fantasy premier league midfielder tips GW5 – player rankings


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Here’s our fantasy premier league midfielder tips GW5 – player rankings article. There’s a table of stats to help and a spreadsheet that can be filtered how you like.

fantasy premier league midfielder tips GW5 – player rankings

You can also see our GW5 defender and GK player rankings here

Methodology

Until there is a decent amount of data for the 19/20 season my rankings will be primarily based on historic performance.

I’ve picked a selection of midfielders who I think will start GW5 although where there is doubt it is mentioned in the commentary below.

I’ve then looked at their expected goals and assists data in 18/19 so far as well as how it relates to their historical numbers. After that I’ve then adjusted it for their ability to over/underperform, their bonus potential, their average minutes played and clean sheet points.

Stats definitions

FFG Proj PPG: The PPG going forward using the above methodology adjusted for minutes played as above. This figure is not fixture adjusted

FPL PPM 18/19: The points per match from the fantasy premier league website for 18/19

Consistency: the % of starts where the player has scored a goal or assist. Only appearance of 45 mins or more count

Projected minutes: Projected minutes per game going forward

Fixture ease: this is the fixture adjustment from my attacking players fixture ease schedule article.

VFM: That’s the points for 6 games divided by the price to give a value for money estimate.

PPM 19/20: self explanatory.

ATGS GW5: the anytime goal scorer bookies odds for GW5 for £1 invested.

The schedule ranked by projected points

Here is the link to the google spreadsheet. You can go to file>make a copy and then sort it how you like.

However, the schedule is ranked by my projected points over 6 gameweeks. That’s my projected points per game adjusted for fixtures over 6 weeks




fantasy premier league midfielder tips GW5

Template players

You may or may not know that I define the template players by 7 of the 10 top FPL managers I follow having a certain player in their team. I will generally have that player in my team irrespective of my feelings about him as a way of negating the downward rank risk that occurs if you don’t own him. I talk about this more in my early FFGeek team article.

That classification doesn’t affect the players ranking in this article, which is done purely by numbers. However I will point them out in player rankings articles and you can take that for what it is.

There are 3 midfield template players in Sterling, Salah and De Bruyne.

Who’s not on the schedule

The 3 players of note not on there are, firstly, Martial due to injury risk.

There’s also Daniel James and Cantwell.  That’s mainly due to the fact that they both had pretty ordinary statistical seasons in the Championship last season which makes it very difficult to adjust it to the premier league.  Their current underlying stats and output I would also suggest is not sustainable.  Therefore I’ve left them off and you just having to make a judgement from watching them

Some cheapie options between £4.5-£5.0 ish million

£4.8m Cantwell as an AM is definitely the best option.

Apart from him and Dendoncker at £4.5m there are really only CDMs available such as Douglas Luiz, Hayden, Stephens, Leitner and maybe Guendouzi if you’re willing to take the Emery selection risk.

If you go to £5m you can get penalty taking Noble and Sheffield set piece man Norwood.

A fixture ease schedule for attacking players

Here’s a graphic from my fixture ease article where the teams are ranked by the ease of the defences they face over the next 6 gameweeks.




fantasy premier league midfielder tips GW5

Other posts

Gameweek 4 review

The early FFGeek team thoughts

Analysing 10 top FPL managers teams

the fixture ease schdeule

The bandwagons and sinking ships

Defender and Goalkeeper player rankings

Prakhar Patel activates his wildcard

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7 thoughts on “fantasy premier league midfielder tips GW5 – player rankings”

  1. Hi. Thanx a lot. This info is always helping me out thinking about transfeers. The salah vs mane question, if salah is expected to beat Mane by 9p next 6 matches, surely salah is the one to bet on. Any thoughts?

  2. @Tommy – In a nutshell, yes.

    If you have the funds available, and no other areas of concern in your team, the stats, history, and the eye-test (for me at least) would indicate you should pick/bet on Salah over Mane.

    I believe those selecting Mane are doing so because they are confident they will get better point returns by spending the +£1m saving on other areas of their team (e.g. Lloris rather than a 4.5m GK).

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