fantasy premier league GW31 tips – analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers


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Here’s our fantasy premier league GW31 tips article where we analyse the teams of 10 top FPL managers. These 10 managers have not finished outside the overall rank of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons. Considering how variable the last 3 years have been this is remarkable consistency and shows an ability to adapt strategy in different seasons. It also gives you a view other than my own on strategy and player selection.

FANTASY PREMIER LEAGUE GW31 TIPS – ANALYSING THE TEAMS OF 10 TOP FPL MANAGERS

If the article is too long there’s a template team for the top 10 FPL managers analysed towards the end of the article. I also state which player I think will hurt you if you don’t own them

THE 10 MANAGERS STATS

This season we welcome back 4 of last seasons managers who were the subject of our article. We add to that a new 6 managers. Stats of these managers are unbelievable and every bit as impressive as last season

1. The overall average finishing overall rank of the top 10 managers in the last 3 seasons is 2,963

2. The top 10 FPL managers have not been out of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons (ie 30 times playing)

3. All 10 have finished in the top 1,000 in the last 3 seasons




GAMEWEEK REVIEW

An mixed week for the top 10 FPL managers. 5/10 had green arrows.

The average score of the managers in GW30 was 40 compared to the game average of 41. That’s 1 point and 2% below the game average score. High score of the 10 was 45. The low score was 35. A low spread of 10 even for a low scoring gameweek.

The average overall rank of the top 10 FPL managers saw a worsening of rank to 238k compared to 233k in the last gameweek. An average rank worsening of 5k. The best overall rank is 24k and the lowest 913k.

The average total points are 1,701

The average team value dropped by £0.3m to £103.6m

If you’re interested my score was good at 59. It resulted in a 17k green arrow with my overall rank moving to 25k. I had a higher score than all 10 managers. I’m ahead in OR terms at the moment of 9 of the 10 managers. My team value has dropped to £102.6m. My total points are 1,768 pts. You can see my early thoughts on the FFGeek team article for GW31.

GK/DEFS BY PLAYER

Elliot is in 8/10 FPL managers teams

Van Dijk is in 6/10 FPL managers teams

Alonso and Mee are in 5/10 FPL managers teams

Ogbonna is in 4/10 FPL managers teams

Schindler, Naughton, Daniels and Kenny are in 3/10 FPL managers teams

GK/DEFS BY TEAM

Newcastle GK/Defs are represented 10 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Liverpool GK/Defs are represented 8 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Burnley defences are represented 7 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Swansea and Huddersfield GK/Defs are represented 6 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Chelsea GK/Defs are represented 5 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Everton, Bournemouth and West Ham defenders are represented 4 times in the FPL teams

MIDFIELDERS

Salah is in 9/10 FPL managers teams

Sterling and Walcott are  in 7/10 FPL managers teams

Shaqiri is in 6/10 FPL managers teams

T Carroll is in 3/10 FPL managers teams

Son, Mahrez, Choupo Moting and Eriksen are in 2/10 FPL managers teams

FORWARDS

Kane is in 10/10 FPL managers teams

Firmino is in 9/10 FPL managers teams

Wilson and Aguero are in 4/10 FPL teams

GW30 CAPTAIN CHOICE

Kane was the captain in 9/10 of the FPL managers teams

Aguero was the captain in 1/10 of the FPL managers teams

The top 10k Overall rank captained Kane 57% and Aguero 16% and Salah 15% (provided by FPL Discovery)

The FFGeek poll was Kane 68%, Aguero 14%

The FPL advice site with the most traffic was Kane 48%, Aguero 13%

FORMATIONS

6 managers played 3-4-3

2 managers played 3-5-2

1 manager played 4-4-2

1 manager played 4-3-3

WILDCARDS, TRANSFERS AND HITS

0/10 have now played their 2nd wildcard.

None of the 10 have played their bench boost

3/10 have played their triple captain chip.

1/10 played their free hit chip.

