fantasy premier league – “ones to watch” midfielders – GW9 Buy Hold or Sell

Fantasy Premier League, Player Rankings

Here’s the GW9 “ones to watch” for Midfielders on the Barclays fantasy premier league  in the buy hold or sell format for GW9.  This will give the best midfield players at a variety of price ranges using a range of stats to make my case

I’ve provided the following stats to support the player choices and to guide you in your decisions.  I’ve now moved this to this year:

1.  Goals and assists this year.   I’ve now started using this years stats although its very early to draw a picture

2.  Time per point scored this year.  This is how many minutes it takes for a Barclays fantasy premier league point to be scored over the course of last season.  The lower the better obviously.   I’ve now moved to this years stats

3.  Rotation risk.  High, medium or low.  High is the greatest risk of rotation.

4.  Fixture ease ranking:  The link is at the bottom of the article but essentially I’ve ranked all the teams by the ease of the first 6 fixtures.  The team with the best ranking ie 1 will have the easiest next fixtures of any of the fantasy premier league teams over the next 6 games.

5.  Consistency:  The % of times that the player got a goal or assist or 2 point minimum bonus  as a % of games played

6.  I’ve also ranked them in their categories as who I think is currently the best choice

Midfielders

1. Ramsey (£6.9m) BUY

  • Goals and assists:  5 goals 3 assists.  Time per point scored:    11.2 mins .  Rotation risk: medium.   fixture ease ranking: 11th.  Consistency 4/7   62.5%

1 good fixture to come at Palace before 3 tricky ones for the box to box sensation.  Having never scored more than 3 fantasy premier league goals in a season he’s already scored 5 in 8 games. Having never got more than 6 assists he’s already got 3. The goals are on the back of ok shooting stats but certainly not enough to justify 5 and he’s not even registering on the creating chances schedule. However, sometimes you’ve just got to go with the form and Ramsey certainly has that. My feeling is that he wont continually be able to buck the underlying stats but for the moment, especially with Palace next, he’s a buy. If you haven’t got him definitely do it this week though, don’t leave it another.

Next 6 fixtures:

Crystal Palace (A)
Liverpool (H)
Man Utd (A)
Southampton (H)
Cardiff City (A)
Hull City (H)

2.  Ozil (£10.7) BUY

  • Goals and assists:  2 goals 4 assists.  Time per point scored:  10.9 mins .  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 11th.  Consistency 3/5    60%

Despite not really scoring many goals historically and having very few shots since he joined Arsenal Ozil went for 2 shots and 2 goals against Norwich and its now an incredible  2 goals and 4 assists in 5 games.  Plays high up the pitch supporting Giroud and has the ability to unlock defences like no one else.  I’m still unsure if he will do much apart from assists and whether that alone will justify his price but with Palace next he still remains a buy.  Arsenals real test will come after that though when they play Liverpool H and Man Utd A .  Its still a BUY for me

Next 6 fixtures:

Crystal Palace (A)
Liverpool (H)
Man Utd (A)
Southampton (H)
Cardiff City (A)
Hull City (H)

3. Hazard (£9.0m) BUY

  • Goals and assists:  2 goals 3 assists.  Time per point scored:   14.4  mins .  Rotation risk: medium.   fixture ease ranking: 7th.  Consistency 3/8   38%

Back with 3 goals and an assist in his last 2 games.  Definitely not the most consistent though and a  real home ground bully against poorer teams. Has got reasonable underlying stats shooting and creating chances wise but up to 2 gameweeks ago wasn’t showing any output. Its now 3 goals and 2 assists from 8 games which is certainly respectable. better fixtures too. I would probably leave buying until after the City game but he is now a buy option for me even if the home games are trickier than the away games

Man City (H)
Newcastle (A)
West Brom (H)
West Ham (A)
Southampton (H)
Sunderland (A)

4.  Oscar (£9.0m)  HOLD

  • Goals and assists:  4 goals 0 assists  Time per point scored:  13.0 mins .  Rotation risk: medium.   fixture ease ranking: 7th.  Consistency: 4/8   50%

Really does know how to score with goals in his last 2 despite having very little shooting stats.  If he can hold on to the number 10 position then he has a good chance to keep scoring.  A case of going with form at the moment.  If you’re planning on buying then I personally would leave until after the City game

Next 6 fixtures:

Man City (H)
Newcastle (A)
West Brom (H)
West Ham (A)
Southampton (H)
Sunderland (A)

5.  Silva (£9.3m) BUY

  • Goals and assists:  3 goals 2 assists.  Time per point scored:  13.0  mins .  Rotation risk: medium.   fixture ease ranking: 17th.  Consistency 4/5   80%

The  main real creative force in midfield for City and coming back straight into the team despite how well Nasri has played shows Pellegrini’s view of him.  Few tricky fixtures and I would probably buy after the Chelsea game but in great consistent form.  Good shooting and creating chances per minute to back up the returns

Chelsea (A)
Norwich (H)
Sunderland (A)
Tottenham (H)
Swansea (H)
West Brom (A)

6.  Michu (£9.0m) BUY 

  • Goals and assists:  2 goal 1 assist.  Time per point scored:  21.2 mins .  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 3rd.  Consistency 3/8    38%

For Swansea to get 4 goals and for Michu to not return was truly shocking and its now 3 games in a row with no returns.  Unfortunately it wasn’t bad luck as he was very quiet.  However he has historically shown the ability to score against the lower teams and his fixtures are now very juicy.  Plus his underlying shooting stats are as good as anyone.  I’m still showing faith

Next 6 fixtures:

