fantasy premier league midfielder tips GW4 – player rankings


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Here’s our fantasy premier league midfielder tips GW4 – player rankings article. There’s a table of stats to help and a spreadsheet that can be filtered how you like.

fantasy premier league midfielder tips GW4 – player rankings

You can also see our GW4 forwards player rankings here

Methodology

Until there is a decent amount of data for the 19/20 season my rankings will be primarily based on historic performance.

I’ve picked a selection of midfielders who I think will start GW4 although where there is doubt it is mentioned in the commentary below.

I’ve then looked at their expected goals and assists data in 18/19 so far as well as how it relates to their historical numbers. After that I’ve then adjusted it for their ability to over/underperform, their bonus potential, their average minutes played and clean sheet points.

Stats definitions

FFG Proj PPG: The PPG going forward using the above methodology adjusted for minutes played as above. This figure is not fixture adjusted

FPL PPM 18/19: The points per match from the fantasy premier league website for 18/19

Consistency: the % of starts where the player has scored a goal or assist. Only appearance of 45 mins or more count

Projected minutes: The average minutes played using a base of what they did in the last 10 gameweeks of 18/19. However in some cases where I didn’t think that was representative going forward I’ve subjectively adjusted them.

Fixture ease: this is the fixture adjustment from my attacking players fixture ease schedule article.

VFM: That’s the points for 6 games divided by the price to give a value for money estimate.

PPM 19/20: self explanatory.

ATGS GW4: the anytime goal scorer bookies odds for GW4 for £1 invested.

The schedule ranked by projected points

Here is the link to the google spreadsheet. You can go to file>make a copy and then sort it how you like.

However, the schedule is ranked by my projected points over 6 gameweeks. That’s my projected points per game adjusted for fixtures over 6 weeks




fantasy premier league midfielder tips GW4

Template players

You may or may not know that I define the template players by   7 of the 10 top FPL managers I follow having a certain player in their team.  I will generally have that player in my team irrespective of my feelings about him as a way of negating the downward rank risk that occurs if you don’t own him.  I talk about this more in my early FFGeek team article.

That classification doesn’t affect the players ranking in this article, which is done purely by numbers.  However I will point them out in player rankings articles and you can take that for what it is.

There are 3 midfield template players in Sterling, Salah and Martial

Who’s not on the schedule

I didn’t put Pepe in.  I’d like to see him start v Spurs and then I’ll assess him.

Eriksen isn’t in pending all the transfer speculation and his on  off benching.  Pereyra is returning from injury.

Townsend, Willian, Gross and Iwobi are all gametime risks

Some cheapie options between £4.5-£5.0 ish million 

£4.7m Cantwell as an AM is definitely the best option.

Apart from him and Dendoncker at £4.5m there are really only CDMs available such as Douglas Luiz, Hayden and Stephens.

If you go to £5m you can get penalty taking Noble and Sheffield set piece man Norwood.

A fixture ease schedule for attacking players

Here’s a graphic where the teams are ranked by the ease of the defences they face over the next 6 gameweeks.




fantasy premier league best fixtures GW4

Other posts

The FFGeek captain poll

The FFGeek contributors show their teams for GW4 part 1

GW3 review from an underlying stats perspective

Analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers

The transfer in and out polls

Early thoughts on the FFGeek team

GW4 fixture ease article

See our GW4 bandwagons and sinking ships article

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Joe’s interactive transfer planner and points projection tool

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3 thoughts on “fantasy premier league midfielder tips GW4 – player rankings”

  1. Now that Martial appears to be out for GW4 in the least, what does that do to your transfer options you considered in your “Early Thoughts” article?

    I am considering Martial & Tielemans out and DeBruyne and Cantwell in (-4). City’s next three fixtures look very inviting but DeBruyne has trolled me before which worries me . And as you say, he does break up the team structure if you have Sterling and Salah. Cantwell is a solid bargain, but having Pukki and Cantwell strikes me as perhaps too much Norwich risk to take on. Perhaps the risk IS worth taking for three games knowing I can roll back into Martial and Mount in GW6 for free if I want.

    BTW, based solely on watching all three Leicester games this season, rating Tielemans ahead of Maddison seems misplaced because Tielemans is playing very deep and Maddison is more like a number ten.

    • Whats perez been like? Ive still got him clogging up my team, but contemplating a minus 4 for Mount.

      Also, theres no way im getting rid of Martial if he’s out for 1 gw.

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