In this round 1 manager took a 4 point deduction for additional transfers.

5/10 of the managers made a transfer.

Transfers in

Schindler was transferred in 3 times

No one else was transferred in more than once

Transfers out

Dunk and Adrian were transferred out 2 times

No one was transferred out more than once

FOCUS ON 1 MANAGERS TEAM

The celebrity manager we followed last season finished around the 20k mark so he’s not in the group this season. This season were going to focus on the manager each week who had the highest finish last season with an amazing overall rank of 15 believe it or not. The 3 years before that his ranks were 5,529. 1, 550 and 759. Unbelievable.

fantasy premier league GW31 transfer tips

An poor score of 40 for the manager. He was the 6th highest scorer for the gameweek and his rank is now 361k. A worsening of rank of 4k from the last 2 gameweek rank of 357k. His points total is 1,659. He’s the 8th ranked of the 10 FPL managers.

THE HIGHEST RANKED MANAGER

I’ve decided to change this to just show you the team of the highest ranked manager

He scored 43 points and has an OR of 24k. His transfer was Schindler in and Dunk out. His last 3 years history are 3,874, 796 and 8,391

fantasy premier league GW31 transfer tips

THE TOP 10K OVERALL RANK VS THE FPL MANAGERS

Lets look at the differences in the 2:

GKs Top10k 10 FPL managers
de Gea 35 n/a
Pope 15 20
Fabianski 6 20
Pickford 6 10
Adrián 6 n/a
Ederson 5 n/a
Courtois 5 n/a
Elliot n/a 80
DEFs
Otamendi 49 20
Davies 40 20
Alonso 25 50
Azpilicueta 19 n/a
van Dijk 18 60
Robertson 24 20
Mee 14 50
Mbemba 9 20
Mariappa 9 n/a
Schindler n/a 30
Daniels n/a 30
Naughton n/a 30
Ogbonna n/a 40
Kenny n/a 30
MIDs
Salah 99 90
Sterling 28 70
Son 25 20
Shaqiri 36 60
Mahrez 21 20
Walcott 21 70
De Bruyne 17 10
Milivojevic 11 n/a
T Carroll n/a 30
FWDs
Firmino 76 90
Kane 75 100
Agüero 37 40
J Ayew 17 n/a
Vardy 15 n/a
Wilson 11 40
Murray 5 n/a

The top 10k favour more than the FPL managers (using more than 30% as a significant difference):

De Gea

The top 10 managers favour more than the top 10k (using more than 30% as a significant difference)

Elliot, Van Dijk, Mee, Ogbonna, Sterling and Walcott

The top 10k average score was 41 and the 10 FPL managers average score was 40.

All this information is from the excellent site FPL discovery

GW31 Players

Here’s how many GW31 players there are in each team.  I haven’t tried to comment on likelihood of playing.  It’s just number of players from the 8 teams

6,9,9,6,10,6,8,7,8,6

THE COMBINED TOP 10 FPL MANAGERS TEAM




This is the illustrative combines team for the top 10 managers if you like. It’s cost is around £101.0m.

 fantasy premier league GW31 TRANSFER TIPS

WHO COULD HURT YOUR RANK IF YOU DON’T OWN THEM

Using my rule of thumb of owned by 7/10 of the top 10 FPL managers or 70% of the top 10k then the following players are in that category:

Liverpool defence 8/10

Burnley defence 7/10

Salah – 9/10 plus 99%

Sterling – 7/10

Walcott –  7/10

Kane – 10/10 plus 75%

Firmino – 9/10 plus 76%

This is not saying you should own them just think carefully before you don’t

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1 thought on “fantasy premier league GW31 tips – analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers”

  1. Need some advice here:

    I am planning to use my free hit chip this week, but don’t want to do it until Friday as I understand the transfers can’t be undone/changed once submitted so I want to hold on and make sure the whole team is going to start.

    My question is, can I make a transfer to my current squad today (want to get Kane out avoiding another price drop) then activate my free hit later?

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