fantasy premier league transfer tips GW27 – analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers – Final


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Here’s our fantasy premier league transfer tips GW27 interim article where we analyse the teams of 10 top FPL managers. These 10 managers have not finished outside the overall rank of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons. Considering how variable the last 3 years have been this is remarkable consistency and shows an ability to adapt strategy in different seasons. It also gives you a view other than my own on strategy and player selection. We’ve now updated the article for the 10 managers scores

fantasy premier league transfer tips GW27 – analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers – Final

In italics are the new bits added

Introduction

If the article is too long there’s a combined FPL managers team for the top 10 FPL managers analysed towards the end of the article.

Firstly, there are 9 new managers in the 10 this season. The only repeat manager I’ve found again finished in the top 100 last season

The criteria I’ve always been looking for is managers who’ve finished in the top 10k for the last 3 years when FPL has become considerably harder due to the amount of people playing and the information available.

It took me a long time to track down 10 managers who’ve been so consistent and I imagine it will get harder and harder

The 10 managers stats

These managers are incredible and every bit as impressive as last season.

1. The overall average finishing overall rank of the top 10 managers in the last 3 seasons is 3,800

2. The top 10 FPL managers have not been out of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons (ie 30 times playing)

3. 3 of the 10 have finished in the top 1,000 in the last 3 seasons

4. 2 of the 10 have finished in the top 100 in the last 3 seasons

Gameweek 26 review

A reasonable week for the 10 FPL managers with 6 getting a green arrow and 4 getting a red. The average rank of the 10 improved by a good margin as a result

The average score of the managers in GW26 was 67 after taking points deductions for extra transfers into account. That’s 11 points and 20% better than the game average of 56. High score of the 10 was 85. The low score was 54.

The average overall rank of the top 10 FPL managers is 113k. That’s an improvement by 29k over the last gameweek. The best overall rank is 12k (1,570 pts) and the lowest 312k (1,469 pts). I think the median overall rank is more reflective though and that is 90k

The average total points are 1,521

The average team value is £104.7m.

The combined total of individual players

I’ve generally only included where there is a minimum of a player in 3 out of the 10 FPL managers teams

Goalkeeper/Defence by player

Alexander Arnold is 10 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Soyuncu is in 9 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Jack Stephens and Button are in 5 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Robertson and Lundstram are in 4 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Pope and Rico are in 3 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Goalkeeper/Defence by team

Liverpool are represented 16 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Sheffield United are represented 10 times in the 10 FPL managers team

Leicester are represented 9 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Brighton are represented 7 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Southampton are represented 5 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Bournemouth, Burnley and Newcastle are represented in 3 managers teams

Midfielders

De Bruyne and Salah are in 10 of the FPL managers teams

Grealish is in 7 the 10 FPL managers teams

Dendoncker, Mane, Son and Martial are in 3 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Forwards

Ings is in 9 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Jimenez is in 5 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Calvert Lewin and Vardy are in 5 of the 10 managers teams

Captain choice

All 10 FPL managers had Salah as captain

The FFGeek poll for the GW26 captain choice was 66% Salah , 16% Aguero and 9% De Bruyne

Formations

8 managers played 3-4-3

1 manager played 3-5-2

1 managers played 4-3-3

Wildcards and Chips

None have used their 2nd wildcard but all 10 have used their triple captain chip

Transfers

1 of the managers carried over a free transfer. no managers took point deductions for extra transfers.

Transfers in

Boly, Jimenez and Jack Stephens were transferred in by 3 managers

No one else was transferred in more than once

Transfers out

Lundstram was transferred out by 4 managers

Martin Kelly was transferred out by 2 managers

No one else was transferred out more than once

The top 10k overall rank vs the 10 FPL managers

Unfortunately the excellent site FPL discovery isn’t going this season. However the livefpl.net does a version which isn’t as extensive but is still very helpful. Live FPL also gives you live FPL ranks and live league ranks during gameweeks.

Here I compare the most popular players in the top 10k and of the 10 top managers and show the difference. A negative means that the top 10k ownership % is higher than the 10 top FPL managers




PlayerTop 10k10 top FPL10 top FPL – top 10k
Button345016
Dean Henderson3820-18
Pope173013
Lundstram6340-23
Kelly3810-28
Alexander Arnold8710013
Robertson224018
Soyuncu359055
Rico123018
Van Dijk2610-16
Stephens45046
De Bruyne911009
Mane203010
Salah961004
Grealish527018
Dendoncker113019
Martial123018
Traore3820-18
Son103020
Cantwell3420-14
Vardy5350-3
Ings699021
Calvert Lewin125038
Jimenez396021

The template

I use the 10 managers as a proxy for serious managers teams and have a basic rule of thumb that if 7 of the 10 managers have a player or a team defence then I will seriously consider getting that player in.

Here’s the template on that basis. The difficulty with tracking the template is that you’re 1 game behind it as you obviously can’t see what their transfers are leading up to the gameweek opening.

Liverpool defence – Alexander Arnold

Leicester defence – Soyuncu

Sheffield defence – one of Stevens, Egan, O’Connell or Henderson.  Lundstram remains an unknown benched for 3 consecutive games but scores as a sub

De Bruyne

Grealish

Salah

Ings

That’s 7 players.  Vardy falls out of the template.

That leaves 8 difference makers/bench warmers for your FPL team.

One managers team

This is the manager who’s 3rd with an OR of 20k.   His last 3 seasons overall ranks are an incredible 95, 671 and 1k.

He has 5 of the 7 template players mentioned above.

His template replacement players are Boly for a Sheffield defender and Calvert Lewin for Ings

His bench players are McGovern, Hayden and Reid

That leaves him 5 difference makers in Pope, Robertson, Son, Maupay and Abraham

Team value is very low at £101.9m

This week his transfer was Boly in for Targett.

The combined 10 top FPL managers teams

Here’s a team which tries to make a combination from the most represented players. Please note that it is meant to be a menu of players to help you choose your transfer rather than a realistic team and it’s value is not necessarily achievable. This week it is not achievable by many at £106.9m




That’s it. Hope you found it useful

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