Here’s our fantasy premier league teams GW20 article where we give our early thoughts on the FFGeek team for GW20. We look back at gameweek 19, The team planning schedule, transfer thoughts plus early captain thinking.
fantasy premier league teams GW20 – some early thoughts on the FFGeek team
A bit ridiculous doing an early article when I’ll probably do a team selection article tonight but anyway.
GW19 points: 57 (average 59) Total points 1,145, Gameweek rank 3,488k, Overall Rank: 92k, red arrow 36k, Team Value: £102.4m
Here’s the points:
A disastrous week for my team and I ended up losing pretty much all the ground I made up yesterday.
5 returning players above the minimum of 4 and with 1 double figure point haul. However that didn’t come anywhere near cutting it in a fairly high scoring week. A gameweek rank of 3,488k is way shy of the target of 1 million. Lastly a 36k red arrow
I thought Salah was a big bench risk but it turned out not to be the case and with Sterling blanking it was one part of what went wrong.
The non template scoreboard
The non template score board shows it all too tellingly:
Here’s some definitions which are also relevant to the team planner below:
Template: owned by 7 of the 10 top managers I follow or 70% of the top 10k
Template replacement player: Where I haven’t gone for a template player but have opted for a direct replacement
Bench player; Someone who’s not intended to do anything than fill the bench at minimum cost.
Non template/Differentials: The rest. These and the template replacement players will be the main players who will move you backwards or forwards. Captain choices also will play a big part.
These are the template players in my team at the moment:
Wan Bissaka, Doherty, Richarlison and Kane. The non template players are the rest. The schedule divides the remaining players into template replacement and differentials which are the rest. It ignores players on the bench.
So I convincingly lost the game of FPL chicken in Sterling vs Salah and also only 2 of the 6 non template players returning. In a gameweek when other non template options people have Anderson, Hazard and Son HM scored well a red arrow was always on the cards. It was a manageable one before Andersons 2 goals but they saw a drop of 16k ranking in itself.
The team planner
This schedule reflects no transfer taken.
So a pretty mixed set of fixtures which doesn’t bode well.
1 free transfers and £0.5m in the bank.
This week I’ve got 3 options.
Sit and make no transfer and hope for the best.
Not something I like the sound of. As I’ll say below I’m concerned that Sterling won’t start against Southampton and that Martial could also not play given he’s only done light training and to be assessed.
Take a 4 point hit to get Salah
I could take a -4 point hit and transfer out Sterling for Salah and Martial for Brooks/Deulofeu/Snodgrass
My concern this week is the same as last week but with the focus on a different player. This time I’m worried Sterling won’t start against Southampton. He started and played 90 minutes vs Leicester whereas Mahrez played 7 minutes. However, Sane has played the last 7 so it’s not inconceivable that he could be rested instead. Who knows?
While Salah has 2 tricky games in Arsenal and Man City I’m not convinced Arsenal are that great a defensive prospect so it’s not as bad as it seems.
At least then the whole no Salah fiasco is over.
However I only have Aubameyang and Richarlison to fund it. I don’t really want to sell either and while Martial is a doubt then it makes sense to sell him. Although selling anyone before they play the fiasco that is the Eddie Howe defence is something that just doesn’t sit with me as well.
Here’s some stats on the 3 players.
Deulofeu is probably my favourite.
Straight transfer Sterling to Hazard
The theory is that I would do a straight swap to avoid the 4 point hit and hope that Hazard matches Salah until GW22/GW23 when I would get him back.
It does have some logic
Salah plays Arsenal (H) and Man City (A) while Hazard plays Palace (A) and Southampton (H).
However the question is Do I really want to continue this game of FPL chicken against Salah?
At least he won’t be a captain favourite in each game and he does take 2 returns to get a bonus. That would allow me to keep Martial who could still play as well.
OMG I’m thinking of doing it again
I’m not sure what I’m going to do but expect a team selection article at some stage tonight.
Couldn’t be easier this week.
I suspect it will be Kane.
Make sure you vote in our captain poll btw
Pretend Sterling is either Salah or Hazard and Martial is untouched or probably Deulofeu
A few random thoughts
This season is going to be bumpy.
The number of premium options and the multitude of double figure scores mean that this season is going to be very volatile week to week. The template only has 3 attacking players in Salah, Kane and Richarlison giving 4-5 options which can make a huge difference each week.
If you read my 10 top FPL managers article you’ll know that this week the highest scoring manager was 104 points and the lowest 53. That’s a 51 point spread! The week before was the same. Top score 83, the lowest 33. Now whats also interesting is that the guy who got 33 the week before got 84 this week.
This climate doesn’t mean you’ll end up in a lower position ultimately, if you believe that your 50/50 decisions will even out but it will be more bumpy each week.
Don’t over focus on overall rank
Overall rank is a misleading guide to how you’re doing. So for example I’m 92k and if you look for my last season OR of 17k that’s 50 points away. Now 50 points isn’t the end of the world people are making up 20 to 30 points each week.
Also if you take Rob Reid who’s been having an unlucky season. Last week he was 100 points behind me and with an OR of 693k. This week he got a score of 80 improved his OR by 145k and took 23 points off the gap between him and myself. That’s all in 1 week.
Nothing is lost but conversely no rank is safe
Not sure if any of the above helps anyone but there it is.
So the gameweek is Saturday 29 December 14.00 UK time.
Set your team now if you can in case you get distracted.
I’ll be trying to get as many articles out as I can before then but obviously it will be difficult to get contributors articles but I’ll put as many out as I get. I’ll be going to right to the deadline.
Geek League links and details
Enter PIN: 8367679
League PIN is SGDKX9Y3