So here’s our fantasy premier league GW21 tips article where we look at the alternative FFGeek teams. One is a bookies odds based team and the other a Shots on Target based team. It’s a good experiment to see how these prediction methods can make a successful team
FANTASY PREMIER LEAGUE GW21 TIPS – THE ALTERNATE FFGEEK TEAMS
THE BOOKIES TEAM
This is a team based on the anytime goal scoring odds of the bookies. It replaces the attacking player with the worst anytime goalscoring odds for the player with the best anytime goalscoring odds for the next game with no other factors taken into account. It does work within a basic team structure though and although I’m removing the 1 attacking player per premier league team. 2 transfers every 2 weeks except for injuries. . Captain is player with the best goal scoring odds
GW20 points: 57 (AV 49) overall rank: 275, 544 team value: £99.2
Here’s how they fared last week
A steady week with a green arrow of 1k. 2 transfers this week. Firmino out and Alli in (£3.60 ATGS odds vs £2.05) and injured Pickford out for Randolph £2.90 clean sheet as the best GK odds within the remaining budget. I kept Costa in despite the bust up rumours and made him captain as he has the best goal scoring odds
Here’s the lineup:
THE SHOTS ON TARGET TEAM
This is a team based on the Shots on Target underlying stat. This is widely thought to be the most accurate predictor of goals. The team transfer policy is to replace the attacking player with the worst Shots on Target stats for the player with the best Shots on Target stats with no other factors taken into account. I’ve tweaked the rules to allow more than 1 player from an attacking team. To me it seems the stat stands alone and not related to opposition like the bookies odds team. The disadvantage of this stat is that it takes a while for the data to build up to a reasonable sample size. Shots on target are assessed on a per minute basis rather than an aggregate basis. The captain choice is the highest ranked pollster
GW20 points: 57 (AV 49) overall rank: 499,812 team value: £99.7
Here’s how they fared last week
The transfer out this week was Antonio out for Stanislas in as Antonio’s season SOT’s are quite low whereas Stanislas’s are 8th. The other transfer was Costa out for Giroud in. Costa was 9th in SOT’s per minute just ahead of Lukaku in 8th. In went Giroud who’s 3rd. Aguero was first but too expensive to get in. Giroud is the highest ranked player in the team in the captain polls. Defenders were put in the team by Clean sheet odds
Here’s the lineup:
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FFGeek Leagues:
fantasy premier league League name www.fantasyfootballgeek.co.uk Code: 68142-27302
Sun Dream Team: name: FantasyFootballGeek League pin: D2T5ZCFN
Sky Sports fantasy Football League Name: FantasyFootballGeek PIN : 8226553
