Here’s our fantasy premier league season end forwards article where we give our final forward player rankings for the 19/20 season. There’s a table of information and discussion on some players of interest
fantasy premier league season end forwards – player rankings for forwards
I outline my FPL strategy along with 10 other FFGeek contributors in our new EBook.
Join the FFGeek FPL Patreon site
* access to the FFGeek Contributor tracker team incl live transfers (52k OR)
* Weekly podcasts
* Joe’s interactive transfer planner & team incl live transfers (32k OR)
* imaginary wildcard articles
* Slack channel access
$2 & $3 tiers.
No commitment beyond 1 calendar month
https://www.patreon.com/fantasyfootballgeek
Methodology
I’ve ordered the players by their underlying stats ranking when I convert their xG and xA over the season into FPL points for goals and assists. That figure is adjusted for the average minutes played over the last season. Players with current penalty responsibility get that included in their stats. Those currently without eg Rashford don’t
Stats definitions
Form s/10/5. These are the form rankings for season, for the last 10 gameweeks and the last 5 game weeks. They are the average minutes adjusted rankings once the xG and xA are converted into FPL points. The lower the number the better the ranking.
Av minutes: The average minutes played over the season. Non appearances aren’t counted.
PPM – the fantasy premier league sites points per match.
VFM: A Value for Money calculation by dividing the theoretical season goal and assist points by the players value. The higher the better.
The schedule ranked by forwards underlying stats over the season
Here is the link to the google spreadsheet. You can go to file>make a copy and then sort it how you like. 800 minimum minutes required.
Comments on a few players
Jesus and Aguero
If Aguero could average anything like a 90 minutes he would be unstoppable. Unfortunately rotation and early substitutions see his average minutes at 61. Even with that limitation he’s still ranked 3rd but on these minutes he really doesn’t look value for money. Jesus is similar but 2nd ahead of Aguero. Jesus has problems, apart from minutes, in putting the ball in the net which Aguero doesn’t.
Tammy Abraham
It was a surprise to me that Abraham continued to post such good underlying stats. There’s alot of potential there if he can regain his starting place. Has some finishing issues though which could be a limitation
Aubameyang
Considering the price he should be way higher than he is. Had a season of phenomenal finishing against a history of pretty ordinary finishing. Take your pick of how that will go next season.
Kane
Improved massively after lockdown. Lethal finisher, has pens. Spurs 12th ranked in xG terms and injury history is my worry though.
Danny Ings
As for Aubameyang. Phenomenal finishing against a history of pretty ordinary finishing. Take your pick of how that will go next season.
Iheanacho, Mousett, Sharp and Adams
All have potential for decent returns next season if they can get the minutes.
Firmino, Jimenez and Calvert Lewin
All had worrying drops in returns not related to minutes at the end of the season. At least Jimenez has pens.
Mason Greenwood
Had an expected goals total of 3.39 vs 10 goals scored which explains his lowly ranking plus the season average minutes of 42. No player had a bigger gap between the 2. Not even Ings and Aubameyang. Greenwood hits the ball very hard and is an obvious natural finisher. I suspect the price and other Man Utd options will dictate his FPL ownership rather than his underlying stats when the eyes vs stats are so different.
Other posts
Andrew Whitfield season review
Costas Chari end of season review
A deep dive on the FFGeek Contributors
Final wrap up of the 10 top FPL managers
Rob Reids overview of the Promoted Teams
For more fantasy premier league season end forwards articles follow FFGeek on twitter and facebook and instagram for article updates and news