fantasy premier league transfer tips GW32 – analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers


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Here’s our fantasy premier league transfer tips GW32 article where we analyse the teams of 10 top FPL managers. These 10 managers have not finished outside the overall rank of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons. Considering how variable the last 3 years have been this is remarkable consistency and shows an ability to adapt strategy in different seasons. It also gives you a view other than my own on strategy and player selection. We also look at what the 10 managers appear to be doing for the doubles and blanks.

fantasy premier league transfer tips GW32 – analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers

If the article is too long there’s a combined FPL managers team for the top 10 FPL managers analysed towards the end of the article.

Firstly, there are 9 new managers in the 10 this season and I’m delighted to say that one of them is our own FFGeek contributor Keith Spencer. You can find Keith on twitter here by the way Keith’s last 3 years history are 17/18 (3,940), 16/17 ( 325) and 15/16 (9,280).

We’ve also added Paul Williams to the FFGeek team who is also part of the 10 top managers. His history is 17/18 (412), 16/17 ( 1,382) and 15/16 (7,164). See his latest article here

The criteria I’ve always been looking for is managers who’ve finished in the top 10k for the last 3 years when FPL has become considerably harder due to the amount of people playing and the information available.

It took me hours and hours to track down 10 managers who’ve been so consistent and my opinion after doing so is that there are probably only 20 or so in the world that qualify.

The 10 managers stats

These managers are unbelievable and every bit as impressive as last season.

1. The overall average finishing overall rank of the top 10 managers in the last 3 seasons is 3,667

2. The top 10 FPL managers have not been out of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons (ie 30 times playing)

3. 7 of the 10 have finished in the top 1,000 in the last 3 seasons



Gameweek 31 review

A poor week for the 10 FPL managers. Only 2 of the 10 had a green arrow.

The average score of the managers in GW31 was 32 taking into account point deductions for extra transfers. That’s 6 points and 23% higher than the game average of 26. High score of the 10 was 46 -4. The low score was 26 -4. A reasonable spread of 20 for a low scoring gameweek.

The average overall rank of the top 10 FPL managers is 58k, a worsening of rank from last week of 6k. The best overall rank is now around the top 500 and the lowest 188k.

The average total points are 1,841

The average team value is £104.3m

You can see my score and rank in the early FFGeek team article which I’ll hopefully do today (Tuesday).

The combined total of individual players

I’ve included where there is a minimum of a player in 3 out of the 10 FPL managers teams

Goalkeeper/Defence by player

Wan Bissaka and Alexander Arnold are in 7 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Fabianski and Doherty are in 6 of the 10 managers teams

Robertson is in 5 of the 10 managers teams

Bednarek and Pereira are in 4 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Allison, Button and Hamer are in 3 of the FPL managers teams

Digne, Shaw, Kolasinac, Clyne and Chilwell are in 2 of the FPL managers teams

Goalkeeper/Defence by team

Liverpool GK/Defs are represented 15 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Wolves GK/Defs are represented 8 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

C Palace, West Ham and Leicester GK/Defs are represented 7 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Brighton, Bournemouth and Southampton GK/Defs are represented 4 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Huddersfield GK/Defs are represented 3 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Midfielders

Salah is in 10 of the FPL managers teams

Hazard is in 8 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Pogba is in 6 of the FPL managers teams

Anderson is in 5 of the FPL managers teams

Mane and Fraser are in 4 of the FPL managers teams

Riacharlison and Maddison are in 2 of the 10 managers teams

Forwards

Vardy is in 6 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Barnes, Higuain, Jimenez and Wilson are in 3 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Rashford, Aguero, Rondon, Kamara and Arnautovic are in 2 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Gameweek 31 captain choice

10 of the 10 FPL managers went with Salah

The FFGeek poll was 58% Salah and 35% Mane. The site 1 poll was 46% Salah and 26% Mane. The top 10k was Salah 74% and Mane 18%.

Formations

Not done this week and not particularly relevant given the blank week it was

Wildcards, chips, transfers and hits

1 of the managers has used their 2nd wildcard

3 have used their triple captain chip including 1 who used it this week on Salah.

The first person has used their free hit chip this week.  He scored 32 points.

