fantasy premier league – “ones to watch” midfielders – GW7 Buy Hold or Sell


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Here’s the GW7 “ones to watch” for Midfielders on the Barclays fantasy premier league  in the buy hold or sell format for GW7.  This will give the best midfield players at a variety of price ranges using a range of stats to make my case

I’ve provided the following stats to support the player choices and to guide you in your decisions.  I’ve now moved this to this year:

1.  Goals and assists this year.   I’ve now started using this years stats although its very early to draw a picture

2.  Time per point scored this year.  This is how many minutes it takes for a Barclays fantasy premier league point to be scored over the course of last season.  The lower the better obviously.   I’ve now moved to this years stats

3.  Rotation risk.  High, medium or low.  High is the greatest risk of rotation.

4.  Fixture ease ranking:  The link is at the bottom of the article but essentially I’ve ranked all the teams by the ease of the first 6 fixtures.  The team with the best ranking ie 1 will have the easiest next fixtures of any of the fantasy premier league teams over the next 6 games.

5.  Consistency:  The % of times that the player got a goal or assist or 2 point minimum bonus  as a % of games played

6.  I’ve also ranked them in their categories as who I think is currently the best choice

Midfielders

1.  Michu (£9.0m) BUY 

  • Goals and assists:  2 goal 1 assist.  Time per point scored:  18.6 mins .  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 1st.  Consistency 3/6    50%

Tricky game next away to Saints which is why you might want to defer a buy for a week until the Sunderland home game but great fixtures (Sunderland and Fulham in the next 6) great underlying shooting and creating chances stats  and looks back to his best whether behind the striker or as one

Next 6 fixtures:

Southampton (A)
Sunderland (H)
West Ham (H)
Cardiff City (A)
Stoke City (H)
Fulham (A)

2.  Ramsey (£6.4m)  BUY

  • Goals and assists:  4 goals 2 assists.  Time per point scored:  11.7  mins .  Rotation risk: medium.   fixture ease ranking: 11th.  Consistency 4/6    66%

The man leading the way for the fundamental shift in fantasy premier league in the box to box midfielder continues on his way to ripping up all our original theories.  He doesn’t play in an advanced position and he doesn’t generally provide assists.  Last year he scored 1 goal and he’s never scored more than 3 in a season.  He certainly never featured as having any consistent shooting stats.  However here he is leading the way of all midfielders with 4 goals and 2 assists already.  At the moment he does have good shooting stats but certainly not enough to warrant the goals scored.  However his ability to get forward on the break is crucial but he also seems to have the awarenness of space in the structured attacks of home games.  I’m still not sure he can continue it but the box to box midfielder seems to be here to stay given that he is leading the points table with YYT.  If you own him I don’t even need to say don’t sell him and I’ve seen enough of the way Arsenal are structured attacking wise and how he gets forward to say he’s a buy. There are 3 tricky fixtures at the end of the next 6 and  on the face of it the next game away to WBA seems a tricky fixture but given Arsenals ability to counter attack I don’t believe there’s such a thing as a difficult away game.  He’s a buy.

Next 6 fixtures:

West Brom (A)
Norwich (H)
Crystal Palace (A)
Liverpool (H)
Man Utd (A)
Southampton (H)

3.  Ozil (£10.5m) BUY

  • Goals and assists:  0 goals 4 assist.  Time per point scored:  11.1 mins .  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 11th.  Consistency 2/3    66%

Didn’t return in the Swansea game although should have scored when in a good one on one situation with the keeper.  Did score in the Champions league last night though.  You cant deny the stats so far 3 games and 22 points.  He has virtually all the set pieces including free kicks and his delivery is excellent.  He has the ideal positioning behind Giroud and is an absolutely world class player and probably the leading assist provider in world football.  Its just whether that’s enough.  As I said Silva a couple of years ago is the only precedent for an assist dominated player to be a major fantasy premier league player but we are talking world class here.  if you own him definitely don’t sell him.  If you want to buy him now before the 3 games at the back of the 6 and the fixtures get hard is the time to buy him.

Next 6 fixtures:

West Brom (A)
Norwich (H)
Crystal Palace (A)
Liverpool (H)
Man Utd (A)
Southampton (H)

4.  Siggy (£7.1m) BUY

  • Goals and assists:  3 goals 0 assist.  Time per point scored:  11.1 mins .  Rotation risk: high.   fixture ease ranking: 10th.  Consistency 2/5    40%

Got into the team on the left of the attacking 3 and has shown the scoring ability that he had in the season before last when he was with Swansea.  has some gametime risk with Chadli now fit but does have that ability to get into the area and score.  Nows the time to buy with 3 good fixtures before they turn difficult

Next 6 fixtures:

West Ham (H)
Aston Villa (A)
Hull City (H)
Everton (A)
Newcastle (H)
Man City (A)

5. Eriksen (£8.2m) HOLD

  • Goals and assists:  0 goals 1 assist.  Time per point scored:  22.6  mins .  Rotation risk: medium.   fixture ease ranking: 10th.  Consistency 1/3   33%

