of Alisson to injury, decreasing future clean sheet probabilities was enough to push some FPL managers over the edge.

It does seem a little harsh on someone who had 12 assists last season in a team that got 21 clean sheets but Liverpool for whatever reason didn’t exactly inspire confidence defensively with Alisson vs Norwich let alone without him.  FPL managers may have forgiven Liverpool for their pre-season defensive frailties but when it actually means real FPL points there’s a tendency to be less forgiving.

GW2 SOU (A)
GW3 ARS (H)
GW4 BUR (A)
GW5 NEW (H)
GW6 CHE (A)
GW7 SHU (A)

Fraser

Blanked in a juicy home fixture vs a newly promoted team.  To make it worse he only 1 had shot and 1 key pass and they were pretty low value ones at that.

After a  14 assist and 7 goal season in 18/19 you’d think people would be a bit more forgiving considering it’s a newly promoted side next in Aston Villa,  Villa, after all,  faced a quite mind boggling 31 shots against Spurs in GW1.

However when you scratch the surface on Fraser there are some risk areas.  Firstly he’s over shot his xG by 67% for Bournemouth.  Now that’s a stat that would make even Hazard, who is a regular over performer, blush.  At least though he is Eden Hazard one of the worlds best.  Secondly last season his xA90 was 0.46.  Now that’s a better stat than David Silva, De Bruyne, Hazard, Eriksen.  In fact of players that played over 1000 minutes no one had better in the PL.  The thing is his 17/18 figure was 0.12 and the season before that 0.18.  Now even allowing for whatever ridiculous position Eddie Howe put him in over the years which limited that (including RWB) that’s some jump.  Has he somehow become the best creator in the Premier League or are we expecting some regression.  That’s what you need to decide.

GW2 AVL (A)
GW3 MCI (H)
GW4 LEI (A)
GW5 EVE (H)
GW6 SOU (A)
GW7 WHU (H)

Geek note: If you join our Patreon site you will get access to an FPL contributor tracker team which combines the contributors individual teams each week to show their favourite players, transfers and captains. It will always be completed on a Friday/Saturday in a normal gameweek. There will also be a spreadsheet of each managers teams, transfers and captains so you can drill down further.

You also get:

Joe’s interactive transfer planner and points projection tool

Weekly podcasts with myself and the contributors

FFGeek private leagues

Access to the FFGeek Slack channel for discussion with the contributors and members

$2 and $3 tiers per calendar month. No commitment beyond 1 month

Other posts

See our fixture ease article  10 top FPL managers article,  gameweek 1 review article and the early FFGeek team thoughts article.

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