fantasy premier league transfer tips GW29 – analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers


,

I’ve moved hosting companies and hopefully you are able to access the site as normal.  Apologies for the problems over the last few days.  Here’s our fantasy premier league team tips GW29 article where we analyse the teams of 10 top FPL managers. These 10 managers have not finished outside the overall rank of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons. Considering how variable the last 3 years have been this is remarkable consistency and shows an ability to adapt strategy in different seasons. It also gives you a view other than my own on strategy and player selection. We also look at what the 10 managers appear to be doing for the doubles and blanks.

fantasy premier league transfer tips GW29 – analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers

If the article is too long there’s a combined FPL managers team for the top 10 FPL managers analysed towards the end of the article.

Firstly, there are 9 new managers in the 10 this season and I’m delighted to say that one of them is our own FFGeek contributor Keith Spencer. You can find Keith on twitter here by the way Keith’s last 3 years history are 17/18 (3,940), 16/17 ( 325) and 15/16 (9,280).

We’ve also added Paul Williams to the FFGeek team who is also part of the 10 top managers. His history is 17/18 (412), 16/17 ( 1,382) and 15/16 (7,164). See his latest article here

The criteria I’ve always been looking for is managers who’ve finished in the top 10k for the last 3 years when FPL has become considerably harder due to the amount of people playing and the information available.

It took me hours and hours to track down 10 managers who’ve been so consistent and my opinion after doing so is that there are probably only 20 or so in the world that qualify.

The 10 managers stats

These managers are unbelievable and every bit as impressive as last season.

1. The overall average finishing overall rank of the top 10 managers in the last 3 seasons is 3,667

2. The top 10 FPL managers have not been out of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons (ie 30 times playing)

3. 7 of the 10 have finished in the top 1,000 in the last 3 seasons




Gameweek 28 review

A good week for the 10 FPL managers. 7 of the 10 had a green arrow despite the drop in average rank

The average score of the managers in GW28 was 56 taking into account point deductions for extra transfers. That’s 3 points and 6 % higher than the game average of 35. High score of the 10 was 75. The low score was 43. A big spread of 32 even for a high scoring gameweek.

The average overall rank of the top 10 FPL managers is 54k, a worsening of rank from last week of 6k. The best overall rank is now around the top 500 and the lowest 258k.

The average total points are 1,712

The average team value is £104.8m

You can see my score and rank in the early FFGeek team article which I’ll do today (Thursday).

The combined total of individual players

I’ve included where there is a minimum of a player in 3 out of the 10 FPL managers teams

Goalkeeper/Defence by player

Doherty is in 9 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Wan Bissaka is in 7 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Robertson is in 5 of the 10 managers teams

Alexander Arnold, Fabianski and Bednarek are in 4 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Allison, Shaw, Kolasinac, Button, Hamer and Patricio are in 3 of the FPL managers teams

Goalkeeper/Defence by team

Wolves GK/Defs are represented 14 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Liverpool GK/Defs are represented 12 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

C Palace GK/Defs are represented 7 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Leicester GK/Defs are represented 6 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

West Ham GK/Defs are represented 5 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Southampton GK/Defs are represented 4 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Man Utd and Arsenal GK/Defs are represented 3 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Midfielders

Salah is in 10 of the FPL managers teams

Pogba is in 9 of the FPL managers teams

Son HM is in 8 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Anderson is in 5 of the FPL managers teams

Mane is in 4 of the FPL managers teams

Forwards

Jimenez is in 6 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Aubameyang is in 5 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Aguero and Rashford are in 4 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Rondon, Kamara and Barnes are in 2 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Gameweek 28 captain choice

6 of the 10 FPL managers went with Sala

2 of the managers each went with Auguero and Aubameyang

No FFGeek poll this week to compare.

Formations

Not done this week sorry.

Wildcards, chips, transfers and hits

1 of the managers has used their 2nd wildcard

2 have used their triple captain chip.

None have used the free hit or bench boost chip.

There are a number of options on where to use the chip this season so see my latest doubles and blanks article on where these are likely to be and some strategy options.

Transfers in and out

I only summarise the transfers when a player is transferred in more than once.

9 of the 10 managers made a transfer.

Transfers in

Vardy, Rondon, Barnes, and Chilwell each were transferred in by 2 managers.

No one else was transferred in more than once

Transfers out

Rashford was transferred out by 6 managers

Wan Bissaka and Laporte were transferred out by 2 managers

No one else was transferred out more than once

Hits

4 managers took a 4 point deduction for an extra transfer.

Blanks and doubles strategy

Obviously it’s impossible to know what’s going on in their minds exactly.

However there are 8 teams that play in the blank weeks of GW31 and GW33.

They are Liverpool, Everton, Chelsea, Bournemouth, Burnley, Huddersfield, Leicester and West Ham.

11 of the 12 transfers were players from those teams.

