fantasy premier league team tips GW9 – analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers

Fantasy Premier League, top 10 FPL managers

Here’s our fantasy premier league team tips GW9 article where we analyse the teams of 10 top FPL managers. These 10 managers have not finished outside the overall rank of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons. Considering how variable the last 3 years have been this is remarkable consistency and shows an ability to adapt strategy in different seasons. It also gives you a view other than my own on strategy and player selection. 

fantasy premier league team tips GW9 – analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers

If the article is too long there’s a template team for the top 10 FPL managers analysed towards the end of the article.

Firstly, there are 9 new managers in the 10 this season and I’m delighted to say that one of them is our own FFGeek contributor Keith Spencer. Keith’s last 3 years history are 17/18 (3,940), 16/17 ( 325) and 15/16 (9,280).

We’ve also added Paul Williams to the FFGeek team who is also part of the 10 top managers. His history is 17/18 (412), 16/17 ( 1,382) and 15/16 (7,164). See his last article here

The criteria I’ve always been looking for is managers who’ve finished in the top 10k for the last 3 years when FPL has become considerably harder due to the amount of people playing and the information available.

It took me hours and hours to track down 10 managers who’ve been so consistent and my opinion after doing so is that there are probably only 20 or so in the world that qualify.

The 10 managers stats

These managers are unbelievable and every bit as impressive as last season

1. The overall average finishing overall rank of the top 10 managers in the last 3 seasons is 3,667

2. The top 10 FPL managers have not been out of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons (ie 30 times playing)

3. 7 of the 10 have finished in the top 1,000 in the last 3 seasons

Gameweek 8 review

A mixed week for the 10 FPL managers. 6 of the 10 had a green arrow

The average score of the managers in GW8 was 67 compared to the game average of 50. That’s 17 points and 34% above the game average score. High score of the 10 was 88. The low score was 47. A spread of 41 for a pretty average scoring gameweek.

The average overall rank of the top 10 FPL managers is 118k. An improvement of rank of 7k from last week. The best overall rank is in the 600’s and the lowest 589k. The low score distorts the average. The median overall rank is better at 75k.

The average total points are 524

The average team value is still £102.5m

My score as you may have seen in my early FFGeek team thoughts article was reasonably good at 70. That was higher than 5 of the managers and my total points of 538 and OR of 28k is better than 7 of the 10 managers.

The combined total of individual players

I’ve included where there is a minimum of a player in 3 out of the 10 FPL managers teams

Goalkeeper/Defence

Alonso is in 10 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Wan Bissaka is in 9 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Trippier is in 5 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Bennett (Wolves) in 4 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Foster, Hamer, Fabianski and Doherty are in 3 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Goalkeeper/Defence by team

Wolves GK/Defs are represented 13 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Chelsea GK/Defs are represented 11 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

C Palace GK/Defs are represented 10 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Bournemouth and Spurs GK/Defs are represented 5 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Liverpool  GK/Defs are represented 4 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Huddersfield, Watford, West Ham and Arsenal GK/Defs are represented 3 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Midfielders

Hazard is in 9 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Fraser, Richarlison, Salah, Maddison and Hojbjerg are in 6 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Forwards

Aguero is in 8 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Mitrovic is in 5 of the 10 FPL teams

Zaha is in 4 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Wilson and Ings are in 3 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Gameweek 8 captain choice

5 of the 10 FPL managers went with Hazard

The FFGeek poll was 42% Kane and 25% Hazard

The Site 1 poll in my GW8 captain choice article was 45% Kane and 23% Hazard

Formations

5 managers played 3-4-3

3 managers played 4-3-3

2 managers played 3-5-2

Wildcards, chips, transfers and hits

No managers used their wildcard this week the total remaining at  7 managers who have used it

None have used their triple captain, free hit or bench boost chip

Transfers in and out

I only summarise the transfers when a player is transferred in more than once.

Transfers in

6 of the 10 managers made a transfer.

Kane was transferred in by 3 managers

Maddison was transferred in by 2 managers

No one else was transferred in more than once

Transfers out

Aguero was transferred out by 2 FPL managers

No one else was transferred out more than once

Hits

No managers took a hit.

The leading manager of the 10’s team

A massive 88 points scored and he is now in the 600’s OR

fantasy premier league team tips GW9

The top 10k overall rank vs the 10 FPL managers

The schedule shows the players in the top 10k overall rank teams percentage wise vs the 10 top FPL managers I follow.

GKstop 10k10 top FPL
Patrício2730
Ederson1810
Hart1510
Hennessey1310
Fabianski830
Foster520
Alisson3n/a
Hamern/a30
Begovicn/a30
DEFs
Wan-Bissaka9090
Alonso78100
Trippier5850
Robertson5130
Bennett3840
Doherty2530
Alexander-Arnold2310
Shaw1220
MIDs
Hazard9590
Maddison6360
Richarlison4960
Mané3810
Fraser3460
Salah2360
Højbjerg2160
Lucas Moura18n/a
FWDs
Agüero6880
Kane5540
Mitrovic4350
Zaha1940
Arnautovic17n/a
Wilson1730
Lacazette1110
Ingsn/a30

The top 10k average score was 62 compared to the top 10 FPL managers of 67

I use 30% as a rule of thumb as a significant variation between the two teams and the only players that are different to this extent are

Salah (23% 10k OR vs 60% top 10 FPL managers)

Hojbjerg owned by the top 10 FPL managers more but not relevant as a bench warmer for FPL teams.

I’m quite shocked at the lack of variation in the 2 sets of teams.  Even as close as last season this would be remarkably different.  There are no real battlegrounds apart from Salah at the moment

All the information is provided by the truly fantastic free site FPL discovery.

The combined FPL managers teams

Here’s a team which tries to make a combination from the most represented players. It fits comfortably within the £101.8m budget of my team although to do that I had to put Ings in the team instead of Zaha.

fantasy premier league team tips GW9

So who’s essential?

Anyone or any defensive team that is owned by 7/10 of these managers or by 7/10 of the top 10k I would take a lot of convincing not to own irrespective of my thoughts about them. In terms of serious managers likely to finish with high overall ranks I won’t be getting left behind by players that are owned by a large proportion of these managers or by a large proportion of the top 10k.

That would mean:

A Palace defender (Wan Bissaka  9/10 top 10 managers and 90% top 10k) and a Chelsea defender (Alonso 10/10 top 10 managers and 78% top 10k) and a Wolves defender (represented 13 times in the 10 managers teams (Doherty for me)

Hazard (owned by 9/10 managers and 95% of the top 10k) and Aguero (owned by 8/10 managers and 68% of the top 10k)

Salah drops out of that essential status by that definition because now owned by 6/10 of the managers and 40% of the top 10k. I would think about the fact that Liverpool have Huddersfield and Cardiff in GW9 and GW10

That’s it. Hope you found it useful

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