Here’s our fantasy premier league tips forwards GW18 article in our player rankings series. There’s a table of stats to help you make your transfer choice.
fantasy premier league tips forwards GW18 – player rankings
This is the 3rd article in our player rankings series. See the defender and GK player rankings and the midfield player rankings articles.
Methodology
I’ve generally started with a selection of forwards that I think will start GW18 and have some longevity in the team.
I’ve then looked at their expected goals and assists data in 18/19 so far as well as how it relates to their historical numbers. After that I’ve then adjusted it for their ability to over/underperform, their bonus potential, their fixtures over the next 6 and any specific 18/19 factors and numbers.
Whether you believe the rankings or not there’s plenty of information to make your own decision
Stats definitions
SP/Pen: indicates whether the player has some set piece representation or penalty responsibility
Pts per 90: the FPL points earned per 90 minutes played in 18/19
Consistency: the % of starts where the player has scored a goal or assist. Sub appearances are ignored.
Mins last 4: average minutes of the last 4 matches. Generally I count sub appearances or rotation but not injury absences although there is some discretion there.
Fixture ease ranking so you can see who has the best fixtures from GW18-23 and GW18-20. See our fixture ease article
xG90/xA 90 – their expected goals and expected assists per 90 minutes played. An xG90 of 0.3 would imply a 30% chance of scoring every 90 minutes based on an average premier league player. I’ve taken them from the excellent free site understat.com
SH90 and KP90 – shots and key passes per 90 minutes played. I’ve taken this from the excellent free site whoscored.com
ATGS odds – 1 bookies anytime goalscoring odds for the player. It assumes they start and doesn’t include assist potential. The odds aren’t available as I write this on Thursday 20December.
Player values are as of Thursday 20 December.
The schedule
The schedule ranks players by expected FPL points over the next 6 games.
If difficult to read you can copy and paste it by using this link to the google spreadsheet. The spreadsheet should be easy to sort into the various columns as I’ve separated them out apart from the consistency fractions.
A note re Aguero and Lacazette
I haven’t included Aguero or Jesus for that matter. Aguero has been favoured by Pep until injured. Jesus has come in and played well plus Aguero started in the EFL cup midweek. For that reason you’d be inclined to think that Jesus would start in GW18 but I think the position is uncertain enough to pause with the both to see what Pep is planning.
Lacazette similar. Aubameyang has been the favoured starter so for that reason I’ve assessed him. He did start in the EFL Cup which could put his position in danger for GW18 but such has been his favoured starting position that I think it would be unwise to put forward Lacazette as an option at the moment.
See also our fixture ease article as well as who the 10 top managers I follow have in their team. See also last season 715 OR finisher Andrew Ferguson’s team
Also see who the popular defenders are for transfers in with our bandwagons and sinking shipsarticle
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