Hasn’t matched his initial promise and was taken off after 69 minutes against Chelsea.  The emergence of the £7.1m Siggy has given him competition for our fantasy premier league teams given Siggys goal scoring record.  He does have the basic ingredients though of playing centrally behind the striker with a good assisting and goal scoring record and has been a quality player for some time.  At the moment his underlying stats show’s he’s creating chances at a rate per minute with the best of them but not really showing any shooting form.  Unless you’ve got transfers to burn I would hold on for the next 3 reasonable games and then  either Everton A in GW10 or Man City A  in GW12 provides a natural selling point

Next 6 fixtures:

West Ham (H)
Aston Villa (A)
Hull City (H)
Everton (A)
Newcastle (H)
Man City (A)

6.  Oscar (£8.7m)  HOLD

  • Goals and assists:  2 goals 0 assists  Time per point scored:  15.5 mins .  Rotation risk: medium.   fixture ease ranking: 8th.  Consistency: 2/6   33%

Didn’t return against Spurs and has a low consistency return rate.  Coupled with the possible re-emergence of Mata as the number 10 after a very good performance against Spurs this does call into question his future role.  A good couple of fixtures there before man city at home means I personally would hold on if I owned him to see what developed but I wouldn’t be buying with the Mata situation at the moment

Next 6 fixtures:

Norwich (A)
Cardiff City (H)
Man City (H)
Newcastle (A)
West Brom (H)
West Ham (A)

 7.  HBA (£7.5m) HOLD

  • Goals and assists:  2 goals 1 assist.  Time per point scored:  15.6 mins .  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 15th.  Consistency 2/6    33%

Looked a threat against Everton but lack of defence doesn’t help him in Pardew’s eyes.  Doesn’t have any consistency and if I owned him I would give him one more chance playing Cardiff in GW7 before the Liverpool game in GW8

Next 6 fixtures:

Cardiff City (A)
Liverpool (H)
Sunderland (A)
Chelsea (H)
Tottenham (A)
Norwich (H)

Budget midfielders

1.  Barkley (£5.3m) BUY –   Looks certan to hold his place as the CAM behind Lukaku where they even now seem to have an understanding

2.  Amalfitano  (£5.0m) BUY – looks a real quality player on his showing so far which have produced 2 goals and an assist in his firt 3 games.  Fixtures aren’t easy but looks a real threat

3.  Whittingham (£5.1m) HOLD –   Has set pieces and pens and shown a good return with 1 goal and 2 assists in 6 games.

Brady (£5.3m) SELL –    Injured and out for 4 weeks.  There is  an international break so if you have the depth hold on because he definitely is one of the better budget midfielders

 

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12 thoughts on “fantasy premier league – “ones to watch” midfielders – GW7 Buy Hold or Sell”

  1. Think Brady should be sold by all.. his value is going to go down with others selling.. and all of them should buy Amalfatino (Coz I have him in my team and want his price to go up! :P)

    Anyways, great site! I think this will become one of my “go to” regulars for news..

    I have Michu in my team.. Should I buy siggy just for this week and then back to Michu again? I don’t think he’ll be able to do much against this Sou defense..

    • Wouldn’t sell Brady. He will miss 2 or at most 3 games, 2 of which are tricky away games where he’d be most likely on your bench anyway. And going by the NTI so far, his relatively low ownership and the red flag slowing down his drops I don’t think he’ll go down by more than 0.1 or 0.2 which he’ll gain back quickly.

  2. i already transfered Nolan out for sigurdsson. is it worth taking a -4 hit for Soldado out and Lukaku in? Already have suarez and giroud.

  3. Bit concerned at not owning Ramsey given 1.2m do and he keeps scoring. But I already have 3 Arsenal players (Gir, Ozil, Kosc). Is it possible Ramsey becomes one of those must-own players a la Bale last year or can I sit this out?

  4. A good question, Dan, especially as you’d be looking really at getting rid of Ozil or you’d be doubling up in midfield. Unless that’s another piece of the Fantasy success rulebook that goes out of the window this season?

    Wonder how many own the whole trio of cheap, well-performing midfielders: Brady, Barkely and Ramsey?

    • Hi sorry no some times I just run out of time for the sunday games – sorry. Hope you get to see some games. i hear TV coverage is a little sparse in NZ

      good luck this weekend

  5. Is it just me, or is the volume of transfers each week much higher than in previous years? Ramsey, as of Wednesday evening, has over 200k transfers in this week! I realize he’s on fire and can be added with great value, but this is unreal. I swear most of the big pick- ups for a player who performed well the previous week last season would on average be around 100k during the week. It also seems like owners are taking more chances and sacrificing 4 or more points to keep up the value of their teams rather than making one transfer a week, which may also account for the higher volume.

    • Hi tracy, good observation. i think the injury situation and the price rises has also forced people to use their WCs which is fuelling the situation as well

      Cheers

    • Hi I think he is a definite sell its just when. personally I’m leaving it until after the Norwich game with a swap for Michu who plays Sunderland. I cant see YYT continuing. He only got 6 last year can he keep putting in the free kicks I’m just not sure

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