fantasy premier league team selection tips – FFGeek 3rd draft team


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fantasy premier league

Here’s the weekly update on where my fantasy premier league team is for GW1 at the moment.  I’ll talk through the changes, selections issues and my watchouts over the next 2 weeks of pre-season. 

fantasy premier league team selection tips – FFGeek 3rd draft team

Firstly it’s worth stating that the team will undoubtedly change over the next couple of weeks leading into GW1.  So just take it as a moment in time.

Also there’s no Aguero or Sanchez due to the Copa America making it unlikely they will start in GW1

Thirdly I’m probably going to use my first wildcard after GW4 but the team is being set up to give flexibility so I dont need to.  I’m also planning on using the 3 chips in the 2nd half of the season so thats also not an issue for the moment.

Ok so here’s the latest team with the changes explained below:

fpl..preseason3

 

The Changes

£4.0m Crystal Palace GK Hennessey in for £4.0m Norwich GK Rudd

I’m sticking to my £4.5m Myhill being my only GK despite the fixtures.  I believe in Tony Pulis’ defence home and away so don’t feel the need for a rotation GK option. I will have to change it when Foster comes back in October and no one likes wasting a transfer changing a GK but so be it.   Hennessey is £4.0m and rumoured to being bought by WBA so if I’m going to have a non playing £4.0m GK then it may as well be one who’s potentially going to be Myhills back up at least to Foster returns

£4.5m Bournemouth Def Francis in for £4.0m A Villa def Baker

The Bournemouth RB is the most attacking of the Bournemouth defenders and seems secure gametime wise.  Bournemouth had a reasonable defensive record in the Championship.  I’ve lost faith in any £4.0m defender coming through so I’ve adjusted my team accordingly

£4.5m Leicester def Huth in for  £4.5m Leicester def Morgan

There is some doubt about Morgan starting the season so I’ve swapped him for his CB partner Robert Huth who if anything has more attacking potential

£7.0m Spurs mid Chadli in for Swansea £7.5m mid Sigurdsson

Merely the result of the Francis upgrade on Baker.  Chadli was a frustrating player last season having big scoring bursts  followed by times out of the side.  His lack of pressing is the reason why Pochettino seems unconvinced but Chadli did start the last 12 games of last season scoring 4 goals in the process.  He did have 3 substiutions in the late 70 mins and 3 in the 60’s which isn’t ideal though.  His minutes per FPL point is 15 which is pretty impressive its just can he get on the pitch and stay on it.  For the price I think he’s worth the gamble.  The fixtures after the Man Utd game aren’t that bad.  Although as you saw against Chelsea in Spurs 5-3 win where he got a goal and an assist he can get points againts anyone.

Man Utd (A)
Stoke (H)
Leicester (A)
Everton (H)
Sunderland (A)
Crystal Palace (H)

Ownership

Before I get on to my team here’s a check on the ownership position.    I wont go into the debate about ownership.  If you want to refresh it then go on to the strategy tab on the website to see my latest article.

fantasy premier league strategy – a review after the end of season

There are 4 players with ownership above 30% at the moment:

Hazard 53%

Clyne 43%

Costa 35%

Kane 32%

Normally I would be very wary of not owning anyone over 30% and certainly over 40% I would be very nervous.  I have Hazard and Clyne but not Costa or Kane.  I’m wary of doubling up with Chelsea players as their fixtures aren’t easy.  Im also a little wary of Kane as I’m concerned he overperformed last year (his shots in the box ratio was quite low) and the fact that he played in the U21 tournament during the offseason.  For the moment I’m holding off both.

Looking at the ownership of my entire team it goes as follows:

Myhill 2%, Hennessey 6%, Francis 3%, Azpili 20%, Clyne 43%, Huth 2%, O’Shea 11%, Walcott 7%, Silva 13%, Hazard 53%, Chadli 8%, Surman 0%, Benteke 29%, Rooney 10%, Wilson 5%

Ownership is quite low at the moment which does place quite alot of risk of a very low ranking if things don’t go well or conversly a very high ranking if it all does go well.  In terms of team value there’s some debate about how ownership in the early weeks effects it.  Some argue that if a high ownership player fails to perform mass sales will see a large drop in value.  Others argue that it takes more sales to trigger drops in value so high ownership is a protection.  I have to say I don’t know what the answer is.  If you read my strategy article you’ll see that team value isn’t exactly my strength.  Last season I finished 2,720  with a team value in the £102m’s.  This was mainly due to the fact that I hate transferring in early in the week and used the wildcard late on and not early to gain team value.

