fantasy premier league transfer tips GW28 – analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers


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Here’s our fantasy premier league team tips GW28 article where we analyse the teams of 10 top FPL managers. These 10 managers have not finished outside the overall rank of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons. Considering how variable the last 3 years have been this is remarkable consistency and shows an ability to adapt strategy in different seasons. It also gives you a view other than my own on strategy and player selection. We also look at what the 10 managers appear to be doing for the doubles and blanks.

fantasy premier league transfer tips GW28 – analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers





If the article is too long there’s a combined FPL managers team for the top 10 FPL managers analysed towards the end of the article.

Firstly, there are 9 new managers in the 10 this season and I’m delighted to say that one of them is our own FFGeek contributor Keith Spencer. You can find Keith on twitter here by the way Keith’s last 3 years history are 17/18 (3,940), 16/17 ( 325) and 15/16 (9,280).

We’ve also added Paul Williams to the FFGeek team who is also part of the 10 top managers. His history is 17/18 (412), 16/17 ( 1,382) and 15/16 (7,164). See his latest article here

The criteria I’ve always been looking for is managers who’ve finished in the top 10k for the last 3 years when FPL has become considerably harder due to the amount of people playing and the information available.

It took me hours and hours to track down 10 managers who’ve been so consistent and my opinion after doing so is that there are probably only 20 or so in the world that qualify.

The 10 managers stats

These managers are unbelievable and every bit as impressive as last season.

1. The overall average finishing overall rank of the top 10 managers in the last 3 seasons is 3,667

2. The top 10 FPL managers have not been out of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons (ie 30 times playing)

3. 7 of the 10 have finished in the top 1,000 in the last 3 seasons

Gameweek 27 review

A bad week for the 10 FPL managers. Only 3 of the 10 had a green arrow

The average score of the managers in GW27 was 35 taking into account point deductions for extra transfers. That’s the same as the game average of 35.  High score of the 10 was 43. The low score was 27. A small spread of 16 for a low scoring gameweek.

The average overall rank of the top 10 FPL managers is 48k, a worsening of rank from last week of 7k. The best overall rank is now around the top 500 and the lowest 189k.

The average total points are 1,656

The average team value is £105.0m

You can see my score and rank in the early FFGeek team article which I’ll do today (Monday).

The combined total of individual players

I’ve included where there is a minimum of a player in 3 out of the 10 FPL managers teams

Goalkeeper/Defence

Wan Bissaka and Doherty are in 9 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Robertson, Fabianski and Bednarek are in 4 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Allison, Shaw, Alexander Arnold, Kolasinac, Button, Hamer and Patricio are in 3 of the FPL managers teams

Goalkeeper/Defence by team

Wolves GK/Defs are represented 14 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Liverpool GK/Defs are represented 10 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

C Palace GK/Defs are represented 9 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

West Ham GK/Defs are represented 5 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Southampton and Leicester GK/Defs are represented 4 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Man Utd and Arsenal GK/Defs are represented 3 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Midfielders

Salah is in 10 of the FPL managers teams

Pogba and Son HM are in 9 of the FPL managers teams

Anderson is in 6 of the FPL managers teams

Mane is in 3 of the FPL managers teams

Forwards

Rashford is in 10 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Jimenez is in 6 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Aubameyang is in 5 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Aguero is in 4 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Gameweek 27 captain choice

5 of the 10 FPL managers went with Aubameyang

3 of the managers went with Son HM

1 each went with Salah and Anderson

The FFGeek poll was 39% Aubameyang, 31% Son HM, 10% Salah and 6% Anderson

The Site 1 poll in my GW27 captain choice article was 30% Salah, 25% Aubameyang, 8% Salah and 9% Anderson

The top 10k captain choice (from the excellent free site FPL discovery) was 35% Son and 28% Aubameyang 12% Salah and 8% Anderson. The FFGeek poll this time was very different to the top 10k.

Formations

Not done this week sorry.

Wildcards, chips, transfers and hits

1 of the managers has used their 2nd wildcard

2 have used their triple captain chip.

None have used the free hit or bench boost chip.

There are a number of options on where to use the chip this season so see my latest double and blanks article on where these are likely to be and some strategy options.

Transfers in and out

I only summarise the transfers when a player is transferred in more than once.

