fantasy premier league season end forwards – player rankings for forwards


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Here’s our fantasy premier league season end forwards article where we give our final forward player rankings for the 19/20 season. There’s a table of information and discussion on some players of interest

fantasy premier league season end forwards – player rankings for forwards




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Methodology

I’ve ordered the players by their underlying stats ranking when I convert their xG and xA over the season into FPL points for goals and assists. That figure is adjusted for the average minutes played over the last season.  Players with current penalty responsibility get that included in their stats.  Those currently without eg Rashford don’t

Stats definitions

Form s/10/5. These are the form rankings for season, for the last 10 gameweeks and the last 5 game weeks. They are the average minutes adjusted rankings once the xG and xA are converted into FPL points. The lower the number the better the ranking.

Av minutes: The average minutes played over the season. Non appearances aren’t counted.

PPM – the fantasy premier league sites points per match.

VFM: A Value for Money calculation by dividing the theoretical season goal and assist points by the players value. The higher the better.

The schedule ranked by forwards underlying stats over the season  

Here is the link to the google spreadsheet. You can go to file>make a copy and then sort it how you like.  800 minimum minutes required.




fantasy premier league season end forwards

Comments on a few players

Jesus and Aguero

If Aguero could average anything like a 90 minutes he would be unstoppable.  Unfortunately rotation and early substitutions see his average minutes at 61.  Even with that limitation he’s still ranked 3rd but on these minutes he really doesn’t look value for money.  Jesus is similar but 2nd ahead of Aguero.  Jesus has problems, apart from minutes, in putting the ball in the net which Aguero doesn’t.

Tammy Abraham 

It was a surprise to me that Abraham continued to post such good underlying stats.  There’s alot of potential there if he can regain his starting place.  Has some finishing issues though which could be a limitation

Aubameyang

Considering the price he should be way higher than he is.  Had a season of phenomenal finishing against a history of pretty ordinary finishing.  Take your pick of how that will go next season.

Kane

Improved massively after lockdown.  Lethal finisher, has pens.  Spurs 12th ranked in xG terms and injury history is my worry though.

Danny Ings

As for Aubameyang.  Phenomenal finishing against a history of pretty ordinary finishing.  Take your pick of how that will go next season.

Iheanacho, Mousett, Sharp and Adams

All have potential for decent returns next season if they can get the minutes.

Firmino, Jimenez and Calvert Lewin

All had worrying drops in returns not related to minutes at the end of the season.  At least Jimenez has pens.

Mason Greenwood

Had an expected goals total of 3.39 vs 10 goals scored which explains his lowly ranking plus the season average minutes of 42.  No player had a bigger gap between the 2. Not even Ings and Aubameyang.  Greenwood hits the ball very hard and is an obvious natural finisher.  I suspect the price and other Man Utd options will  dictate his FPL ownership rather than his underlying stats when the eyes vs stats are so different.

 

Other posts

The FFGeek season review

Andrew Whitfield season review

Costas Chari end of season review

A deep dive on the FFGeek Contributors

Final wrap up of the 10 top FPL managers

Rob Reid’s season review

Rob Reids overview of the Promoted Teams

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