I’ll keep an eye on ownership over the coming 2 weeks but for the moment the ownership players are Hazard and Clyne

The core players

These are the proven FPL players or defences and make the core of my team.  They are Azpilicueta, Walcott, Silva and Hazard.  I would also classify Rooney there who is a proven FPL player when played as a striker

Here’s the relevant article to copy and paste into a new tab

fantasy premier league – the proven and reliable

The fixture players

I always like to have a few players in the team who are based on good fixtures coming up.  They won’t necessarily always be proven players but will be attractive due to the fixtures.  Benteke and Wilson are the 2 players here.

Lets look at their fixtures:

Firstly Benteke

Stoke (A)
Bournemouth (H)
Arsenal (A)
West Ham (H)
Man Utd (A)
Norwich (H)

Great home fixtures if not the away ones.

And Wilson

Aston Villa (H)
Liverpool (A)
West Ham (A)
Leicester (H)
Norwich (A)
Sunderland (H)

Here’s our fixture ease schedule which ranks the opening fixtures of all the teams to copy and paste into a new tab

http://www.fantasyfootballgeek.co.uk/category/fixture-ease-sched/

The cheap fillers

I have 3 defenders at £4.5m who rotate reasonably well.  I didn’t pick them specifically based on the rotation possibilities but chose 3 teams with £4.5m defs that are gametime secure and have defences I believe in at least for that price.

Here’s how they rotate for the first 6 games:

GW1 – Bournemouth home to A Villa

GW2 – Sunderland home to Norwich

GW3 – Sunderland home to Swansea

GW4 – Bournemouth home to Leicester

GW5 – Leicester home to Villa

GW6 – Bournemouth home to Sunderland

£4.5m Bournemouth midfielder Surman looks a good bet for the 5th midfield spot without being a card magnet and with some attacking potential

Captain considerations

I only really have 3 games to consider before Aguero comes on board for the GW4 match home to Watford.  Hazard and Rooney in the team are the only real captain options.  The first 3 games look like this

GW1  – Hazard home to Swansea

GW2 – Rooney away to Villa or Benteke home to Bournemouth

GW3 – Rooney home to Newcastle

The watchouts coming up

Walcott

Will he start?  Luckily the community shield should show Wengers first team.  That gets over 1 hurdle but still the question remains over whether Sanchez will take his place when he’s fit.

Chadli

Again will he start? Pre-season needs watching

Benteke

Will he be fit and adjusted enough to start in GW1

All things to watch in the 2 weeks coming

Hope the above gave you some food for thought in doing your own team

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63 thoughts on “fantasy premier league team selection tips – FFGeek 3rd draft team”

  1. Can you explain your thinking on azpilicueta, I’d have thought Courtois at 0.5 less is a cheaper option to cover the chelsea defence.

    ps: great job on the site lots of food for thought.

    • I’m pretty sure that having a keeper like courtouis as your main choice isn’t as good as having a decent lesser team keeper due to the awarding of bonus points.

  2. Please, rate my team:
    Myhill, Foster
    Azpilicueta, Clyne, Cedric, Huth, O’Shea
    Ozil, Fabregas, Henderson, Ritchie, Wanyama
    Costa, Rooney, Deeney

    • I like the team, i just dont know how not having Hazard is gonna do for you. You better pray he does nothing, as 55% ownership and early captain choices can wreck you from the start

  3. Anyone got any pointers on this team as it stands? :

    Myhill / Hennesey
    Azpilcueta / Cedric / Huth / O’Shea / S.Taylor
    Hazard / Walcott / Sterling / Cabaye / Surman
    Rooney / Benteke / Pelle

    Would love silva over sterling, but that extra 1m lets me get Benteke and i think Sterling will be very attacking. Cheaping out on defence just relying on chelsea/southampton

  4. Have you had a look at Matt Targett of Southampton as a potential £4.0m defender? Looks like he’s been getting the nod pre season

  5. Rate my team – Hart , sproni
    Darmian, ivanovic, bellerin, jaanmat, alderweirald
    Wolcott, hazard, yaya toure, depay, cabaye
    Akpom, falcao, bamford

    • Looks like you’ve built your team from the back, then ran out of money for the forwards. I agree with Bamford as a cheap forward option, he could have a good season, but do you really think akpom and falcao will be first choice forwards? Id seriously rethink your line up, spend a little less on defence, and more on your forwards.

  6. what do you think about my team selection?
    Guzan
    Azpili, Darmian , Janmaat
    Depay , Walcott , Ritchie, Hazard
    Rooney, Benteke, Wilson

    Bench: Boruc , Turner, Richards, Ibe

    1.5M in the Bank.

    this is not confirmed as yet. I’m still playing around with my option.

    • Im not too sure about having Depay and Rooney, unless you think man united are gonna score lots of goals.
      Probably should get some City coverage ?