Transfers in and out

I only summarise the transfers when a player is transferred in more than once.  I won’t count the free hit transfers

9 of the 10 managers made a transfer. 1 used their free hit.

Transfers in

Hazard was transferred in 5 times

Fraser was transferred 4 times

Wilson was transferred in 3 times

Vardy was transferred in twice

No one else was transferred in more than once

Transfers out

Son was transferred out by 5 managers

Jimenez was transferred out by 3 managers

Sterling, Rashford and Aguero were transferred out by 2 managers

Pogba transferred out by 2 managers

No one else was transferred out more than once

Hits

4 managers took a 5 point hit.  1 took an 8 point hit.

Blanks and doubles strategy

See my latest doubles and blanks article

Given what’s happened so far I’m expecting 9 of the managers to use their free hit chip in GW32.  Then to wildcard in GW34 and Bench Boost in GW35/triple captain in GW35

The top 10k overall rank vs the 10 FPL managers

The schedule shows the players in the top 10k overall rank teams percentage wise vs the 10 top FPL managers I follow.

GKsTop 10k OR10 FPL managers
Fabianski6160
Boruc25n/a
Alisson930
Ederson10n/a
Patricio810
Foster5n/a
Etheridge410
DEFs
Robertson6650
Alexander-Arnold4470
Wan Bissaka4070
Rice34n/a
Pereira3440
Doherty3160
David Luiz2610
van Dijk20n/a
Digne1420
MIDs
Salah86100
Hazard7180
Mané5840
Fraser4440
Felipe Anderson3550
Pogba3060
Brooks1810
Maddison1820
FWDs
Vardy6360
Wilson5930
Rondón2920
Jiménez2230
Agüero2120
Higuaín1930
Arnautovic1620
Barnes1530

The top 10k average score was 34 compared to the 10 top managers average of 32.

As 25% of the top 10k used their free hit chip I don’t think the comparison of percentages is particularly relevant.

The combined 10 top FPL managers teams

Here’s a team which tries to make a combination from the most represented players. Please note that it is meant to be a menu of players to help you choose your transfer rather than a realistic team and it’s value is nothing like achievable.

Remember I’m expecting most of the managers to free hit this week so I think the team below is really only relevant to their GW33 teams

fantasy premier league transfer tips GW32

So who’s worth considering as template?

I’m changing the wording to template from essential as essential seems to have emotive connotations for some managers. Defining the template allows you to assess players that you could consider owning in order to mitigate downward rank movement risk.

Now remember this is only really relevant for GW33 as most of the managers, I expect, will be free hitting in GW32, then wildcarding in GW34.  So the template is only relevant for blank GW33.

I define this by either 70% of the top 10k own a player or defensive team or 7 of the 10 top FPL managers own him.  For this week they also have to have a guaranteed fixture in GW33.

Liverpool defence (GK/Def represented 15 times of the 10 FPL managers)

West Ham defence (GK/Def represented 7 times of the 10 FPL managers)

Leicester defence (GK/Def represented 7 times of the 10 FPL managers)

Wan Bissaka (owned 7 of the 10 top FPL managers but))

Salah (owned by 10 of the 10 managers)

Hazard (owned by 8 of the 10 FPL managers)

Plus

Wolves defence (GK/Def  represented 8 times in the 10 managers teams but no fixture in GW33)

Focus on 1 managers team

This week we look at the highest scorer this week.

Here’s his points:



fantasy premier league transfer tips GW32

He scored 46 -4 which was the highest score of the 10 managers this week.  He’s the top ranked manager of the 10 with an OR in the top 500.

In the last 3 seasons he’s finished within the top 1k, 1k and 4k.

He has 5 of the 7 template players.  He doesn’t have a Leicester defender or Wan Bissaka.

Hope you found the above useful

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2 thoughts on “fantasy premier league transfer tips GW32 – analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers”

  1. GW32 rearranged fixtures now confirmed :

    Chelsea v Brighton
    Man City v Cardiff
    Spurs v Palace
    Watford v Fulham
    Wolves v Man Utd

    Ten teams therefore have two fixtures in the next gameweek.

    Time to play the free hit for 11 players all with two fixtures

  2. I can’t believe these “top fpl managers” all capitained Salah, while Mané is clearly the best player of the PL right now. Guys, form is everything, stop playing your shield, play to win!

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