fantasy premier league transfer tips GW13 – analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers


,

A good week with the 10 top FPL managers with all of them having green arrows.  Here’s our fantasy premier league transfer tips GW13 article where we analyse the teams of 10 top FPL managers. These 10 managers have not finished outside the overall rank of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons. Considering how variable the last 3 years have been this is remarkable consistency and shows an ability to adapt strategy in different seasons. It also gives you a view other than my own on strategy and player selection.

fantasy premier league transfer tips GW13 – analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers

Introduction

If the article is too long there’s a combined FPL managers team for the top 10 FPL managers analysed towards the end of the article.

Firstly, there are 9 new managers in the 10 this season. The only repeat manager I’ve found again finished in the top 100 last season

The criteria I’ve always been looking for is managers who’ve finished in the top 10k for the last 3 years when FPL has become considerably harder due to the amount of people playing and the information available.

It took me a long time to track down 10 managers who’ve been so consistent and I imagine it will get harder and harder

The 10 managers stats

These managers are incredible and every bit as impressive as last season.

1. The overall average finishing overall rank of the top 10 managers in the last 3 seasons is 3,800

2. The top 10 FPL managers have not been out of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons (ie 30 times playing)

3. 3 of the 10 have finished in the top 1,000 in the last 3 seasons

4. 2 of the 10 have finished in the top 100 in the last 3 seasons




Gameweek 12 review

A good gameweek for the 10 managers with all 10 getting a green arrow and a decent average increase.

The average score of the managers in GW12 was 72 after taking points deductions for extra transfers into account. That’s 24 points and 50% better than the game average of 48. High score of the 10 was 83. The low score was 62

The average overall rank of the top 10 FPL managers is 443k. That’s improved by 275k from last week. The best overall rank is 82k (705 pts) and the lowest 1,162k (633 pts).  A difference 72 points.

The average total points are 672

The average team value is £102.3m.

You can see my score and rank in the early FFGeek team article which I will do today hopefully. You can see my GW12 team selection article here

The combined total of individual players

I’ve generally only included where there is a minimum of a player in 3 out of the 10 FPL managers teams

Goalkeeper/Defence by player

Lundstram and Soyuncu are in 9 of the FPL managers teams

Alexander-Arnold is in 8 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Pope is in 7 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Tomori and Rico are in 6 of the 10 managers teams

Button is in 4 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Robertson and McGovern are in 3 of the 10 managers teams

Goalkeeper/Defence by team

Liverpool GK/Defs are represented 13 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Burnley, Leicester and Sheffield are represented 9 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Bournemouth are represented 7 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Chelsea and Bournemouth are represented 6 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Brighton are represented 5 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Midfielders

Mount is in 8 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Sterling is in 7 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Dendoncker and De Bruyne are in 6 the 10 FPL managers teams

Salah is in 5 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Maddison is in 4 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Hayden is in 3 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Martial, Cantwell, Hudson Odoi and Mane are in 2 of the 10 managers teams

Forwards

Abraham is in 10 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Vardy is in 9 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Connolly, Jimenez and Pukki are in 3 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Aubameyang is in 2 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Gameweek 12 captain choice

7 of the 10 FPL managers went with Vardy

3 of the 10 FPL managers went with Abraham

The FFGeek poll for the GW12 captain choice was 40% Abraham, 36% Vardy and 4% Martial.

FFGeek contributors in the same article were 63% Vardy, 16% Abraham and 16% Martial.

Formations

4 managers played 3-4-3

3 managers played 4-3-3

2 played 4-4-2

1 played 3-5-2

Wildcards and Chips

1 of the managers used their wildcard this week. 6 have now used the wildcard in total and none have used a chip.

Here was the team.  He scored 83 points;




fantasy premier league transfer tips GW13

Transfers

7 of the managers made transfers including the wildcard, 3 carried over a free transfer. No manager took a point hit.

Transfers in

This doesn’t include Wildcard transfers above

Vardy was transferred in 2 times

No one else was transferred in more than once

Transfers out

De Bruyne and Sterling were transferred out 2 times

No one else was transferred out more than once

The top 10k overall rank vs the 10 FPL managers

Unfortunately the excellent site FPL discovery isn’t going this season. However the livefpl.net does a version which isn’t as extensive but is still very helpful. Live FPL is a must view though for live FPL ranks and live league ranks and I’d recommend anyone to use it on match days.

Here I compare the most popular players in the top 10k and of the 10 top managers and show the difference. Remember the make up of the top 10k will change week to week which is why I’ve left this to now. On the first 2 weeks it does look reasonably stable. A negative means that the top 10k ownership % is higher than the 10 top FPL managers

PlayerTop 10k10 top FPL10 top FPL – top 10k
Button36404
Pope277043
Ryan3010-20
Lundstram88902
Kelly4410-34
Alexander Arnold398041
Robertson30300
Rico376023
Soyuncu389052
Tomori196041
De Bruyne7360-13
Mount558025
Mane7020-50
Sterling447026
Salah165034
Maddison31409
Dendoncker156045
Abraham8510015
Vardy81909
Aubameyang18202
Pukki113019
Connolly83022

The template could be changing

I use the 10 managers as a proxy for serious managers teams and have a basic rule of thumb that if 7 of the 10 managers have a player or a team defence then I will seriously consider getting that player in.

Here’s the template on that basis. The difficulty with tracking the template is that you’re 1 game behind it as you obviously can’t see what their transfers are leading up to the gameweek opening.

1 Liverpool defender – Alexander Arnold

Soyuncu

Pope

Lundstram

Sterling

Mount

Abraham

Vardy

That’s 8 players. With a non playing GK. That leaves 6 difference makers for your FPL team. I think the template could change drastically as we are already seeing movement away from Man City with De Bruyne dropping out of the template and Sterling also being sold.

I think Salah will be part of the template if he is injury free given he’s owned by 5 managers already.  That will probably be at the expense of 1 of De Bruyne or Sterling and or Aubameyang.

The combined 10 top FPL managers teams

Here’s a team which tries to make a combination from the most represented players. Please note that it is meant to be a menu of players to help you choose your transfer rather than a realistic team and it’s value is not necessarily achievable. It’s about £105.4m

fantasy premier league transfer tips GW13

That’s it. Hope you found it useful

More content

Geek note:  If you join our Patreon site you will get access to an FPL contributor tracker team which combines the contributors individual teams each week to show their favourite players, transfers and captains. It will always be completed on a Friday/Saturday in a normal gameweek. There will also be an accompanying spreadsheet so you can drill down further.  Currently 565 points 135k overall rank

You also get:

Weekly podcasts with the Geek and the other contributors

Joe’s interactive transfer planner and points projection tool

FFGeek private leagues

Access to the FFGeek Slack channel for discussion with the contributors and members

NEW Weekly FFGeek contributor imaginary wildcard articles

$2 and $3 tiers per calendar month. No commitment beyond 1 month

FFGeek league codes:

fantasy premier league:  fnqq66

Sky Sports fantasy football:  fantasyfootball.skysports.com/leagues/join with PIN 8426114

Telegraph fantasy football:  passcode 8693.  PIN code 8000919.  The telegraph have also offered a prize of £100 to the winner.

Telegraph fantasy football European Super League:   League PIN: 8186902  League Passcode: 2113

Sun Dream Team:

Classic League PIN:  SGDKX9Y3

H2H PIN:  SGFU3CR9

Social Media

For more fantasy premier league transfer tips GW13 follow FFGeek on twitter and facebook and instagram for article updates and news