Here’s our fantasy premier league tips forwards GW24 article in our player rankings series. There’s a table of stats to help you make your transfer choice.
fantasy premier league tips forwards GW24 – player rankings
This is the 3rd article in our player rankings series. See the defender and GK player rankings and midfield player rankings
Methodology
I’ve generally started with a selection of forwards that I think will start GW24 and have some longevity in the team.
I’ve then looked at their expected goals and assists data in 18/19 so far as well as how it relates to their historical numbers. After that I’ve then adjusted it for their ability to over/underperform, their bonus potential, their fixtures over the next 6 and any specific 18/19 factors and numbers. This is very different to my recent underlying stats article which took this seasons underlying stats adjusting it only for the average minutes played in the last 4 games
Whether you believe the rankings or not there’s plenty of information to make your own decision
Stats definitions
SP/Pen: indicates whether the player has some set piece representation or penalty responsibility. Pen (2) means they are 2nd in line for penalties.
BGW/DGW: This indicates whether they have a confirmed game in a blank gameweek or they have a confirmed double gameweek. See our blanks and doubles article
PP90 mins adjusted: I’ve taken their Points per 90 for my projected minutes over the next 6.
FFG Proj PPG next 6: The PPG for the next 6 resulting from my analysis as outlined above.
Consistency: the % of starts where the player has scored a goal or assist. Sub appearances are ignored.
Projected Mins: I’ve made an assessment on projected minutes for the next 6 based on the season so far.
Fixture ease ranking so you can see who has the best fixtures from GW24-29 and GW24-26. See our fixture ease article
xG90/xA 90 – their expected goals and expected assists per 90 minutes played. An xG90 of 0.3 would imply a 30% chance of scoring every 90 minutes based on an average premier league player. I’ve taken them from the excellent free site understat.com
SH90 and KP90 – shots and key passes per 90 minutes played. Also from understat
ATGS odds – 1 bookies anytime goalscoring odds for the player. It assumes they start and doesn’t include assist potential.
A quick note re upcoming blank and double gameweeks
See my article of talking generally about the upcoming potential blank and double gameweeks and the latest article monitoring the potential blanks in GW31 and GW33
It’s important to note that in the schedule below Game BGW means they HAVE a game in what will be the blank weeks on BGW31 and BGW33. No game BGW27 means they DONT have a game in that EFL final gameweek
DGW means they have a confirmed double gameweek which at the moment is GW25.
There is no extra ranking boost for a DGW if followed by a blank week as over 6 games this is assumed to even out. Teams with just blanks though with no doubles to compensate are taken as playing less games and adjusted accordingly.
Hope that makes sense
The schedule
The schedule ranks players by the FFG projected PPG over the next 6 games.
If difficult to read you can copy and paste it by using this link to the google spreadsheet. The spreadsheet should be easy to sort into the various columns as I’ve separated them out apart from the consistency fractions.
I haven’t put Higuain in as it’s impossible to assess him at the moment. He will be a transfer decision based on what you see rather than any stats
The next 6 fixtures from the official FPL site
Official FPL haven’t updated it for a week so doesn’t include any blanks and doubles.
If you want to see how FPL players performed over the season or just in GW23 see our underlying stats article for that gameweek
See also the teams of 10 top FPL managers who have finished in the top 10k for the last 3 seasons as well as the Geeks team and plans
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