fantasy premier league tips forwards GW24 – player rankings


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Here’s our fantasy premier league tips forwards GW24 article in our player rankings series. There’s a table of stats to help you make your transfer choice.

fantasy premier league tips forwards GW24 – player rankings





This is the 3rd article in our player rankings series. See the defender and GK player rankings and midfield player rankings

Methodology

I’ve generally started with a selection of forwards that I think will start GW24 and have some longevity in the team.

I’ve then looked at their expected goals and assists data in 18/19 so far as well as how it relates to their historical numbers. After that I’ve then adjusted it for their ability to over/underperform, their bonus potential, their fixtures over the next 6 and any specific 18/19 factors and numbers. This is very different to my recent underlying stats article which took this seasons underlying stats adjusting it only for the average minutes played in the last 4 games

Whether you believe the rankings or not there’s plenty of information to make your own decision

Stats definitions

SP/Pen: indicates whether the player has some set piece representation or penalty responsibility. Pen (2) means they are 2nd in line for penalties.

BGW/DGW: This indicates whether they have a confirmed game in a blank gameweek or they have a confirmed double gameweek. See our blanks and doubles article

PP90 mins adjusted: I’ve taken their Points per 90 for my projected minutes over the next 6.

FFG Proj PPG next 6: The PPG for the next 6 resulting from my analysis as outlined above.

Consistency: the % of starts where the player has scored a goal or assist. Sub appearances are ignored.

Projected Mins: I’ve made an assessment on projected minutes for the next 6 based on the season so far.

Fixture ease ranking so you can see who has the best fixtures from GW24-29 and GW24-26. See our fixture ease article

xG90/xA 90 – their expected goals and expected assists per 90 minutes played. An xG90 of 0.3 would imply a 30% chance of scoring every 90 minutes based on an average premier league player. I’ve taken them from the excellent free site understat.com

SH90 and KP90 – shots and key passes per 90 minutes played. Also from understat

ATGS odds – 1 bookies anytime goalscoring odds for the player. It assumes they start and doesn’t include assist potential.

A quick note re upcoming blank and double gameweeks

See my article of talking generally about the upcoming potential blank and double gameweeks and the latest article monitoring the potential blanks in GW31 and GW33

It’s important to note that in the schedule below Game BGW means they HAVE a game in what will be the blank weeks on BGW31 and BGW33. No game BGW27 means they DONT have a game in that EFL final gameweek

DGW means they have a confirmed double gameweek which at the moment is GW25.

There is no extra ranking boost for a DGW if followed by a blank week as over 6 games this is assumed to even out. Teams with just blanks though with no doubles to compensate are taken as playing less games and adjusted accordingly.

Hope that makes sense

The schedule

The schedule ranks players by the FFG projected PPG over the next 6 games.

If difficult to read you can copy and paste it by using this link to the google spreadsheet. The spreadsheet should be easy to sort into the various columns as I’ve separated them out apart from the consistency fractions.



fantasy premier league tips forwards GW24

I haven’t put Higuain in as it’s impossible to assess him at the moment.  He will be a transfer decision based on what you see rather than any stats

The next 6 fixtures from the official FPL site

Official FPL haven’t updated it for a week so doesn’t include any blanks and doubles.

 fantasy premier league tips forwards GW24

If you want to see how FPL players performed over the season or just in GW23 see our underlying stats article for that gameweek

See also the teams of 10 top FPL managers who have finished in the top 10k for the last 3 seasons as well as the Geeks team and plans

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8 thoughts on “fantasy premier league tips forwards GW24 – player rankings”

  1. Geek – we are all dying to know what the pros are going to do before the 25 eve city double and if you are starting with the transfers now. My gut is you all bring in two city and then start swapping everton (or city/che) out right after for 27.

    Is there a plethora of articles coming later today or tomorrow?

    Is ederson’s secure gametime worth a swap if all you have is etheridge. However, can they even keep a cleansheet against wolves/gunners?

    Sane if Mendy is fit, as per the update today?

    Aguero as per the scout? Isnt Jesus on fire too?

    • Well I may not be a pro but im thinking of carrying over a ft and then next gw either Sane in for Richarlison and Sterling in for Hazard…or Sane in for Richarlison and Laporte in for Digne.

  2. Laporte and Ederson are really the only players who will definitely play 90 mins in both games.

    I am making sure I have one of those. That’s my only definite at the moment.

    I will gamble on another (Sane, Sterling, Aguero or Jesus) but not sure which yet.

  3. Can we trust any man city players to play twice. I would be reluctant to sell Hazard as he has Huddersfield at home during the Man City double week

  4. I was planning a transfer of getting rid of Wilson for Auba before the city double GW was confirmed. I already have Sane, but doubling up with Aguero is another option. City have newcastle, arsenal, everton and chelsea in short order. I believe Aguero will start arsenal and chelsea, but highly doubt he we start 3 games and cannot see him starting all 4. Still leaning towards Auba, but was wondering if anyone thinks kun may be worth the risk.

  5. Side note: Doesnt Aguero DESTROY Newcastle historically?

    I have been hmmming and haaahing all day on my two ft up until 27. Aguero or Sane/KDB is the main flip flop I was stuck on. I did a lot of work on what my lineups would look like 24, 25, 26, 27.. that is where it hit me. 27 is a nightmare. Not just because of the blanks. LFC plays Man U and that is 6 players on most of our squads with bad fixtures. Likely 2 or 3 Blanks on the bench out of richarlidson, digne, city, city that arent swapped with the two ft from 25 and 26 leading up.

    The most important realization was this though: Auba is the ONLY decent premium captain choice that week in all of FPL (you could argue tot but two ugly fixtures follow so I am not wasting a ft on son, etc. there).

    So the decision between Aguero and a premium city Mid is Aguero because he can be the first blank 27 asset to go. In wk 26 as a matter of fact to avoid chelsea and let the Auba 3 plum fixture party begin immediately.

    Phew. I can finally go to sleep. Aguero in tomorrow morning (after I read the ff geek articles of course!).

  6. Well I have brought in Auba this week. I have Laporte and Richarlison for the DGW25. And my plan is to swap Auba out again for Aguero in GW26 as more of a shield play than anything else. I will then bring Auba back for those 3 plum fixtures.
    Of course, I have the luxury of making this play as I have no pressing issues in my team to resolve, apart from dumping Richarlison in GW27. I am simply using my bench to cover the loss of Luiz and Laporte GW27…

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