Here’s our fantasy premier league GW32 captain choice article where we look at a number of ways of assessing the best captain pick for the gameweek. We look at the fixtures, the bookies odds, the FPL advice site polls, a load of stats and the FFGeek choice. We also have alot of Polls around FPL managers chip usage
fantasy premier league GW32 captain choice – plus some remaining chip polls
If the article’s a bit long there’s a summary at the end
Here’s the fixtures for GW32:
BOOKIES WIN ODDS
The bookies see 4 team as favourites with the following win odds for £1 invested. It’s likely the fantasy premier league GW32 captain choice will come from this team
Man Utd £1.25 – Lukaku, Sanchez
Arsenal – £1.30 – Aubameyang
Man City – £1.36 – Jesus, De Bruyne, Silva, Sane
Liverpool – £1.50 – Salah, Firmino, Mane
THE BOOKIES PLAYER ODDS
Here we look at one of the bookies anytime goal scoring odds up to £2.40. I’ve tried to only put players in who have some gametime security although that doesn’t apply for Man City. It’s the return for £1 invested. Odds are as of Friday evening and remember they assume the player starts and don’t count assist potential.
£1.67 – Salah
£1.80 – Jesus
£1.95 – Firmino
£2.10 – Sterling, Sane, Mkhitaryan
£2.25 – Mane
£2.40 – Ozil, Sanchez, Vardy
THE FPL ADVICE SITE POLLS.
Thanks to everybody who voted in the FFGeek poll.
It’s also worth noting here that the FFGeek poll asks who you are going to appoint as captain to reflect the reality of the spread of captain choices. Others ask who is the best captain. Others just say captain poll and leave the question up to you. I also show how many vote so you can see how representative it is which some other polls don’t
Firstly here’s the FFGeek poll:
Here’s the summary of the other main FPL advice site polls. It’s worth noting that site 1 is the site with the most traffic and it asks who is the best captain
|Player||Site 1 %||FFGeek %||Site 2 %||Site 3 %|
WHO ARE THE FFGEEK CONTRIBUTORS PICKING?
If you want to see the full GW32 captain poll use this link
I know Joe and Alex are both wobbling and thinking of Aubameyang
SOME THOUGHTS ON SALAH AND AUBAMEYANG
Here’s Salah’s away games against non top 6 opposition:
Salah has started 10 away games against non top 6 opposition games. He’s got a goal or assist in 8 of the 10 games against the non top 6 sides. There have been 4 double figure hauls.
In only 3 games his underlying stats were below a reasonable standard for a striker.
He should have penalty duties. It’s worth noting he has a midweek UCL match v City so he could be at risk of being subbed if they get ahead significantly.
The Palace home defence
At home Palace are ranked 16th in goals conceded with 23. In expected goals away they are better in 11th.
There have been 3 comparable games away against top 6 sides for Palace
Rd 8 Chelsea 2-1 (xGA 0.65 and 15 shots 6 in the box)
Rd 20 Arsenal 2-3 (xGA 1.86 and 16 shots 10 in the box)
Rd 21 Man City 0-0 (xGA 1.10 and 15 shots 5 in the box)
Rd 28 Spurs 0-1 (xGA 1.65 and 14 shots 10 in the box)
Rd 29 Man Utd 2-3 (xGA 1.26 and 17 shots 8 in the box)
Injuries in defence been an issue but with Sakho back they should be stronger. The reverse fixture Palace lost 0-1
Here’s Aubameyangs home games against non top 6 opposition:
Aubameyang has started 2 home against non top 6 opposition games. He’s got a goal or assist in 2 of the 2 games. There has been no double figure haul.
His underlying stats were excellent in both games.
The Stoke away defence
Away Stoke are ranked 19th in goals conceded with 33. In expected goals away they are better in 16th.
There have been 3 comparable games away against top 6 sides for Stoke
Rd 8 Man City 2-7 (xGA 4.45 and 20 shots 12 in the box)
Rd 16 Spurs 1-5 (xGA 4.02 and 20 shots 12 in the box)
Rd 21 Chelsea 0-5 (xGA 3.10 and 21 shots 9 in the box)
Rd 23 Man U 0-3 (xGA 1.95 and 20 shots 12 in the box)
The reverse fixture was 1-0 to Stoke
The bookies have Salah at £1.67 and Aubameyang at £1.70
The Polls have Salah by a good distance.
Salah should have pens.
Salah has fantastic stats and to be fair so does Aubameyang but only for 2 games
The Palace home defence has been reasonably good. Stoke away have been terrible
THE FFGEEK CHOICE
So a tricky one. There’s no doubting how fantastic Salah has been and to be fair he’s done against the top 6 sides as well as the ones lower down. Aubameyang has started well and there’s no doubting his pedigree from Germany but he’s played 5 games and only 2 at home against non top 6 opposition.
However the standard of the Stoke defensive stats is appalling. Now that was all pre the manager Lambert but he’s yet to be tested as to whether he’s improved them against better sides.
I started this thinking I would definitely go with Salah but the Stoke defence has been so appalling that it has got me thinking. Also there is some risk of Salah being subbed if they get comfortably ahead v Palace
I’m going to sleep on it and tweet what I do tomorrow morning.
The other polls
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