fantasy premier league transfer tips GW30 – analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers – UPDATED


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Here’s our UPDATED  fantasy premier league transfer tips GW30 article where we analyse the teams of 10 top FPL managers. These 10 managers have not finished outside the overall rank of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons. Considering how variable the last 3 years have been this is remarkable consistency and shows an ability to adapt strategy in different seasons. It also gives you a view other than my own on strategy and player selection.  UPDATED for the managers final scores and overall ranks

fantasy premier league transfer tips GW30 – analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers – UPDATED

Introduction

If the article is too long there’s a combined FPL managers team for the top 10 FPL managers analysed towards the end of the article.

Firstly, there are 9 new managers in the 10 this season. The only repeat manager I’ve found again finished in the top 100 last season

The criteria I’ve always been looking for is managers who’ve finished in the top 10k for the last 3 years when FPL has become considerably harder due to the amount of people playing and the information available.

It took me a long time to track down 10 managers who’ve been so consistent and I imagine it will get harder and harder

The 10 managers stats

These managers are incredible and every bit as impressive as last season.

1. The overall average finishing overall rank of the top 10 managers in the last 3 seasons is 3,800

2. The top 10 FPL managers have not been out of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons (ie 30 times playing)

3. 3 of the 10 have finished in the top 1,000 in the last 3 seasons

4. 2 of the 10 have finished in the top 100 in the last 3 seasons




Gameweek 29 review to date (updated)

A poor week so far for the 10 FPL managers with 3 getting a green arrow and 7 getting a red. The average rank of the 10 worsened

The average score of the managers in GW29 was 56 after taking points deductions for extra transfers into account. That’s 5 points and 10% better than the game average of 51. High score of the 10  was 76. The low score is 40 -4  = 36.

The average overall rank of the top 10 FPL managers so far is 101k. That’s a worsening from the last gameweek of 14k. The best overall rank is just over 500th (1,785 pts) and the lowest 286k (1,612 pts). I think the median overall rank interestingly is 83k

The average total points are 1,674

The average team value is £104.7m.

The combined total of individual players

I’ve generally only included where there is a minimum of a player in 3 out of the 10 FPL managers teams

Goalkeeper/Defence by player

Alexander Arnold is in 10 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Pope is in 8 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Soyuncu and Doherty are in 6 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Jack Stephens is in 5 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Charlie Taylor is in 4 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Button, Leno and Boly are in 3 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Goalkeeper/Defence by team

Liverpool are represented 14 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Burnley are represented 12 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Wolves are represented 10 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Leicester and Southampton are represented 6 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Sheffield, Brighton and Arsenal are represented 3 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Midfielders

Salah is in 10 of the FPL managers teams

De Bruyne is in 9 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Mane is in 4 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Hayden and Saka are in 3 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Dendoncker, Barnes, Maddison, Grealish and  Cantwell are in 2 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Forwards

Jimenez is in 9 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Ings and Calvert Lewin are in 6 of the 10 managers teams

Aubameyang is in 5 of the 10 managers teams

Jota is in 4 of the 10 managers teams

Captain choice

5 FPL managers have Salah as captain

5 FPL managers have Aubameyang as captain

The FFGeek poll for the GW29 captain choice was 53% Aubameyang , 19% Salah and De Bruyne

Formations

7 managers played 3-4-3

1 manager each played 3-5-2, 4-3-3 and 4-4-2

Wildcards and Chips

2 managers used their 2nd wildcard this week which is the total to date

1 manager used their bench boost this week which is also the total to date

All 10 managers have used their triple captain chip

The 2 wildcard teams

The objective seems to be to combine the double gameweek while covering for the blank gameweek.  Both have scored around 44.  Nothing changed from these pictures apart from auto subs

fantasy premier league transfer tips GW30

Transfers

None of the managers carried over a free transfer. 5 managers took point deductions for extra transfers.

Transfers in

These exclude wildcard transfers

Aubameyang and Sarr were transferred in by 3 managers

Jota was transferred in by 2 managers

No one else was transferred in more than once

Transfers out

Vardy and Ings were transferred out by 2 managers

No one else was transferred out more than once

The top 10k overall rank vs the 10 FPL managers

Unfortunately the excellent site FPL discovery isn’t going this season. However the livefpl.net does a version which isn’t as extensive but is still very helpful. Live FPL also gives you live FPL ranks and live league ranks during gameweeks.

Here I compare the most popular players in the top 10k and of the 10 top managers and show the difference. A negative means that the top 10k ownership % is higher than the 10 top FPL managers

PlayerTop 10k10 top FPL10 top FPL – top 10k
Button3230-2
Leno53025
Pope508030
Lundstram300-30
Doherty86052
Alexander Arnold911009
Robertson2520-5
Soyuncu346026
Boly33027
Taylor34037
Lascelles210-21
Stephens45046
De Bruyne82908
Mane254015
Salah9010-80
Sarr34037
Saka63024
Traore2610-16
Fernandes3610-26
Hayden63024
Cantwell2920-9
Aubameyang5550-5
Ings6360-3
Calvert Lewin186042
Jota104030
Jimenez639027

The template

I use the 10 managers as a proxy for serious managers teams and have a basic rule of thumb that if 7 of the 10 managers have a player or a team defence then I will seriously consider getting that player in.

Here’s the template on that basis. The difficulty with tracking the template is that you’re 1 game behind it as you obviously can’t see what their transfers are leading up to the gameweek opening.

Liverpool defence – Alexander Arnold

Burnley defence – Pope

Wolves defence – Boly unless you can afford Doherty

De Bruyne

Salah

Jimenez

That’s 6 players. Ings and the Leicester defence are removed from the template.  The Burnley defence is added.  It seems to me the 10 managers are preparing for a GW31 and not using their free ht to navigate it.

That leaves 9 difference makers/bench warmers for your FPL team. The template is very narrow meaning scores could be pretty volatile going forward

One managers team

fantasy premier league transfer tips GW30

This is the manager who’s 5th of the 10 with an OR of 66k. His last 3 seasons overall ranks are an incredible 9k, 7k and 1k. His score this week was an impressive 76.

He has 5 of the 6 template players mentioned above. He doesn’t have Jimenez but his template replacement player is Jota.

His bench players are Rico, Stephens and Button

That leaves him 6 difference makers in Soyuncu, Mane, Barnes, Ings, Calvert Lewin and Grealish. His score saw an improvement in rank from 116k to 66k.

His team value is £104.4

This week his transfer was Jota for Connolly

He has 6 players with fixtures in GW31 plus Rico.  So with free transfers he can field 8.  The transfer of Jota suggests he may think that is enough rather than using his free hit.

The combined 10 top FPL managers teams

Here’s a team which tries to make a combination from the most represented players. Please note that it is meant to be a menu of players to help you choose your transfer rather than a realistic team and it’s value is not necessarily achievable. This week it is not really achievable by many at £106.7m




fantasy premier league transfer tips GW30

That’s it. Hope you found it useful

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1 thought on “fantasy premier league transfer tips GW30 – analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers – UPDATED”

  1. Terrible transfers for me this week, I took a -4 to bring in Aub as captain (instead of Salah) and Sarr for Matial. So far that decision has cost me 26 points so I need a hatrich from Aub tomorrow just to break even

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