fantasy premier league transfer tips GW15 – analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers


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Here’s our fantasy premier league transfer tips GW15 article where we analyse the teams of 10 top FPL managers. These 10 managers have not finished outside the overall rank of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons. Considering how variable the last 3 years have been this is remarkable consistency and shows an ability to adapt strategy in different seasons. It also gives you a view other than my own on strategy and player selection.

fantasy premier league transfer tips GW15 – analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers

Introduction

If the article is too long there’s a combined FPL managers team for the top 10 FPL managers analysed towards the end of the article.

Firstly, there are 9 new managers in the 10 this season. The only repeat manager I’ve found again finished in the top 100 last season

The criteria I’ve always been looking for is managers who’ve finished in the top 10k for the last 3 years when FPL has become considerably harder due to the amount of people playing and the information available.

It took me a long time to track down 10 managers who’ve been so consistent and I imagine it will get harder and harder

The 10 managers stats

These managers are incredible and every bit as impressive as last season.

1. The overall average finishing overall rank of the top 10 managers in the last 3 seasons is 3,800

2. The top 10 FPL managers have not been out of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons (ie 30 times playing)

3. 3 of the 10 have finished in the top 1,000 in the last 3 seasons

4. 2 of the 10 have finished in the top 100 in the last 3 seasons

Gameweek 14 review




A reasonable gameweek for the 10 managers with all 7 getting a green arrow albeit giving a small average overall rank increase .

The average score of the managers in GW14 was 53 after taking points deductions for extra transfers into account. That’s 2 points and 4% better than the game average of 51. High score of the 10 was 62. The low score was 39.

The average overall rank of the top 10 FPL managers is 382k. That’s improved by 30k from last week. The best overall rank is 76k (821 pts) and the lowest 988k (747 pts). A difference 74 points.  That translates to 12k per point.  A far smaller gap than a few weeks ago.

The average total points are 786

The average team value is £103.4m.

Given the short gameweek I may not do an early FFGeek team article.  You can see my GW14 team selection article here

The combined total of individual players

I’ve generally only included where there is a minimum of a player in 3 out of the 10 FPL managers teams

Goalkeeper/Defence by player

Alexander- Arnold, Lundstram and Soyuncu are in 9 of the FPL managers teams

Pope is in 7 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Tomori and Rico are in 6 of the 10 managers teams

Button is in 4 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Robertson and McGovern are in 3 of the 10 managers teams

Goalkeeper/Defence by team

Liverpool GK/Defs are represented 13 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Burnley, Leicester and Sheffield are represented 9 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Chelsea and Bournemouth are represented 6 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Brighton are represented 5 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Midfielders

Mane is in 9 of the FPL managers teams

Mount is in 8 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Dendoncker and De Bruyne are in 6 the 10 FPL managers teams

Son and Maddison are in 5 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Pulisic is in 4 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Martial and Hayden are in 2 of the 10 managers teams

Forwards

Vardy is in 10 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Jimenez is in 8 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Abraham and Ings are in 3 of the 10 managers teams

Aubameyang and Connolly are 2 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Gameweek 14 captain choice

6 of the 10 FPL managers went with Vardy

3 of the 10 FPL managers went with Mane

1 of the 10 FPL managers went with Sterling

The FFGeek poll for the GW14 captain choice was 44% Vardy, 25% Mane and 6% Kane.

FFGeek contributors in the same article were 47% Vardy, 21% Mane and 16% Salah.

Formations

Not done this week sorry

Wildcards and Chips

None of the managers used their wildcard this week. 6 have now used the wildcard in total and none have used a chip.

Transfers

9 of the managers made transfers and 1 carried over a free transfer. 2 managers took a 4 point deduction for an extra transfer.  1 took an 8 point deduction

Transfers in

Pulisic, Jimenez and Son were all transferred in 4 times

Ings was transferred in 3 times

No one else was transferred in more than once

Transfers out

Abraham was transferred out 7 times

Sterling was transferred out 5 times

No one else was transferred out more than once

The top 10k overall rank vs the 10 FPL managers

Unfortunately the excellent site FPL discovery isn’t going this season. However the livefpl.net does a version which isn’t as extensive but is still very helpful. Live FPL is a must view though for live FPL ranks and live league ranks and I’d recommend anyone to use it on match days.

Here I compare the most popular players in the top 10k and of the 10 top managers and show the difference. Remember the make up of the top 10k will change week to week which is why I’ve left this to now. On the first 2 weeks it does look reasonably stable. A negative means that the top 10k ownership % is higher than the 10 top FPL managers

PlayerTop 10k10 top FPL10 top FPL – top 10k
Button35405
Pope477023
Lundstram9290-2
Kelly3810-28
Alexander Arnold409050
Robertson3530-5
Rico356025
Soyuncu559035
Tomori326028
De Bruyne7460-14
Mount398041
Mane87903
Maddison43507
Pulisic264014
Martial2320-3
Son315019
Dendoncker156045
Abraham5330-23
Vardy971003
Aubameyang92011
Pukki4106
Jimenez478033
Ings143016
Connolly52015

The template

I use the 10 managers as a proxy for serious managers teams and have a basic rule of thumb that if 7 of the 10 managers have a player or a team defence then I will seriously consider getting that player in.

Here’s the template on that basis. The difficulty with tracking the template is that you’re 1 game behind it as you obviously can’t see what their transfers are leading up to the gameweek opening.

Alexander Arnold

Soyuncu

Pope

Lundstram

Mount

Mane

Jimenez

Vardy

That’s 8 players. That leaves 7 difference makers/bench warmers for your FPL team.

De Bruyne is close in 6 teams as are Rico and Tomori.

Of the current template Mount is probably the most at risk with no returns in the last 5 gameweeks.  Chelsea playing Aston Villa at home this week may save him for 1 more week.

One managers team

This is the leading scorer’s team for this week.   He has 7 of the 8 template players mentioned above. He doesn’t have Jimenez and his template replacement player for Jimenez is Ings.

His bench players are the injured Abraham, Dendocker, Rico and McGovern.  That leaves him 2 difference makers in De Bruyne, Son and Tomori.

His team value is high at £103.4m. His last 3 seasons overall ranks are 1k, 700 and 9k. His current rank is 467k and his GW14 score 62.

His transfer in was Ings and Son in for Connolly and Sterling

Here’s his team




fantasy premier league transfer tips GW14

The combined 10 top FPL managers teams

Here’s a team which tries to make a combination from the most represented players. Please note that it is meant to be a menu of players to help you choose your transfer rather than a realistic team and it’s value is not necessarily achievable. This week it is at £102.5m

fantasy premier league transfer tips GW14

That’s it. Hope you found it useful

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Other posts

GW15 captain poll

Rob Reid’s GW15 player picks

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