Here’s our fantasy premier league teams GW15 article where we give our early thoughts on the FFGeek team for GW15. We look back at gameweek 14, The monitor list, transfer thoughts plus early captain thinking.
fantasy premier league teams GW15 – some early thoughts on the FFGeek team
GW14 points: 49 (average 49) Total points 864, Gameweek rank 2,965k, Overall Rank: 57k, red arrow 14k, Team Value: £102.2m
Here’s the points:
So using my general metrics to judge a gameweek this would be another failure. A red arrow of 14k to 57k OR, a gameweek rank of 2.9 million vs a target of under 1 million. However the galling part was that I had 7 returning players vs a target of 4 which should be time for a celebration not a red arrow. However none got more than 7 points and my captain wasn’t one of them which tells the story regarding that aspect.
As a general point, in my experience you normally lose rank through the following ways
A template player you don’t own scores heavily
You pick the wrong captain choice
Your differentials fail.
Well I have a fairly template team (too much so some would say) so I’m immune to some extent to that although I’ll talk about how that’s breaking up later. However for the 2nd week in a row I’ve picked the lowest scoring captain of 3 options. That takes some doing and statistically I would have been better off letting the dog choose my captain for the last 2 weeks.
My motley crew of differentials in Foster, Ings, Laporte and Fraser didn’t return en masse which again is some feat although Laporte was the only realistic chance with Ings injured and the others facing tricky fixtures.
Obviously the reverse also works to improve rank. A template replacement player scoring more points than the template player, the right captain pick and successful differentials are also the general ways of going forward.
GW15 is going to be massive
The template is going to change as the players within the current set up are being transferred out through form reasons and a changing fixture landscape.
An Aguero no show and injury confusion for GW15 after not returning in a 4-0 win in GW13 is seeing him as a viable sale option for Kane. Kane is looking more like himself and has a good run of fixtures. Sane and Sterling are also looking like form alternatives to Hazard’s 2 assists in 6 gameweeks. Salah’s blank against Everton and early substitution also see him in the firing line. Arsenals fixtures after this weekend and Aubameyangs 16 point haul sees him as another player being eyed up by FPL managers.
All this is going to see a great variation in teams and more volatility in week to week scores
The FFGeek team planner
So here’s the latest version
1 free transfer £0.5m in the bank.
So I’m ok with my defence although other things have put back any chance of changing Foster in the short term. The rest of the transfers revolve around the fixture swing to Spurs and the current form of Sterling and Sane and the possibility of selling Hazard and Salah for cheaper options as the template potentially breaks up.
So my draft transfers are Aguero for Kane and Hazard for Sane which will be a minus 4. I haven’t ruled out David Silva who’s cheaper and has to be fairly certain to play given he was tested on Saturday. Although the fact that Man City play Chelsea in GW16 really means anything could happen selection wise by Pep.
Aguero is mainly due to the fact that as he is a potential no show for GW15 given he was injured for GW14. There is, unhelpfully, conflicting information out there as to his fitness. Kane who has a good run of fixtures and is looking more like his old self is a decent replacement especially as he looks likely to lead the captain poll this week.
Hazard is a chance to sell and use the money elsewhere while he’s been sold by other managers. I don’t think the situation despite the lack of returns is as dire as others seem to. His volumes and xG/xA have held up reasonably when he’s been on the pitch but he is expensive. I do have other ways of buying Kane without selling Hazard but not to get Sane. There’s no way to get Sterling in a -4 scenario without selling Salah which would be inadvisable given it’s Burnley next.
I’d like to see how the polls play out but for me it’s either Kane (assuming the transfer) or Salah
Not an issue really, either Wan Bissaka at Brighton or Wolves home to Chelsea but it’s hard not to favour Palace in this choice.
The team lineup
Here it is.
For the moment assume Aguero is Kane and Hazard is Sane
Gameweek 15 time and fixtures
Gameweek 15 starts at 18.45 on Tuesday 4 December UK time. Set your team up now in case you’re waylaid for some reason.
That’s it hope you had a good gameweek!
Geek League links and details
Enter PIN: 8367679
League PIN is SGDKX9Y3