        • walcott not guarenteed to start thought. big dilema. for 9m mid, youd want him to start every game. i believe giroud will be first every time. arsenal have too many attacking options

          • End of last season Walcott was starting as striker ahead of Giroud, even in the FA cup final. While Sanchez is resting i know Theo will start. Hes also scoring at will in pre-season. You’re choice though man (im an arsenal fan and follow them closely)

        • Thats a tougher one, which is why iv stayed away. I think Bellerin will start the first game, however rotation will probably happen which is always annoying

  7. I do not get a couple of choices here. Three Bournemouth players to start seems risky particularly when Ritchie gets goals and assists , has pens and only costs .5 more than Wilson. That opens a forward spot for a mid price forward such as Sakho who is at the top of a 4-2-3-1 formation. Same for Cisse.

  8. Anyone got any advice for my team?
    Speroni
    Bellerin Huth Azpilicueta
    Walcott Silva Henderson Hazard
    Benteke Wilson Hazard

    Subs- Darlow Francis Surman O’Shea

  9. Team 4.0
    352. Rotating def for home fixtures
    Cech. Rudd
    Azpil Clyne OShea. Francis Yoshida
    Hazard Ozil Silva Depay Mane
    Benteke Jerome agbonlahor

    Or
    343
    Cech. Rudd
    Azpil Yoshida OShea Francis Taylor
    Silva Cesc Ozil Bolasie. Grealish
    Lukaku Beneke Costa

    Look to pick up Trippier by GW 3

  10. Balanced throughout

    Cech
    Azpil Clyne Coleman. (Yoshida Simpson)
    Cesc Ozil YYT Depay Mane
    Lukaku Benteke. (Agbonlahor)

    Could easily swap out DePay and put budget player and boost fwd slot where agbonlahor is…

  11. I would take Ozil in the hole over Walcott.

    Mane should be a must own with Southampton early schedule, along with a soton defender.

    Depay 2.0 cheaper than Rooney seems like the logical move.

    Is Hazard/Ritchie or Bolasie better than say a pair of either Cesc/YYT, Cazorla/YYT, or Cesc/Cazorla?

  12. Cech
    Clyne Azpilicueta Cedric
    Cazorla Hazard Silva Cabaye
    Deeney Rooney Benteke

    Subs – schwarzer Francis Wanyama Mariappa

    Any suggestions?
    Was tempted to have payet and henderson for more depth than silva and wanyama

    cheers

    • Very similar to mine. Here’s why mine is different. I like Ozil instead of Cazorla, as he plays the middle and more forward in general. Ozil has been doing well in preseason. If anyone though can tell you which Arsenal mid to pick, they are lying, including me.

      Bournemouth’s early schedule merits a flyer on Ritchie, as I said above, gets goals and assists and has pens. I love Yohan Cabaye, but so far he is playing in the 2 of the 4-2-3-1 and may not get enough forward opportunities. Palace’s schedule is tough at the start also. And Ritchie saves you .5. I have no problem doubling up on Francis too since the core of Bournemouth is carried over from last year.

      I also like Sakho or Gomis at the third forward spot if you have the money. I think Watford players are all risky right now given the number of new players to be assimilated. I would wait a few gameweeks to assess how successful they may be. Southampton’s success with many new faces last year was highly unusual and I do not think will be repeated this year.

      I would avoid Henderson as the addition of Firmino, Milner and Benteke may mean his role will return to being more defensive. Plus with Benteke and Clyne you do not want to be over-exposed if Rodgers’ team do poorly at the start.

  13. Hi everyone.. I would like some insights on my team…

    Speroni, myhill
    Azpilicueta, Jones, metres Ackergill, gomez, taylor
    Hazard, sterling, depay, miller, wanyama
    Costa, benteke, deeney

    Should I get in Walcott or silva instead of sterling and depay n downgrading milner to Ritchie??

  14. * Mertesacker in defence

    Cheap defenders for the bonus points, Tony pulis goalie a must as I think he ll get a few clean sheets
    In defence.. Keeping defence for Chelsea man utd and arsenal.. Preseason shows they can get cleansheets anywhere.

    Midfielders… Uh.. A pain to select.. Walcott is the bomb here.. If he gets in the team as a striker.. He ll be a must own.. Still haven’t gone with him. Might replace him with sterling if h’s in for community shield. Want to keep depay for his scoring record.

    Costa n benteke are the 2 best I could think of.. Maybe rooney.. But I have been waiting for him to score I preseason. But alas.. A goal here n there.. But nothing concrete..