10 of the 10 managers made a transfer.

Transfers in

Anderson was transferred in by 5 managers

Pereira (Leicester def) was transferred in by 4 managers

Kolasinac and Maddison were transferred in by 2 managers

No one else was transferred in more than once

Transfers out

Richarlison was transferred out by 6 managers

Sane and Digne were transferred out by 2 managers

No one else was transferred out more than once

Hits

6 managers took a 4 point deduction for an extra transfer.

Blanks and doubles strategy

Obviously it’s impossible to know what’s going on in their minds exactly.

However there are 8 teams that play in the blank weeks of GW31 and GW33.

They are Liverpool, Everton, Chelsea, Bournemouth, Burnley, Huddersfield, Leicester and West Ham.

8 of the 10 managers only transferred players in from those teams or of the 3 transfers made, transferred 2 players from that group.

To me that’s a sign they are following the strategy of preparing for GW31 using free transfers or hits rather than using a chip.

As I said above see my latest article on the blanks and doubles

The top 10k overall rank vs the 10 FPL managers

The schedule shows the players in the top 10k overall rank teams percentage wise vs the 10 top FPL managers I follow.

GKstop 10k10 top FPL managers
Fabianski4240
Hamer1830
Patrício1730
Etheridge1310
Button1320
Foster12n/a
Alisson1030
Speroni10n/a
Guaita8n/a
Lloris7n/a
Boruc11n/a
DEFs
Robertson6740
Doherty6190
Pereira3540
Wan-Bissaka7290
Kolasinac2830
Bennett1820
Shaw1830
Digne1720
Alexander-Arnold1430
Bednarek1340
MIDs
Salah92100
Pogba8990
Son7890
Felipe Anderson4260
Richarlison1620
Mané1530
Sterling15n/a
Fraser10n/a
Jota9n/a
FWDs
Rashford83100
Jiménez7360
Aubameyang3550
Aguero3940
Lacazette11n/a
Rondón9n/a
Firmino6n/a

The top 10k average score was 40 compared to the 10 top managers average of 35.

I use 30% as a rule of thumb as a significant variation between the two player sets.

No player fits that criteria of difference

All the information is provided by the truly fantastic free site FPL discovery.

So the 10 manager template is very similar to the top 10k one.

The combined 10 top FPL managers teams

Here’s a team which tries to make a combination from the most represented players. Please note that it is meant to be a menu of players to help you choose your transfer rather than a realistic team and it’s value is nothing like achievable.

fantasy premier league transfer tips GW28

So who’s worth considering as essential?

I define this by either 70% of the top 10k own a player or defensive team or 7 of the 10 top FPL managers own him

Liverpool defence (GK/Def represented 10 times of the 10 FPL managers)

Doherty (Wolves defence represented 14 times in the 10 FPL managers teams).

Salah (owned by 10 of the 10 managers)

Pogba (owned by 9 of the 10 FPL managers)

Son HM (owned by 9 of the 10 FPL managers)

Plus maybes

Rashford (owned by 10/10 FPL managers) – could be sold as seems unlikely to play GW28 and doesn’t fit the blanks and doubles strategy

Wan Bissaka (owned 10 of the 10 top FPL managers but is often a bench player so maybe avoidable)

Jimenez (owned by 72% of the top 10k and 6 of the 10 top managers) – doesn’t fit the blanks and doubles strategy so could be eased out.

So that’s 5 essentials and 3 maybes. This leaves room for 7 differentials/bench two pointers.

Focus on 1 managers team

Here’s the team of one of the lowest scorers this week with a score of 35.   His rank is 9k and his TV is £105.3m. His transfer this week was Kolasinac in for Laporte.  From his team it’s difficult to assess how he will deal with the blanks.  He only has Salah, Alexander Arnold and Richarlison to navigate GW31/33 with.  Fulham do play in GW31 though but not guaranteed as yet for 33.



fantasy premier league transfer tips GW28

He has the full suite of the template with the 5 essentials and 3 others.  He’s one of the few who didn’t sell Richarlison.

He only has  bench outfield players in Chambers and Camarasa.  Plus Hart as a GK bench player.

That leaves 4 differentials in Patricio (double Wolves defence), Kolasinac, Aguero and Richarlison.

Hope you found the above useful

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