fantasy premier league transfer tips GW18 – analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers


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Here’s our fantasy premier league transfer tips GW18 article where we analyse the teams of 10 top FPL managers. These 10 managers have not finished outside the overall rank of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons. Considering how variable the last 3 years have been this is remarkable consistency and shows an ability to adapt strategy in different seasons. It also gives you a view other than my own on strategy and player selection.

fantasy premier league transfer tips GW18 – analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers

Introduction

If the article is too long there’s a combined FPL managers team for the top 10 FPL managers analysed towards the end of the article.

Firstly, there are 9 new managers in the 10 this season. The only repeat manager I’ve found again finished in the top 100 last season

The criteria I’ve always been looking for is managers who’ve finished in the top 10k for the last 3 years when FPL has become considerably harder due to the amount of people playing and the information available.

It took me a long time to track down 10 managers who’ve been so consistent and I imagine it will get harder and harder

The 10 managers stats

These managers are incredible and every bit as impressive as last season.

1. The overall average finishing overall rank of the top 10 managers in the last 3 seasons is 3,800

2. The top 10 FPL managers have not been out of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons (ie 30 times playing)

3. 3 of the 10 have finished in the top 1,000 in the last 3 seasons

4. 2 of the 10 have finished in the top 100 in the last 3 seasons

Gameweek 17 review




A mixed gameweek for the 10 managers with 6 getting a green arrow and 4 a red arrow culminating in a small red arrow overall average.

The average score of the managers in GW17 was 62 after taking points deductions for extra transfers into account. That’s 6 points and 11% better than the game average of 56. High score of the 10 was 78. The low score was 54 -4.

The average overall rank of the top 10 FPL managers is 399k. That’s worsened by 12k from last week. The best overall rank is 53k (1,016 pts) and the lowest 1,184k (913 pts). A difference of 103 points. That translates to roughly 11k overall rank per point.

The average total points are 970

The average team value is £103.9m.

The combined total of individual players

I’ve generally only included where there is a minimum of a player in 3 out of the 10 FPL managers teams

Goalkeeper/Defence by player

Soyuncu is in 10 of the FPL managers teams

Alexander Arnold and Lundstram are in 9 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Rico is in 6 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Pope and Martin Kelly are in 5 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Button and Robertson are in 4 of the 10 FPL managers teams

McGovern and Tomori are in 3 of the 10 managers teams

Goalkeeper/Defence by team

Liverpool GK/Defs are represented 14 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Sheffield is represented 11 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Leicester is represented 10 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Bournemouth and Crystal Palace are represented 6 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Brighton and Burnley are represented 5 times in the 10 managers teams

Chelsea and Norwich are represented 3 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Midfielders

Son and Mane are in 8 of the FPL managers teams

De Bruyne is in 7 the 10 FPL managers teams

Dendoncker and Pulisic are in 6 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Mount is in 5 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Maddison and Alli are in 4 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Mount is in 3 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Forwards

Vardy is in 10 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Abraham is in 6 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Rashford is in 4 of the 10 managers teams

Ings and Jimenez are in 3 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Connolly is in 2 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Gameweek 16 captain choice

10 of the 10 FPL managers went with Vardy

The FFGeek poll for the GW16 captain choice was 74% Vardy, 11% Mane and 7% Salah

FFGeek contributors in the same article were 85% Vardy, 8% Salah and 8% Mane

Formations

5 managers went 3-4-3

2 managers went 3-5-2

2 managers went 4-4-2

1 manager went 4-3-3

Wildcards and Chips

None of the managers used their wildcard this week. 6 have now used the wildcard in total and none have used a chip.

Transfers

8 of the managers made transfers and 2 carried over a free transfer. 1 manager took 4 point deduction for an extra transfer

Transfers in

Rashford was transferred in 3 times

Abraham was transferred in 2 times

No one else was transferred in more than once

Transfers out

Jimenez was transferred out 4 times

Mount and Tomori were transferred out twice

No one else was transferred out more than once

The top 10k overall rank vs the 10 FPL managers

Unfortunately the excellent site FPL discovery isn’t going this season. However the livefpl.net does a version which isn’t as extensive but is still very helpful. Live FPL is a must view though for live FPL ranks and live league ranks and I’d recommend anyone to use it on match days.

Here I compare the most popular players in the top 10k and of the 10 top managers and show the difference. A negative means that the top 10k ownership % is higher than the 10 top FPL managers

PlayerTop 10k10 top FPL10 top FPL – top 10k
Button33407
Pope315019
Lundstram9190-1
Kelly6850-18
Alexander Arnold419049
Robertson234017
Rico366024
Soyuncu5310047
Tomori63024
De Bruyne61709
Mount28302
Mane8580-5
Maddison6040-20
Pulisic136047
Son528028
Alli3540
Dendoncker116049
Abraham56604
Vardy981002
Jimenez193011
Ings133017
Rashford40400
Connolly22018

The template

I use the 10 managers as a proxy for serious managers teams and have a basic rule of thumb that if 7 of the 10 managers have a player or a team defence then I will seriously consider getting that player in.

Here’s the template on that basis. The difficulty with tracking the template is that you’re 1 game behind it as you obviously can’t see what their transfers are leading up to the gameweek opening.

Liverpool defence – Alexander Arnold

Leicester defence – Soyuncu

Sheffield defence – Lundstram

Mane

Son

De Bruyne

Vardy

That’s 7 players. That leaves 8 difference makers/bench warmers for your FPL team.

One managers team

fantasy premier league transfer tips GW18

This is the leading scorer’s team (78 points) for this week and the manager who’s 3rd in overall rank out of the 10 managers (137k OR).

He has 6 of the 7 template players mentioned above. This manager doesn’t have Son and his template replacement is Alli.

His bench players are the Rico, Dendoncker and Tomori and 1 of his GKs. That leaves him 4 difference makers in Rashford, Zaha, Jimenez and 1 of his GKs.

3 of his 4 difference makers returned and his template replacement player was neutral.

Team value is high at £104.8m. His last 3 seasons overall ranks are 6k and incredible 200 and 6k.

His transfer in was Rashford and Alli for Aubameyang and McGinn

The combined 10 top FPL managers teams

Here’s a team which tries to make a combination from the most represented players. Please note that it is meant to be a menu of players to help you choose your transfer rather than a realistic team and it’s value is not necessarily achievable. This week it is at £106.9m




fantasy premier league transfer tips GW18

That’s it. Hope you found it useful

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