  15. please rate my team
    your thoughts and constructive criticism would be appreciated

    CECH
    CLYNE. BELLERIN. AZPILICUETA. JAGIELA
    HAZARD . STERLING . OZIL
    FALCAO . BENTEKE . LUKAKU

    SUBS
    SPERONI . SCHNEIDERLIN . BARRY . RANGEL

    Thank you

    saf

  16. Any thoughts on my team? I’m likely to play wildcard week 4/5 to bring in more Man City, Chelsea and West Brom when their fixtures get easier:

    DAVIS Hennessey
    MERTESACKER CLYNE AZPILICUETA Huth O’Shea
    HAZARD MANE WALTERS CAZORLA Surman
    ROONEY PELLE BENTEKE

      • Yeah i have same thinking.
        I think Sterling will play an advanced role while aguero’s rested and hes scored plenty pre season.
        Walcott is similar, il just have to see if he starts in the community shield match. If not il swap for Ozil

  17. Any thoughts on my team:

    Butland/ Speroni
    Azpil Koscieiny Huth Wisdom (loan to Norwich) Mlings
    Hazard Carzola Sterling Cabaye KI
    Costa Peile Deeney

  18. Thoughts on my current draft?
    Mignolet (Hamer) – look to swap for Foster or Forster when back from injury
    Damian, Clyne, Francis (O’Shea, Prodil) – swap BOU and WAT on home/away games
    Hazard (c), Walcott, Mane, Ritchie (Abdi)
    Rooney (v), Costa, Wilson

  19. Hi,

    Could you please rate my team,

    Hart
    Ivanovic, Baines, Huth
    Silva, Hazard, Mane, Ozil
    Berahino, Benteke, Wilson’

    Myhill, Wisom (loan to norwich – could play), Bennett, Surman

    Thanks,

    • Thanks, I was torn between Baines and Clyne, but little apprehensive about Clyne as he is at LFC now (I am a Liverpool fan too!), our start to the season is favourable, but stability in the starting 11 isn’t.

  20. Thoughts on my latest team:

    Ruddy (Speroni)
    Shaw – Huth – Azpil – Francis (O’Shea)
    Walcott – Hazard – Silva – Ritchie (Wanyama)
    Benteke – Rooney (Deeney)

    I will replace one of Huth/Francis with Deeney after GW1, but I do have 0.5m in the bank so I’m open to options here. I like my team, but willing to listen to opinions on Walcott, O’Shea, Ruddy, Deeney.

  21. My team for the year, playing a 3-5-2
    (Subs)

    Boruc (Schmeichel)
    Clyne, Soares, Ward (Prodl, O’Shea)
    Depay, Mane, Ritchie, Wijnaldum, Hazard
    Rooney, Kane (Deeney)

    Thoughts? Shall I upgrade keepers? My thoughts are Bournemouth have a good run to start and could even put a couple of clean sheets together. Boruc is probably preferred over Federici.
    Pretty happy with the midfield and strikers.

  22. thoughts….

    Ruddy – Butland
    Ivanovic – Francis – Cedric – O’Shea – Huth
    Hazard – Silva – Henderson – Ozil (Sung Yeung)
    Benteke – Giroud – Deeney

    3-4-3
    Rotate GKs, Iva + 2 other defenders

  23. Would appreciate any thoughts on my team. Not sure yet whether to go with Benteke or Rooney or Giroud. Went with Cazorla over Ozil due to penalty takes.

    Speroni (Krul)
    Clyne-Cedric-Lescott (O’Shea-Francis)
    Hazard-Silva-Cazorla-Ki Sungyueng (Ritchie)
    Costa-Benteke-Wilson

    • Nice looking team. Targett for Southampton is 1.0m cheaper than Cedric and has been playing whilst Bertrand is out. Would free up some money to upgrade Wilson or Ki?

  24. Can someone give me some feedback regarding my squad please? Thanks!

    Butland
    Huth Azpilicueta Clyne
    Walcott Hazard Henderson Silva
    Wilson Benteke Rooney

    Schwarzer O’Shea Aarons Targett

  25. Hi everyone,

    Can I get some thoughts on my team? Cheers

    Courtois
    Azpil, Clyne, Gibbs
    Carzorla, Herrera, Hazard (c), Sterling, Puncheon
    Vardy, Rooney (v)

    Subs:
    Butland, Simpson, Alderweireld, Deeney

  26. rate my team plz
    Butland
    Kalarov , Koscielny ,Baines
    Tadic,Hazard , Richie , Walcot
    Wilson , Rooney , Lukaku ,
    subs, Myhill , Clyne , Johnson , Hoolahan

  27. Thoughts on this?

    Butland
    Francis – Azpil – Clyne
    Cabaye – Fabregas – Ozil – Silva
    Giroud – Benteke – Costa

    Subs – Schwarzer, Prodil, Baker, Barry

  28. Any thoughts or recommendations…….
    Cech Butland
    Clyne Azpil Targett Prodl Francis
    Ritchie Hazard Mane Sterling Grealish
    Rooney Benteke Sahko

    Cheers!

  29. Rate my team please guys!! 1st draught but I’m pretty pleased with it!! Here goes …

    Butland,Hennessy
    Huth,Targett,Francis,Turner,Ward
    Hazard(vc),Silva,Walcott,Depay,Wanyama
    Rooney,Lukaku(c),Pelle

    Cheers for any feedback!

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