A good week with the 10 top FPL managers with all of them having green arrows. Here’s our fantasy premier league transfer tips GW13 article where we analyse the teams of 10 top FPL managers. These 10 managers have not finished outside the overall rank of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons. Considering how variable the last 3 years have been this is remarkable consistency and shows an ability to adapt strategy in different seasons. It also gives you a view other than my own on strategy and player selection.
fantasy premier league transfer tips GW13 – analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers
Introduction
If the article is too long there’s a combined FPL managers team for the top 10 FPL managers analysed towards the end of the article.
Firstly, there are 9 new managers in the 10 this season. The only repeat manager I’ve found again finished in the top 100 last season
The criteria I’ve always been looking for is managers who’ve finished in the top 10k for the last 3 years when FPL has become considerably harder due to the amount of people playing and the information available.
It took me a long time to track down 10 managers who’ve been so consistent and I imagine it will get harder and harder
The 10 managers stats
These managers are incredible and every bit as impressive as last season.
1. The overall average finishing overall rank of the top 10 managers in the last 3 seasons is 3,800
2. The top 10 FPL managers have not been out of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons (ie 30 times playing)
3. 3 of the 10 have finished in the top 1,000 in the last 3 seasons
4. 2 of the 10 have finished in the top 100 in the last 3 seasons
Gameweek 12 review
A good gameweek for the 10 managers with all 10 getting a green arrow and a decent average increase.
The average score of the managers in GW12 was 72 after taking points deductions for extra transfers into account. That’s 24 points and 50% better than the game average of 48. High score of the 10 was 83. The low score was 62
The average overall rank of the top 10 FPL managers is 443k. That’s improved by 275k from last week. The best overall rank is 82k (705 pts) and the lowest 1,162k (633 pts). A difference 72 points.
The average total points are 672
The average team value is £102.3m.
You can see my score and rank in the early FFGeek team article which I will do today hopefully. You can see my GW12 team selection article here
The combined total of individual players
I’ve generally only included where there is a minimum of a player in 3 out of the 10 FPL managers teams
Goalkeeper/Defence by player
Lundstram and Soyuncu are in 9 of the FPL managers teams
Alexander-Arnold is in 8 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Pope is in 7 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Tomori and Rico are in 6 of the 10 managers teams
Button is in 4 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Robertson and McGovern are in 3 of the 10 managers teams
Goalkeeper/Defence by team
Liverpool GK/Defs are represented 13 times in the 10 FPL managers teams
Burnley, Leicester and Sheffield are represented 9 times in the 10 FPL managers teams
Bournemouth are represented 7 times in the 10 FPL managers teams
Chelsea and Bournemouth are represented 6 times in the 10 FPL managers teams
Brighton are represented 5 times in the 10 FPL managers teams
Midfielders
Mount is in 8 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Sterling is in 7 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Dendoncker and De Bruyne are in 6 the 10 FPL managers teams
Salah is in 5 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Maddison is in 4 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Hayden is in 3 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Martial, Cantwell, Hudson Odoi and Mane are in 2 of the 10 managers teams
Forwards
Abraham is in 10 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Vardy is in 9 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Connolly, Jimenez and Pukki are in 3 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Aubameyang is in 2 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Gameweek 12 captain choice
7 of the 10 FPL managers went with Vardy
3 of the 10 FPL managers went with Abraham
The FFGeek poll for the GW12 captain choice was 40% Abraham, 36% Vardy and 4% Martial.
FFGeek contributors in the same article were 63% Vardy, 16% Abraham and 16% Martial.
Formations
4 managers played 3-4-3
3 managers played 4-3-3
2 played 4-4-2
1 played 3-5-2
Wildcards and Chips
1 of the managers used their wildcard this week. 6 have now used the wildcard in total and none have used a chip.
Here was the team. He scored 83 points;
Transfers
7 of the managers made transfers including the wildcard, 3 carried over a free transfer. No manager took a point hit.
Transfers in
This doesn’t include Wildcard transfers above
Vardy was transferred in 2 times
No one else was transferred in more than once
Transfers out
De Bruyne and Sterling were transferred out 2 times
No one else was transferred out more than once
The top 10k overall rank vs the 10 FPL managers
Unfortunately the excellent site FPL discovery isn’t going this season. However the livefpl.net does a version which isn’t as extensive but is still very helpful. Live FPL is a must view though for live FPL ranks and live league ranks and I’d recommend anyone to use it on match days.
Here I compare the most popular players in the top 10k and of the 10 top managers and show the difference. Remember the make up of the top 10k will change week to week which is why I’ve left this to now. On the first 2 weeks it does look reasonably stable. A negative means that the top 10k ownership % is higher than the 10 top FPL managers
Player | Top 10k | 10 top FPL | 10 top FPL – top 10k |
Button | 36 | 40 | 4 |
Pope | 27 | 70 | 43 |
Ryan | 30 | 10 | -20 |
Lundstram | 88 | 90 | 2 |
Kelly | 44 | 10 | -34 |
Alexander Arnold | 39 | 80 | 41 |
Robertson | 30 | 30 | 0 |
Rico | 37 | 60 | 23 |
Soyuncu | 38 | 90 | 52 |
Tomori | 19 | 60 | 41 |
De Bruyne | 73 | 60 | -13 |
Mount | 55 | 80 | 25 |
Mane | 70 | 20 | -50 |
Sterling | 44 | 70 | 26 |
Salah | 16 | 50 | 34 |
Maddison | 31 | 40 | 9 |
Dendoncker | 15 | 60 | 45 |
Abraham | 85 | 100 | 15 |
Vardy | 81 | 90 | 9 |
Aubameyang | 18 | 20 | 2 |
Pukki | 11 | 30 | 19 |
Connolly | 8 | 30 | 22 |
The template could be changing
I use the 10 managers as a proxy for serious managers teams and have a basic rule of thumb that if 7 of the 10 managers have a player or a team defence then I will seriously consider getting that player in.
Here’s the template on that basis. The difficulty with tracking the template is that you’re 1 game behind it as you obviously can’t see what their transfers are leading up to the gameweek opening.
1 Liverpool defender – Alexander Arnold
Soyuncu
Pope
Lundstram
Sterling
Mount
Abraham
Vardy
That’s 8 players. With a non playing GK. That leaves 6 difference makers for your FPL team. I think the template could change drastically as we are already seeing movement away from Man City with De Bruyne dropping out of the template and Sterling also being sold.
I think Salah will be part of the template if he is injury free given he’s owned by 5 managers already. That will probably be at the expense of 1 of De Bruyne or Sterling and or Aubameyang.
The combined 10 top FPL managers teams
Here’s a team which tries to make a combination from the most represented players. Please note that it is meant to be a menu of players to help you choose your transfer rather than a realistic team and it’s value is not necessarily achievable. It’s about £105.4m
That’s it. Hope you found it useful
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