fantasy premier league GW24 tips – the bandwagons and sinking ships

bandwagons and sinking ships, Fantasy Premier League

Here’s our fantasy premier league GW24 tips article where we outline the bandwagons and sinking ships. These are the most transferred in players (bandwagons) and most transferred out players (sinking ships) so far in the FPL gameweek.

fantasy premier league GW24 tips – the bandwagons and sinking ships

Stats definition:

PP90: The FPL points per 90 minutes played for 18/19.

Av mins last 4: The average minutes played in the last 4 games. Coming on as sub or not being played for non injury related matters will count.

Consistency: the number of times a goal or assist has been returned in a match as a proportion of the total starts.

ATGS/CS* odds GW24: Anytime goal scorer odds or clean sheet odds* for defenders for GW24.  ATGS stats not available as I write this.

Fixture ease: The fixture ranking by difficulty for GW24-29 and GW24-26. Our fixture ease article will be written after Thursday’s EFL Cup semi 2nd leg between Chelsea and Spurs

Prices as of Thursday 24 January.

The Bandwagons

These are the 5 most transferred IN players so far in the gameweek.




fantasy premier league GW24 tips

Rashford

So top of the transfers in for the 3rd gameweek running at the time of doing this article.  That’s not really surprising with 5 goals and 2 assists in 6 games since Solskajer took over and the CF position seemingly his own at the moment.  Those post Mourinho games are built on 6 games of very good underlying stats and he’s also shot 4.5 times per game in those matches.  That’s Aguero country and better than Kanes current running rate of 3.7.  Now to be fair the fixtures have on the whole been reasonably kind but it’s hard not to be anything other than impressed at the moment.

Pretty good fixtures to come as well.

Burnley (H)
Leicester (A)
Fulham (A)
Liverpool (H)
Crystal Palace (A)
Southampton (H)

Pogba

Pogba has been 2nd on the most transferred in twice in the last 3 gameweeks at the time of doing this article and the other time he was 3rd.  And again 5 goals and 5 assists in those 6 games, post Mourinho, it’s really no surprise.  Again like Rashford there isn’t 1 bad performance in there and it doesn’t seem to matter whether he’s a CM in a 4-3-3 or a CAM in 4-2-3-1.  If you think that Rashford has been impressive with 4.5 shots per game Pogba is just a whisker off 5 per game in those 6 matches.

As I also said above, pretty good fixtures to come as well.

Burnley (H)
Leicester (A)
Fulham (A)
Liverpool (H)
Crystal Palace (A)
Southampton (H)

Sane

The obvious conclusion when you watch Sane play is the guy stands out on the touchline for most of the game so how are you going to get any goals out of him?  However goals he does produce.  8 this season to add to his 11 assists.  Only 6 midfielders have scored more goals and when you consider he’s only played the equivalent of fourteen 90 minute games after 23 rounds that looks pretty good to me.  His goal threat underlying stats and his shooting volumes are also good.

However Sane has 1 problem on the horizon and that’s the return of left back Benjamin Mendy to fitness.  Since Mendy got injured after GW12, Sane has started every premier league game except 1.  Mendy started 9 of the 12 games before his injury.  Of those 9 Sane started 2.  That paints a pretty uncertain picture for Sane’s gametime going forward especially as Pep has used him so much up to this point since Mendy’s injury.

It’s worth nothing that as Man City are now in the EFL Cup final it’s likely their game in that week will be moved although it could potentially be moved forward as well as backwards. That will hopefully be known this weekend or soon after.   See our blanks and doubles article.

Newcastle (A)
Arsenal (H)
Chelsea (H)
Likely blank
West Ham (H)
Bournemouth (A)

Salah

9 goals and 3 assists in his last 8 games.  Playing CF, taking pens when Milners not on the pitch and it’s all backed up by excellent underlying stats including shooting and key pass volumes.

Leicester (H)
West Ham (A)
Bournemouth (H)
Man Utd (A)
Watford (H)
Everton (A)

Jota

A hat trick in GW23 and the fact that he played as Jimemez’s striker partner have brought the Wolves midfielder to the attention of FPL managers.  To be fair he had quite a bit of attention for GW1  but went off the radar with 8 games without a return.  Then followed as series of benchings and a hamstring injury.

He then returned to start at Man City in GW22 after which his hat trick followed against Leicester.

