Here’s our fantasy premier league GW31 captain choice article where we look at a number of ways of assessing the best captain pick for the gameweek. We look at the fixtures, the bookies odds, the FPL advice site polls, a load of stats and the FFGeek choice. We also show you the results of the transfer in and out poll and a how many GW31 players will you have Poll.
fantasy premier league GW31 captain choice – plus transfer and a GW31 players poll
If the article’s a bit long there’s a summary at the end
Here’s the fixtures for GW31:
BOOKIES WIN ODDS
The bookies see 1 team stands out as favourites with the following win odds for £1 invested. It’s likely the fantasy premier league GW31 captain choice will come from this team
Liverpool £1.85 – Salah, Firmino, Mane
THE BOOKIES PLAYER ODDS
Here we look at one of the bookies anytime goal scoring odds up to £3. I’ve tried to only put players in who have some gametime security although that doesn’t apply for Man City. It’s the return for £1 invested. Odds are as of Friday afternoon and remember they assume the player starts and don’t count assist potential.
£1.53 – Salah
£1.95 – Mane
£2.25 – Wilson
£2.62 – Mounie, Josh King
£3.00 – Rondon, Choupo Moting, Stanislas
THE FPL ADVICE SITE POLLS.
Thanks to everybody who voted in the FFGeek poll.
It’s also worth noting here that the FFGeek poll asks who you are going to appoint as captain to reflect the reality of the spread of captain choices. Others ask who is the best captain. Others just say captain poll and leave the question up to you. I also show how many vote so you can see how representative it is which some other polls don’t
Firstly here’s the FFGeek poll:
Here’s the summary of the other main FPL advice site polls. It’s worth noting that site 1 is the site with the most traffic and it asks who is the best captain
|Player||Site 1 %||FFGeek %||Site 2 %||Site 3 %|
If you want to see the full GW31 captain poll use this link
WHO ARE THE FFGEEK CONTRIBUTORS PICKING?
SOME THOUGHTS ON SALAH AND FIRMINO
Here’s Salah’s home games against non top 6 opposition:
Salah has started 9 home against non top 6 opposition games. He’s got a goal or assist in 8 of the 9 games against the non top 6 sides. There have been 5 double figure hauls.
In only 1 game his underlying stats were below a reasonable standard for a striker.
He should have penalty duties
Salah played no midweek games
Here’s Firmino’s home games against non top 6 opposition:
Firmino has started 9 home against non top 6 opposition games. He’s got a goal or assist in 5 of the 9 games against the non top 6 sides. There has been 1 double figure haul.
In 5 games his underlying stats were way below a reasonable standard for a striker.
Firmino played no midweek games
The Watford away defence
Away Watford are ranked 11th equal in goals conceded with 24. In expected goals away they are far better in 8th. The new manager joined for GW25.
There have been 3 comparable games away against top 6 sides for Watford
Rd 9 Chelsea 2-4 (xGA 1.78 and 14 shots 6 in the box)
Rd 22 Man City 1-3 (xGA 2.77 and 17 shots 14 in the box)
Rd 30 Arsenal 0-3 (xGA 2.38 and 11 shots 10 in the box)
Injuries in defence have plagued Watford. They are getting better but the situation is similar to all season. The reverse fixture was 3-3
The bookies have Salah at £1.53 and Firmino at £1.75
The Polls have Salah by what I think is a record distance. The 4 Polls average Salah at 78%
Salah should have pens.
The stats favour Salah massively
They are both facing the same defence which isn’t great but not the worst I’ve seen.
THE FFGEEK CHOICE
To me there is no decision to make. It’s Salah all the way. Impossible to go against such a highly owned player with who will be captained by so many. In any case the stats are night with Firmino and day Salah is miles ahead.
THE TRANSFER IN POLL
TRANSFER OUT POLL
HOW MANY GW31 PLAYERS WILL YOU HAVE
Fantasy Premier League: 5379-1967
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Sky: FFGeek 8310511