Here’s our fantasy premier league transfer tips GW11 article where we analyse the teams of 10 top FPL managers. These 10 managers have not finished outside the overall rank of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons. Considering how variable the last 3 years have been this is remarkable consistency and shows an ability to adapt strategy in different seasons. It also gives you a view other than my own on strategy and player selection.
fantasy premier league transfer tips GW11 – analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers
If the article is too long there’s a combined FPL managers team for the top 10 FPL managers analysed towards the end of the article.
Firstly, there are 9 new managers in the 10 this season. The only repeat manager I’ve found again finished in the top 100 last season
The criteria I’ve always been looking for is managers who’ve finished in the top 10k for the last 3 years when FPL has become considerably harder due to the amount of people playing and the information available.
It took me a long time to track down 10 managers who’ve been so consistent and I imagine it will get harder and harder
The 10 managers stats
These managers are incredible and every bit as impressive as last season.
1. The overall average finishing overall rank of the top 10 managers in the last 3 seasons is 3,800
2. The top 10 FPL managers have not been out of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons (ie 30 times playing)
3. 3 of the 10 have finished in the top 1,000 in the last 3 seasons
4. 2 of the 10 have finished in the top 100 in the last 3 seasons
Gameweek 10 review
A mixed gameweek for the 10 managers with 5 getting a red arrow but a reasonable good rank improvement.
The average score of the managers in GW10 was 56 after taking points deductions for extra transfers into account. That’s 7 points and 14% better than the game average of 49. High score of the 10 was 71. The low score was 46
The average overall rank of the top 10 FPL managers is 594k. That’s improved by 55k from last week. The best overall rank is 258k and the lowest 1,246k. It’s important to get a perspective though on OR at this stage. Despite their being nearly 1 million in overall rank between the managers there’s only 37 points. That’s 27k per average point. We’ve seen that 37 points can be wiped out in 1 gameweek. In this gameweek alone the spread was 25 points. OR is still very misleading.
The average total points are 539
The average team value is £102.8m.
You can see my score and rank in the early FFGeek team article which I will do today hopefully. You can see my GW10 team selection article here
The combined total of individual players
I’ve generally only included where there is a minimum of a player in 3 out of the 10 FPL managers teams
Goalkeeper/Defence by player
Pope and Soyuncu are in 8 of the FPL managers teams
Alexander-Arnold and Lundstram are in 7 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Button, Otamendi and Rico are 5 of the 10 managers teams
Tomori is in 4 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Digne, Robertson and Van Dijk are in 3 of the 10 managers teams
Goalkeeper/Defence by team
Liverpool GK/Defs are represented 13 times in the 10 FPL managers teams
Burnley GK/Defs are represented 9 times in the 10 FPL managers teams
Leicester are represented 8 times in the 10 FPL managers teams
Sheffield are represented 7 times in the 10 FPL managers teams
Brighton are represented 6 times in the 10 FPL managers teams
Man City and Bournemouth are represented 5 times in the 10 FPL managers teams
Chelsea are represented 4 times in the 10 FPL managers teams
Sterling is in 10 of the FPL managers teams
Mount and De Bruyne are in 8 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Dendoncker is in 6 of the FPL managers teams
Salah is in 5 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Cantwell and Hudson Odoi are in 3 of the FPL managers teams
Hayden and Maddison are in 2 of the FPL managers teams
Abraham is in 9 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Pukki and Wilson are in 5 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Aubameyang and Connolly are in 3 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Vardy is in 2 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Gameweek 10 captain choice
8 of the 10 FPL managers went with Sterling
2 of the 10 FPL managers went with Wilson
The FFGeek poll for the GW10 captain choice was 40% Sterling, 27% De Bruyne and 19% Aguero
6 managers played 3-4-3
2 played 4-3-3
1 played 3-5-2
1 played 4-4-2
Wildcards and Chips
none of the managers used their wildcard this week. 5 have now used the wildcard in total and none have used a chip.
6 of the managers made transfers, 4 carried over a free transfer.
No one was transferred in more than once
Pukki and Cantwell were both transferred out twice
No one else was transferred out more than once
The top 10k overall rank vs the 10 FPL managers
Unfortunately the excellent site FPL discovery isn’t going this season. However the livefpl.net does a version which isn’t as extensive but is still very helpful. Live FPL is a must view though for live FPL ranks and live league ranks and I’d recommend anyone to use it on match days.
Here I compare the 15 most popular players in the top 10k to their % owned by the 10 top FPL managers and show the difference. Remember the make up of the top 10k will change week to week which is why I’ve left this to now. Hopefully now it will be meaningful and stable.
|Player||Top 10k %||10 top FPL %||10 top FPL% – top 10k%|
From this Pope and Sterling offer the 10 top managers the most potential for advancement given the differences and Mane and Aguero are the biggest threats.
I use the 10 managers as a proxy for serious managers teams and have a basic rule of thumb that if 7 of the 10 managers have a player or a team defence then I will seriously consider getting that player in.
Here’s the template on that basis. The difficulty with tracking the template is that you’re 1 game behind it as you obviously can’t see what their transfers are leading up to the gameweek opening.
1 Liverpool defender – Alexander Arnold
Leicester defender – Soyuncu
That above is the core template.
Lundstram you could also count as well as he fits the criteria technically. Whether you think he will be benched enough not to be a threat is the question you need to ask yourself.
I haven’t counted the Brighton defence as it’s made up significantly by a non playing £4.0m GK.
It’s a strong template at the moment with 8 players including Lundstram. That means there are 7 players as difference makers and permanent bench players available.
One managers team
Here’s the leading manager of the 10. His overall rank is 258k on 554 points. His last 3 seasons overall ranks are 4k, 1k and 6k.
He has 7 of the 8 template players in Alexander Arnold, Lundstram, Soyuncu, De Bruyne, Mount, Sterling and Abraham
He has 1 template replacement player in Ryan for Pope
His permanent bench players are Dendoncker and Button.
That leaves 5 difference makers in Aubameyang, Wilson, Maddison, Rico and Otamendi.
This week his difference makers in Maddison and Rico off the bench plus the right captain pick in Sterling saw him get a 70k green arrow.
The combined 10 top FPL managers teams
Here’s a team which tries to make a combination from the most represented players. Please note that it is meant to be a menu of players to help you choose your transfer rather than a realistic team and it’s value is not necessarily achievable. It’s about £104.2m
That’s it. Hope you found it useful
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