He’s hard to evaluate properly as he’s only played the last 3 as any sort of striker with most of the games being as a left sided forward in a 3-4-3.  However even on that data his stats are pretty good and if you look at my underlying stats article you’ll see that for the price only Duelofeu as a midfielder has better underlying stats and he’s benefited from a longer run as a striker.

However the fixtures are pretty good and the price isn’t prohibitive.  Midfielders playing strikers, assuming he continues that, don’t come along every day so that gives some credence to rolling the dice with him

West Ham (H)
Everton (A)
Newcastle (H)
Bournemouth (A)
Huddersfield (A)
Cardiff (H)

The Sinking Ships

These are the 5 most transferred OUT players so far in the gameweek.



fantasy premier league GW24 tips

Hazard

If you cost £11.0m and you blank in 4 consecutive games then you are going to be at the head of this table make no mistake.  Maybe if you’ve posted good underlying stats that there can be grace period on the basis that you’ve been unlucky.  Unfortunately for Hazard in terms of attacking output the last 4 games, apart from the Southampton 0-0, his underlying stats have been woeful.

Over the season however they are pretty exemplary.  Good xG and xA, good shot and key pass volumes .  Consistency of returns is good and he has penalties.  It’s just all of a sudden gone to pot.

One of the reasons put forward  has been his lack of suitability to the false 9/CF position he’s played.

To look at that theory here’s a table showing all those games this season where he’s started as a CF/false 9

fantasy premier league GW24 tips

As you can see everything has been good up until the last 2 games so it seems that it may not be the position that is Hazard’s problem.  Another theory is that the shutting down of Jorginho recently has been Chelsea’s overall problem which has filtered down to Hazard.  Higuain coming to allow Hazard to move back to his favoured left sided forward in a front 3 may not help as, although he improved in that position v Southampton, he was still woeful in his favoured position the week before v Palace.

The reason to hold may just be the next 2 fixtures unless the FA Cup 4th round and the EFL semi change the situation.

Bournemouth (A)
Huddersfield (H)
Man City (A)
Brighton (H)
Spurs (H)
Fulham (A)

Kane

Injured and not expected back until maybe GW31.  His replacement seems unclear with Llorente being poor v Fulham and some suggestion that Moura might play upfront.  We should have some more clues in the EFL semi 2nd leg.

Watford (H)
Newcastle (H)
Leicester (H)
Burnley (A)
Chelsea (A)
Arsenal (H)

Richarlison

Another player who’s blanked in his 4 despite the opposition being Brighton, Leicester, Bournemouth and Southampton.  However apart from the Southampton game where he was anonymous and subbed after 68 minutes the performances haven’t been bad at all and his underlying stats and in particular shot volumes have held up.

It would also take something for me to sell him before a game against Huddersfield next.

Huddersfield (A)
Wolves (H)
Watford (A)
Man City (H)
Cardiff (A)
Liverpool (H)

Anderson

Continuing the theme of blanking in the last 4 we have Felipe Anderson who has done just that.  Apart from the game against Arsenal where there was decent underlying output the rest of the games were poor from his point of view.  Personally I would question the worth of anyone who shoots and produces key passes both at less than 2 per 90 minutes played.  Anderson is underneath both these.  While he is undoubtedly a good finisher it is hard to push water uphill no matter how good you are.

A couple of tricky fixtures next as well.

Wolves (A)
Liverpool (H)
Crystal Palace (A)
Fulham (H)
Man City (A)
Newcastle (H)

Aubameyang

Aubaemyang is slightly better off in the sense that he’s only blanked in 3 of the last 4 games rather than 4 of the last 4 like some of the others above him in this article.  While he was quiet in 2 of those last 4 games 1 was against Liverpool where he was barely saw the ball.  I would say in the last 10 games those 2 games were the only quiet games he’s played in.

When his next game is against Cardiff at the Emirates where Cardiff conceded 3 goals on the back of 16 shots and an xG of 2.33 vs a pretty blunt Newcastle side then you have to question why anyone would be so desperate to sell.

Cardiff (H)
Man City (A)
Huddersfield (A)
Southampton (H)
Bournemouth (H)
Spurs (A)
Man Utd (H)

See also the teams of 10 top FPL managers who have finished in the top 10k for the last 3 seasons as well as the Geeks team and plans

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