Here’s our fantasy premier league tips midfielders GW22 article in our player rankings series. There’s a table of stats to help you make your transfer choice.
fantasy premier league tips midfielders GW22 – player rankings
This is the 2nd article in our player rankings series. See the defender and GK player rankings article.
Methodology
I’ve generally started with a selection of midfielders that I think will start GW22 and have some longevity in the team.
I’ve then looked at their expected goals and assists data in 18/19 so far as well as how it relates to their historical numbers. After that I’ve then adjusted it for their ability to over/underperform, their bonus potential, their fixtures over the next 6 and any specific 18/19 factors and numbers. This is very different to my recent underlying stats article which took this seasons underlying stats adjusting it only for the average minutes played in the last 4 games
Whether you believe the rankings or not there’s plenty of information to make your own decision
Stats definitions
SP/Pen: indicates whether the player has some set piece representation or penalty responsibility. Pen (2) means they are 2nd in line for penalties.
PPG: the FPL points earned per game as per the FPL site
FFG Proj PPG next 6: The PPG for the next 6 resulting from my analysis as outlined above.
Consistency: the % of starts where the player has scored a goal or assist. Sub appearances are ignored.
Mins last 4: I’ve made an assessment on projected minutes for the next 6 based on the season so far.
Fixture ease ranking so you can see who has the best fixtures from GW22-27 and GW22-24. See our fixture ease article
xG90/xA 90 – their expected goals and expected assists per 90 minutes played. An xG90 of 0.3 would imply a 30% chance of scoring every 90 minutes based on an average premier league player. I’ve taken them from the excellent free site understat.com
SH90 and KP90 – shots and key passes per 90 minutes played. Also from understat
ATGS odds – 1 bookies anytime goalscoring odds for the player. It assumes they start and doesn’t include assist potential. The odds aren’t available as I write this on Tuesday the 8th of January
Player values are as of Tuesday 8 January.
A quick note re upcoming blank and double gameweeks
The schedule below isn’t adjusted for potential blank and double gameweeks.
GW27 is likely to a blank gameweek due to the EFL Cup final and it’s unlikely the PL games can be played in that GW as GW28 is a midweek gameweek. Given Man City are playing Burton in the EFL semi then you have to think that’s a certainty to see Man City in the final and the GW27 fixture of Everton v Man City will be postponed.
1 of Chelsea v Brighton or Burnley v Spurs will also follow suit. That would make GW27 a blank week. There is a precedent for it being moved forward so it could be played between 25 and 26 if there are no clash with 4th round FA Cup replays but it’s likely if history means anything that it will go to gameweeks further on where there are no European games midweek.
I will do a separate article soon
The schedule
The schedule ranks players by the FFG projected PPG over the next 6 games.
If difficult to read you can copy and paste it by using this link to the google spreadsheet. The spreadsheet should be easy to sort into the various columns as I’ve separated them out apart from the consistency fractions.
A few notes
Most of the projected PPG’s aren’t too far off the existing ones although I was surprised how close some of the ones at the top were. Some will be different than the FPL site as the PPG’s on the site include sub appearances which can distort the number. Hazard, Sane, Alli, Martial, Eriksen , Deuloefeu, Snodgrass all probably suffer for this.
The Sterling one is a bit surprising but I’ve counted games he’s been rested in his projected minutes which isn’t the case for the FPL site which may explain part. He also lags behind his xG in returns as well historically which is surprising whereas this season he’s ahead which may also count for part of it.
The next 6 fixtures from the official FPL site
There’s also our 10 top FPL managers article
If you want to see any players underlying stats see our cumulative season article and also our GW21 only underlying stats review
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