West Ham (H)
Cardiff City (A)
Stoke City (H)
Fulham (A)
Man City (A)
Newcastle (H)

7.  Lallana (£6.2m) BUY

  • Goals and assists:  2 goals 2 assists.  Time per point scored:  13.9  mins .  Rotation risk: low   fixture ease ranking: 4th.  Consistency 4/8   50%

Returned in his last 4 although 4 blanks before that and its now 2 goals and 2 assists in his first 8.  Also played 90 minutes twice in a row after being subbed in all the first 6 games.  Has all the attributes of a midfielder for fantasy premier league but without the underlying stats at the moment.   Gets high up the pitch in the penalty area centrally so is consistently in a position to return.  Is also the midfield leader of pressing high up the pitch so often gets the ball back in dangerous attacking positions.  The watchout is that he was like this last year though and was a disappointment.  However a worthwhile punt given a good run of fixtures (albeit interrupted by Chelsea and Arsenal) coming.  Its definitely a punt but for me worth it.  If youre going to take a punt though now is te time to do it with Fulham at home next

Next 6 fixtures:

Fulham (H)
Stoke City (A)
Hull City (H)
Arsenal (A)
Chelsea (A)
Aston Villa (H)

 

8.  Mirallas (£7.2m) HOLD

  • Goals and assists:  3 goals 2 assists.  Time per point scored:  18.1  mins .  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 18th.  Consistency 3/8   38%

has slipped under the radar with 3 goals and an assit in his last 4 after a start which saw 4 blanks.  A goal and assist at home to Hull landed what the underlying stats are suggesting would happen. He’s only returned in 3 of his 8 games but is creating chances and getting good scoring opportunities. Fixtures are a bit mixed but there are some good ones and some tricky ones. At the moment I think he’s definitely a planned buy for the Palace game in GW11 and I would probably think of him as a hold until then.
Aston Villa (A)
Tottenham (H)
Crystal Palace (A)
Liverpool (H)
Stoke City (H)
Man Utd (A

 9.   Siggy (£7.3m) HOLD

  • Goals and assists:  3 goals 0 assist.  Time per point scored:  12.7 mins .  Rotation risk: high.   fixture ease ranking: 16th.  Consistency 2/7    29%

After scoring 3 goals in 2 matches its now 2 without a return and 2 60 minute substitutions.  Does know how to score that’s for sure but again shooting stats aren’t that great.  I think that it’s not worth selling before a home game against Hull so I would hold on until after that.  At that stage there are 3 difficult games in 4 and a good time to sell if he’s disappointing in that game

Next 6 fixtures:

Hull City (H)
Everton (A)
Newcastle (H)
Man City (A)
Man Utd (H)
Fulham (A)

 

10. Eriksen (£8.1m) HOLD

  • Goals and assists:  0 goals 1 assist.  Time per point scored:  23.1  mins .  Rotation risk: medium.   fixture ease ranking: 16th.  Consistency 1/4   25%

The only reason he’s not a sell is that the next game is a home game to Hull.  Unsurprisingly dropped against Villa considering its 1 assist in 4 games and no sign of any underlying stats.  I think he will play though as AVB will want him to open up the Hull defence rather than Holtby who’s more combative.  However if Eriksen starts in the Europa league that’s a bad sign and fantasy premier league managers may want to sell.  For me its one more game before I sell especially with the games to follow after Hull

Next 6 fixtures:

Hull City (H)
Everton (A)
Newcastle (H)
Man City (A)
Man Utd (H)
Fulham (A)

11. Nani (£7.4m) BUY

  • Goals and assists:  0 goals 0 assists.  Time per point scored:  32.8  mins .  Rotation risk: high   fixture ease ranking: 14th.  Consistency 0/4   0%

Ok you probably think I’ve gone totally mad and it is a punt I grant you given that he hasn’t returned in the last 3 games that he’s start consecutively.  Didn’t play last night which suggests he will play this weekend and his creativity seems to be liked by the manager.  The reason I’m putting him in is that he has shown some really good shooting and creating chances stats which just haven’t been converted.  Although last year was a disaster, in the 2 seasons prior to that he amassed 17 goals and 30 assists at a fantasy premier league point every 13.4 minutes which is nothing short of phenomenal.  So he does have the ability that’s for sure and now he has 3 fixtures in the next 4 to show it.  However it is a pretty risky move I grant you

Next 6 fixtures:

Stoke City (H)
Fulham (A)
Arsenal (H)
Cardiff City (A)
Tottenham (A)
Everton (H)

 

 

Budget midfielders

1.  Barkley (£5.7m) BUY –   Now seems to have cemented his place as the CAM behind Lukaku where they seem to have established an understanding

2.  Amalfitano  (£5.2m) BUY – looks a real quality player on his showing so far which have produced 2 goals and 2 assists in his first  5 games.  Fixtures aren’t that great  but looks a real threat

3.  Whittingham (£5.1m) HOLD –   Has set pieces and pens and shown a reasonable return with 1 goal and 2 assists in first 8 games.

4.  Brady (£5.2m) HOLD –   A pen and set piece punt in a side that will struggle to score any other way

5.  Januzaj (£4.9m) BUY – A punt given the competition for his place but one with a significant upside given his 2 goal haul against Sunderland and worth taking in my mind

6.  R Morrison (£4.5m) BUY – started the last 4 games which have resulted in 2 goals and now looks a good cheapie option

7.  Kasami (£4.5m) BUY – Played the last 5 which is unbelievable in the tinkering mad world of Martin Jol.  Scored a wonder goal against Palace.  is in a struggling team but seems to have s0me gametime security and worth a punt

 

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