To me that’s a sign they are following the strategy of preparing for GW31 using free transfers or hits rather than using a chip.  Then they are likely to free hit in 32

The top 10k overall rank vs the 10 FPL managers

The schedule shows the players in the top 10k overall rank teams percentage wise vs the 10 top FPL managers I follow.

GKsTop 10k10 top FPL managers
Fabianski4240
Patrício1730
Ederson13n/a
Alisson1330
Etheridge1210
Foster12n/a
Boruc10n/a
Lloris5n/a
DEFs
Robertson7450
Doherty6490
Wan-Bissaka6070
Pereira3340
Kolasinac3130
Bednarek2240
Alexander-Arnold2040
Shaw1830
van Dijk15n/a
MIDs
Salah93100
Pogba9090
Son6480
Anderson3550
Sterling21n/a
Richarlison1820
Mané1740
Camarasa910
FWDs
Jiménez8160
Agüero5340
Rashford5240
Rondón2620
Aubameyang2550
Lacazette11n/a
Barnes1020

The top 10k average score was 55 compared to the 10 top managers average of 56.

I use 30% as a rule of thumb as a significant variation between the two player sets.

No player fits that criteria of difference

All the information is provided by the truly fantastic free site FPL discovery.

So the 10 manager template is very similar to the top 10k one.

The combined 10 top FPL managers teams

Here’s a team which tries to make a combination from the most represented players. Please note that it is meant to be a menu of players to help you choose your transfer rather than a realistic team and it’s value is nothing like achievable.




fantasy premier league transfer tips GW29

So who’s worth considering as essential?

I define this by either 70% of the top 10k own a player or defensive team or 7 of the 10 top FPL managers own him

Liverpool defence (GK/Def represented 12 times of the 10 FPL managers)

Doherty (Wolves defence represented 14 times in the 10 FPL managers teams).

Salah (owned by 10 of the 10 managers)

Pogba (owned by 9 of the 10 FPL managers)

Son HM (owned by 8 of the 10 FPL managers)

Plus maybes

Wan Bissaka (owned 10 of the 10 top FPL managers but is often a bench player so maybe avoidable and now injured)

Jimenez (owned by 81% of the top 10k and 6 of the 10 top managers) – doesn’t fit the blanks and doubles strategy so could be eased out soon.

So that’s 5 essentials and 2 maybes. This leaves room for 8 differentials/bench two pointers.

Focus on 1 managers team

Here’s his points this week:

fantasy premier league transfer tips GW29

He scored 47 -4 which was a poor week comparatively.  He has all the 5 essentials above of Doherty, Robertson, Salah, Son and Pogba.  He also has the maybe of Jimenez.  He doesn’t have the maybe of AWB.  He only has Bednarek as a bench outfield player.  Plus GK Button.

Therefore his 7 differentials are.  Fabianski, Pereira, Anderson, Aguero, Rondon, David Luiz and Snodgrass.

You can also see he’s building to have a full team in GW32.  He currently has 8 people playing in that blank GW31 with 3 transfers in hand.

His current rank is 23k.  His team value is £104.6m.  His last 3 seasons OR are an incredible 4k, 2k and 412.

Hope you found the above useful

Follow FFGeek on twitter and facebook and instagram for article updates and news

Geek League links and details

fantasy premier league 

Sky Sports fantasy football

Enter PIN: 8367679

Sun Dream Team

League PIN is SGDKX9Y3

6 thoughts on “fantasy premier league transfer tips GW29 – analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers”

  1. Great to have the site back! :)

    Are people looking to bench or offload Aguero/Auba for GW31/33? Any thoughts on giving Higuain and/or Firmino (if fit) a punt as replacements given the funds A/A would free up? Much of the discussion on forwards to date has instead focussed on Vardy/Rondon/Barnes.

    • Yes I will sell Aguero for 31/33. Providing he is fit I’ll FH him in 32 and WC him in 34.
      I wouldn’t want two Chelsea attacking players so I’d take Hazard and ignore Higuain.
      I would want three Liverpool from Salah, Robertson, Mane, TAA. No Firmino for me.
      Last transfer was Rashford to Barnes which gave me this for 28.
      Patricio
      Doherty, Robbo, Digne, Kola
      Pogba, Salah, Son
      AGUERO, Barnes, Jimenez
      Fabianski, Puncheon, Anderson, Wan-Bissaka

      My three bench players for 31 are Pogba, Doherty, Jimenez as they are all plus 1 million. Guess I’ll field 10.

  2. Hasn’t Higuain only scored two goals in English football – against Huddersfield ??

    The three strikers you mention are the best with a GW31 fixture, unless Firmino is back. Or King. I jumped on the Vardy “ new manager bounce “ with his attractive fixtures.

    GW28 was likely to hinge on who scored big from Aguero Auba and Agueros tasty home games. In the end it turned out to be who had Mane, Van Dijk, Robertson and Alexander-Arnold… remarkably my two Liverpool defenders Robbo and Trent assisted all five Liverpool goals !!

  3. Same as Andrew… I had Robertson, TAA and Auba (C)… 71 points returned for a 6k green arrow to 14k OR.

Comments are closed.