fantasy premier league tips forwards GW23 – player rankings


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Here’s our fantasy premier league tips forwards GW23 article in our player rankings series. There’s a table of stats to help you make your transfer choice.

fantasy premier league tips forwards GW23 – player rankings




This is the 3rd article in our player rankings series. See the defender and GK player rankings and midfield player ranking article.

Methodology

I’ve generally started with a selection of forwardss that I think will start GW23 and have some longevity in the team.

I’ve then looked at their expected goals and assists data in 18/19 so far as well as how it relates to their historical numbers. After that I’ve then adjusted it for their ability to over/underperform, their bonus potential, their fixtures over the next 6 and any specific 18/19 factors and numbers. This is very different to my recent underlying stats article which took this seasons underlying stats adjusting it only for the average minutes played in the last 4 games

Whether you believe the rankings or not there’s plenty of information to make your own decision

Stats definitions

SP/Pen: indicates whether the player has some set piece representation or penalty responsibility. Pen (2) means they are 2nd in line for penalties.

PP90 mins adjusted: I’ve taken their Points per 90 for my projected minutes over the next 6.

FFG Proj PPG next 6: The PPG for the next 6 resulting from my analysis as outlined above.

Consistency: the % of starts where the player has scored a goal or assist. Sub appearances are ignored.

Projected Mins: I’ve made an assessment on projected minutes for the next 6 based on the season so far.

Fixture ease ranking so you can see who has the best fixtures from GW23-28 and GW23-25. See our fixture ease article

xG90/xA 90 – their expected goals and expected assists per 90 minutes played. An xG90 of 0.3 would imply a 30% chance of scoring every 90 minutes based on an average premier league player. I’ve taken them from the excellent free site understat.com

SH90 and KP90 – shots and key passes per 90 minutes played. Also from understat

ATGS odds – 1 bookies anytime goalscoring odds for the player. It assumes they start and doesn’t include assist potential.

A quick note re upcoming blank and double gameweeks

See my article of last week talking generally about the upcoming potential blank and double gameweeks

GW27 is likely to a blank gameweek due to the EFL Cup final and it’s unlikely the PL games can be played in that GW as GW28 is a midweek gameweek. Given Man City are certain to go through Burton the then GW27 fixture of Everton v Man City will be postponed.

1 of Chelsea v Brighton or Burnley v Spurs will also follow suit. That would make GW27 a blank week. There is a precedent for it being moved forward so it could be played between 25 and 26 if there are no clash with 4th round FA Cup replays but it’s likely if history means anything that it will go to gameweeks further on where there are no European games midweek.

I have assumed Man City and Everton have no game in GW27 and that the fixture is moved backwards rather than forwards. However as there are no Man City or Everton forwards in this schedule it’s not relevant.  Spurs and Chelsea haven’t been altered and neither have their opponents.

The schedule

The schedule ranks players by the FFGeek projected PPG over the next 6 games.

If difficult to read you can copy and paste it by using this link to the google spreadsheet. The spreadsheet should be easy to sort into the various columns as I’ve separated them out apart from the consistency fractions.



fantasy premier league tips forwards GW23

I’ve not included Aguero or Jesus as who knows which one is going to play at the moment.

The next 6 fixtures from the Official FPL site

 fantasy premier league tips forwards GW23

If you want to see how players performed in GW22 see our underlying stats article for that gameweek.  Also there’s the players with the best fixtures upcoming in our fixture ease article.  You can also see the most popular transfers so far this week in the bandwagons article.  Also see who the 10 top FPL managers I follow have in their team and who one of them Keith Spencer is replacing Kane and Alexander Arnold with.

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