fantasy premier league transfer tips GW23 – analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers


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Here’s our fantasy premier league transfer tips GW23 article where we analyse the teams of 10 top FPL managers. These 10 managers have not finished outside the overall rank of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons. Considering how variable the last 3 years have been this is remarkable consistency and shows an ability to adapt strategy in different seasons. It also gives you a view other than my own on strategy and player selection.

fantasy premier league transfer tips GW23 – analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers

Introduction

If the article is too long there’s a combined FPL managers team for the top 10 FPL managers analysed towards the end of the article.

Firstly, there are 9 new managers in the 10 this season. The only repeat manager I’ve found again finished in the top 100 last season

The criteria I’ve always been looking for is managers who’ve finished in the top 10k for the last 3 years when FPL has become considerably harder due to the amount of people playing and the information available.

It took me a long time to track down 10 managers who’ve been so consistent and I imagine it will get harder and harder

The 10 managers stats

These managers are incredible and every bit as impressive as last season.

1. The overall average finishing overall rank of the top 10 managers in the last 3 seasons is 3,800

2. The top 10 FPL managers have not been out of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons (ie 30 times playing)

3. 3 of the 10 have finished in the top 1,000 in the last 3 seasons

4. 2 of the 10 have finished in the top 100 in the last 3 seasons

Gameweek 22 review




A mixed week for the 10 FPL managers with 5 getting a green arrow and 5 getting a red.  The average rank of the 10 pretty much stayed the same.

The average score of the managers in GW22 was 59 after taking points deductions for extra transfers into account. That’s 2 points and 4% better than the game average of 57. High score of the 10 was 73. The low score was 51.

The average overall rank of the top 10 FPL managers is 301k. That’s an improvement by 8k over the last week. The best overall rank is 51k (1,299 pts) and the lowest 963k (1,191 pts).

The average total points are 1,258

The average team value is £104.2m.

The combined total of individual players

I’ve generally only included where there is a minimum of a player in 3 out of the 10 FPL managers teams

Goalkeeper/Defence by player

Alexander Arnold is 10 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Soyuncu is in 9 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Lundstram is in 8 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Rico is in 6 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Button and Kelly are in 5 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Goalkeeper/Defence by team

Liverpool are represented 14 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Sheffield United and Leicester are represented 9 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Brighton are represented 7 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Bournemouth and C Palace are represented 6 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Spurs and Newcastle are represented 3 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Midfielders

De Bruyne is in 10 of the FPL managers teams

Grealish is in 8 the 10 FPL managers teams

Salah is in 6 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Maddison and Mane are in 5 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Dendoncker and Martial are in 3 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Forwards

Vardy is in 9 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Jimenez and Ings are in 5 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Rashford is in 4 of the 10 managers teams

Abraham is in 3 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Connolly is in 2 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Gameweek 21 captain choice

6 of the 10 FPL managers went with Vardy

3 of the 10 FPL managers went with Rashford

1 of the 10 managers went with Sterling (Vardy vice)

The FFGeek poll for the GW22 captain choice article was 57% Vardy, 13% De Bruyne and 11% Rashford

FFGeek contributors in the same article were 89% Vardy and 6% Salah and De Bruyne

Formations

Not done this week sorry.

Wildcards and Chips

None have used their 2nd wildcard and none have used a chip.

Transfers

3 of the managers carried over a free transfer. No managers took points deductions for an extra transfers.

Transfers in

Richarlison was transferred in by 2 managers

No one was transferred in more than once

Transfers out

Alli was transferred out by 3 managers

No one was transferred out more than once

The top 10k overall rank vs the 10 FPL managers

Unfortunately the excellent site FPL discovery isn’t going this season. However the livefpl.net does a version which isn’t as extensive but is still very helpful. Live FPL also gives you live FPL ranks and live league ranks during gameweeks.

Here I compare the most popular players in the top 10k and of the 10 top managers and show the difference. A negative means that the top 10k ownership % is higher than the 10 top FPL managers

PlayerTop 10k10 top FPL10 top FPL – top 10k
Button335017
Ryan3420-14
Lundstram9280-12
Kelly6550-15
Alexander Arnold7910021
Rico346026
Soyuncu579033
De Bruyne941006
Mane8050-30
Maddison47503
Salah256035
Grealish458035
Dendoncker103020
Martial143016
Cantwell4320-23
Abraham3530-5
Vardy9690-6
Jimenez215029
Ings5950-9
Rashford31409

The template

I use the 10 managers as a proxy for serious managers teams and have a basic rule of thumb that if 7 of the 10 managers have a player or a team defence then I will seriously consider getting that player in.

Here’s the template on that basis. The difficulty with tracking the template is that you’re 1 game behind it as you obviously can’t see what their transfers are leading up to the gameweek opening.

Liverpool defence – Alexander Arnold

Leicester defence – Soyuncu

Sheffield defence – Lundstram

De Bruyne

Grealish

Vardy

That’s 6 players.

That leaves 9 difference makers/bench warmers for your FPL team.  The template is very small at the moment which will lead to wide variations of scores weekly.

One managers team

fantasy premier league transfer tips GW23

This is the manager who’s 2nd to last of the 10 with an overall rank of 790k.  Don’t think because of his current OR that this guy is a mug though. His last 3 seasons overall ranks are 3k and 8k and 6k. This week though he’s on the way back  with 73 points.

He has 5 of the 6 template players mentioned above.  He doesn’t have Soyuncu.

His bench players are Woodman, Rico and Dendoncker and possibly Kelly as he has Guaita in goal.

That leaves him 5 difference makers in Rashford, Calvert Lewin, Richarlison, Salah and Aurier.  3 of those 5 returned including 1 as captain.

Team value is low at £102.6m

This week his transfers were Calvert Lewin and Richarlison in for Alli and Greenwood out.  I suspect that given the transfers and the captain choice that he’s going to implement a very fixture based recovery plan.

The combined 10 top FPL managers teams

Here’s a team which tries to make a combination from the most represented players. Please note that it is meant to be a menu of players to help you choose your transfer rather than a realistic team and it’s value is not necessarily achievable. This week it is completely not achievable at £109.4m




fantasy premier league transfer tips GW23

That’s it. Hope you found it useful

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