Here’s our fantasy premier league tips midfielders GW14 article in our player rankings series. There’s a table of stats to help you make your transfer choice.
fantasy premier league tips midfielders GW14 – player rankings
This is the 2nd article in our player rankings series. See the defender and GK player rankings article.
Methodology
I’ve generally started with a selection of midfielders that I think will start GW14 and have some longevity in the team.
I’ve then looked at their expected goals and assists data in 18/19 so far as well as how it relates to their historical numbers. After that I’ve then adjusted it for their ability to over/underperform, their bonus potential, their fixtures over the next 6 and any specific 18/19 factors and numbers. This is very different to my recent underlying stats article which took this seasons underlying stats adjusting it only for the average minutes played in the last 4 games
Whether you believe the rankings or not there’s plenty of information to make your own decision
Stats definitions
SP/Pen: indicates whether the player has some set piece representation or penalty responsibility
Pts per 90: the FPL points earned per 90 minutes played in 18/19
Consistency: the % of starts where the player has scored a goal or assist. Sub appearances are ignored.
Mins last 4: average minutes of the last 4 matches. Generally I count sub appearances or rotation but not injury absences although there is some discretion there. I have adjusted Sane’s minutes positively due to the Mendy injury and will make discretionary changes for analysis.
Fixture ease ranking so you can see who has the best fixtures from GW14-19 and GW14-16. See our fixture ease article
xG90/xA 90 – their expected goals and expected assists per 90 minutes played. An xG90 of 0.3 would imply a 30% chance of scoring every 90 minutes based on an average premier league player. I’ve taken them from the excellent free site understat.com
SH90 and KP90 – shots and key passes per 90 minutes played. I’ve taken this from the excellent free site whoscored.com
ATGS odds – 1 bookies anytime goalscoring odds for the player. It assumes they start and doesn’t include assist potential. The odds aren’t available as I write this on Wednesday 28 November.
Player values are as of Tuesday 27 November.
The schedule
The schedule ranks players by expected FPL points over the next 6 games.
If difficult to read you can copy and paste it by using this link to the google spreadsheet. The spreadsheet should be easy to sort into the various columns as I’ve separated them out apart from the consistency fractions.
A few notes
The Man City players are the hardest to model as their gametime is so unpredictable. Generally when on the pitch they are pretty devastating. I’ve looked at the minutes Sane has played when he’s started on the assumption that with Mendy is out and his previous lack of gametime plus World Cup rest that he must be due some decent minutes.
There’s no Son and no Gross as it would be useful to see them start a couple of reasons for selection and injury issues respectively. I’ve also not included Maddison. He is available with his suspension being used up in the EFL Cup game midweek. I’d just like to see him come back into the side given Puels unpredicatble selection
I’ve not included any Arsenal midfielders. Who knows who will start week to week.
See who the 10 top FPL managers I follow to see who they have in their defence and in my team in my early FFGeek team thoughts
See our fixture ease article for players with the best fixtures ad well as the bandwagons article for the most transferred in
Also the players underlying stats for GW13
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