fantasy premier league transfer tips GW6 – the bandwagons and sinking ships


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Here’s our fantasy premier league transfer tips GW6 article where we outline the bandwagons and sinking ships. These are the 4 most transferred in players (bandwagons) and 4 most transferred out players (sinking ships) so far in the FPL gameweek.

 fantasy premier league transfer tips GW6 – the bandwagons and sinking ships

On a general note with European games this week early transfers carry an additional injury risk with competing players.

Geek note: If you join our Patreon site you will get access to an FPL contributor tracker team which combines the contributors individual teams each week to show their favourite players, transfers and captains. It will always be completed on a Friday/Saturday in a normal gameweek. There will also be a spreadsheet of each managers teams, transfers and captains so you can drill down further.

You also get:

Joe’s interactive transfer planner and points projection tool

Weekly podcasts with myself and the contributors

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The Bandwagons

These are the 4 most transferred IN players so far in the gameweek




Abraham

A supposedly tricky fixture against one of the best defences last season turned into a rout and a hat trick for Abraham.    That’s now 7 goals in his first 5 games. He’s scored them from 15 shots giving him the best conversion rate in the Premier League subject subject to minimum criteria.

In basic stats he’s equal top scorer with Aguero and 4th in non penalty xG per 90 for players over 250 mins.  Shots per game wise though he’s alot lower in 17th although to be fair he was just a sub in GW2 which negatively distorts that stat.  That’s not necessarily an issue, anyway, as players like Aubameyang and Mane are quite low volume shooters but still rack up the goals.  It’s a statement of the obvious that you’d want the quality and the quantity that you get from someone like Aguero if you could.

At a team level Chelsea are 3rd for goals and 3rd for xG behind  Liverpool and Man City.  In shots per game they are 4th and that’s only because of the Watford shot fest vs Arsenal.  So he has the right platform in terms of Chelsea’s attacking ability to continue scoring.

His record in the Championship was excellent with 40 starts and 26 goals and 3 assists with a goal or assist every 119 minutes which is pretty impressive.  He has played in the PL  before but in a relegated Swansea side who scored 28 goals total so that tells us little.

Minutes aren’t perfect.  He’s averaged 75 minutes per start and has 2 players in Giroud and Batshuayi who are ready made substitutes.

So in summary on the positive side this is a guy who is great value for what should be a top 6 side scoring lots of goals.  He’s in great form backed up by the underlying stats and the fixtures after Liverpool next are excellent.  On the negative side the minutes played isn’t ideal and all that great stuff I talked about is now gone.  What his level is going forward is unknown given his lack of PL stats to fall back on.  You just have to take the information and what you’ve seen and decide.  At least the price mitigates alot of that risk.

GW6 LIV (H)
GW7 BHA (H)
GW8 SOU (A)
GW9 NEW (H)
GW10 BUR (A)
GW11 WAT (A)

Pukki

All 4 players in the bandwagons are new to the PL which is an interesting twist.  Pukki has also been excellent scoring 6 goals and 2 assists at a quite stunning PPM of 9.8.  In the Championship he scored 29 goals at a goal or assist every 101 minutes.

If I mirror the information I gave for Abraham.  Only Abraham and Aguero have scored more goals than Pukki’s 6.  He’s 7th in the same NPxG stat as Abrahams above and in shots per game he’s 6th.

That’s an impressive start considering he’s played Man City, Liverpool and Chelsea in his first 5.

Norwich are 5th in goals scored 9th in xG although they are 20th in shots per game.  How much distortion there is due to the fixtures is the unknown but the shot stat is not an ideal backdrop.

So in some ways it’s similar to Abraham although Pukki is in a side that will be happy to stay in the Premier League whereas Chelsea will be aiming for the Champions League places.  Fixtures are pretty good.

GW6 BUR (A)
GW7 CRY (A)
GW8 AVL (H)
GW9 BOU (A)
GW10 MUN (H)
GW11 BHA (A)

Mount

The Chelsea AM has scored 3 goals in his first 5 games, playing 90 mins in each at a PPM of 6.2.  That’s a great return and he’s great value given the context of the team and position he’s playing in.

The underlying stats are good so far and he certainly likes to shoot alot.  Again that’s all gone and the future is difficult to predict.  However the price for a Chelsea AM again mitigates that risk to some degree.

As I said for Abraham the fixtures after Liverpool are excellent

GW6 LIV (H)
GW7 BHA (H)
GW8 SOU (A)
GW9 NEW (H)
GW10 BUR (A)
GW11 WAT (A)

Cantwell

Given some of the FPL dross that’s been given to us at the £4.5m – £5m level Cantwell as an AM in an attacking side is a shining light.  I mean Winks and Gomes were £5.5m to start off.  While Robinson, Djenepo and Boufal have come to light recently they still £5.0m plus.  Even at the increased price of £4.9m from his original £4.5m he is a bargain.  So much so that here’s no need for stats.

GW6 BUR (A)
GW7 CRY (A)
GW8 AVL (H)
GW9 BOU (A)
GW10 MUN (H)
GW11 BHA (A)

The Sinking Ships

These are the 4 most transferred OUT players so far in the gameweek




Jimenez

2 goals in 5 games (although 1 was a pen) and a PPM of 4.0 with 2 reasonable fixtures next isn’t a disaster but when you’ve got Abraham staring at you then the temptation to jump ship is obviously strong.

Looking deeper you see he’s 50th in non penalty xG per 90 for players over 250 minutes.  That’s not good and he hasn’t had the assist back up in production or underlying stats that he had last season.  In fact he’s way off.  It wasn’t helped by a busy summer with Mexico and a less than helpful International break.  Add to the fact that Wolves seem to have fallen apart attack wise with only Palace, Villa and Newcastle scoring less than their 6.

The Europa League is definitely having it’s negative effect and that will continue especially as Wolves haven’t got a huge squad.

GW6 CRY (A)
GW7 WAT (H)
GW8 MCI (A)
GW9 SOU (H)
GW10 NEW (A)
GW11 ARS (A)

Barnes

It has been a good start for Barnes with 4 goals and a PPM of 5.8.  Although he has over performed his underlying stats going forward they are pretty good and consistent with last season so you have some faith that he could continue in the manner of last season.

Burnley are 17th in xG so far which is not a helpful back drop and aren’t really a swashbuckling attacking side.  Barnes also didn’t help himself in the game vs Brighton where he only had the 1 shot.

How desperate you would be to take him out before Norwich at home though

GW6 NOR (H)
GW7 AVL (A)
GW8 EVE (H)
GW9 LEI (A)
GW10 CHE (H)
GW11 SHU (A)

Kane

When you cost £11.0m and in a 4-0 win you take 1 shot (which was from so far out it may as well been from kick off) and return 5 points from an assist then you’re going to get sold.  I wish I could give people comfort on the underlying stats but the non penalty xG is absolutely laughable and his shots per 90 is at it’s lowest per 90 for 6 seasons.

His PPM at 5.6 isn’t disastrous but if you look at the other players over £10m their PPM are as follows:

Aguero 9.2

Salah 9.0

Mane 8.0

Aubameyang and Sterling 7.8

Now lets not forget this is Harry Kane and it’s only 5 games and the early season has seen him written off before.  This is the player who prior to last season scored 105 goals in 4 seasons.  Yes they maybe padded by 14 penalties but they all count as FPL points and yes he may have beaten his expected goals by 9 (nearly 50%) in 1 of those seasons but there’s no FPL discount for any of these things.

It’s just at the moment it’s hard to find the positives apart from his history as Harry Kane.  The fixtures are a bit mixed as well

GW6 LEI (A)
GW7 SOU (H)
GW8 BHA (A)
GW9 WAT (H)
GW10 LIV (A)
GW11 EVE (A)

Sterling

2 blanks at £12.1m are going to see you being sold that’s for sure.  Although the underlying stats for Sterling v Norwich were good I thought watching the game he was disappointing.  That blank came off the rather inexplicable 1 shot performance in the 4-0 win v Brighton.

Overall though his underlying stats have been excellent and it’s still 5 goals and a PPM if 7.8 with some very good fixtures to come.  Rotation is an issue but that’s part and parcel of Manchester City and to a lesser extent maybe all the UCL competing sides.

Most FPL teams can squeeze 2 premiums in and at a push 3.  It’s just which of those do you want?

GW6 WAT (H)
GW7 EVE (A)
GW8 WOL (H)
GW9 CRY (A)
GW10 AVL (H)
GW11 SOU (H)

Other posts

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Geek note: If you join our Patreon site you will get access to an FPL contributor tracker team which combines the contributors individual teams each week to show their favourite players, transfers and captains. It will always be completed on a Friday/Saturday in a normal gameweek. There will also be a spreadsheet of each managers teams, transfers and captains so you can drill down further.

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Joe’s interactive transfer planner and points projection tool

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