fantasy premier league transfer tips GW7 – the bandwagons and sinking ships


,

Here’s our fantasy premier league transfer tips GW7 article where we outline the bandwagons and sinking ships. These are the 4 most transferred in players (bandwagons) and 4 most transferred out players (sinking ships) so far in the FPL gameweek.

fantasy premier league transfer tips GW7 – the bandwagons and sinking ships

On a general note with EFL Cup games this week early transfers carry an additional injury risk with competing players although this maybe mitigated in many cases by rotation for the competition.

Geek note: If you join our Patreon site you will get access to an FPL contributor tracker team which combines the contributors individual teams each week to show their favourite players, transfers and captains. It will always be completed on a Friday/Saturday in a normal gameweek. There will also be a spreadsheet of each managers teams, transfers and captains so you can drill down further.

You also get:

Joe’s interactive transfer planner and points projection tool

Weekly podcasts with myself and the contributors

FFGeek private leagues

Access to the FFGeek Slack channel for discussion with the contributors and members




$2 and $3 tiers per calendar month. No commitment beyond 1 month

The Bandwagons

These are the 4 most transferred IN players so far in the gameweek

Abraham

7 goals in 5 starts plus 1 as sub is some start for the £7.4m Chelsea forward who came back from a loan to Championship side Derby last season.

He has everything in his favour at the moment.  Excellent fixtures, great underlying stats and in a side creating virtually the same number of expected goals as Liverpool so far this season.  His price for a Chelsea striker, who have the ability to get into the top 4, is also a major attraction.   What’s more his all round game including his link up play has being excellent belying the thought that he was a penalty width poacher only.

If you were looking for negatives you would say that his average minutes when he’s started has been 75 and he’s been subbed no later than 83 in every game he has started.  You could try and rationalise that this was due to his energy levels dropping due to the pressing demands of Lampard and the early subbings could reduce once he’s adapted.  However with Batshuayi and Giroud in the wings there is potential for that to continue.

Lastly would be that we don’t know what his natural output is as, excluding a pretty irrelevant spell with relegated Swansea, this is his first real season in the PL.  He is currently operating at a level we would expect Aguero to be at.  It seems unlikely that he’s at that level now and so you imagine there could be a drop to some natural level of whatever his is.  It will be interesting to find out what that is.  In the mean time he’s hard to avoid.

GW7 BHA (H)
GW8 SOU (A)
GW9 NEW (H)
GW10 BUR (A)
GW11 WAT (A)
GW12 MCI (A)

De Bruyne

The £9.9m Man City CM has been in sensational form with 2 goals and 7 assists in 5 starts plus 1 as sub.  That’s backed up by incredible underlying stats.  What’s more when he’s started he’s averaged 83 minutes and played 90 minutes in 3 of those 5 starts.  He still will be subject to the odd rotation but that’s to be expected with Man City.

I have previous expressed an opinion that the cost for a player who you wouldn’t captain was prohibitive (despite transferring him in myself) but the fact is at the moment his output more than justifies him being in the team irrespective of whether you captain him or not.  An additional advantage, as many FPL managers found out in GW6, is his ability as a vice captain if another City player is rested.

If you were scratching around for negatives you would say that at the moment he is operating at double the level of his Guardiola City underlying stats.  That maybe a new level for him and the team, who knows?  If he were to move to the average level he showed under Pep it would still be a good return but whether it would be worth it if you didn’t see him as a captain option, is questionable.

At the moment though that isn’t relevant as he continues returning  at a fantastic rate with good fixtures coming up.

GW7 EVE (A)
GW8 WOL (H)
GW9 CRY (A)
GW10 AVL (H)
GW11 SOU (H)
GW12 LIV (A)

Otamendi

A goal, an assist and a clean sheet for 15 FPL points for the Man City CB is some comeback after the personal disaster that was away to Norwich.

Apart from the GK Ederson he is the safest option in the City defence with Laporte and Stones injured.  Walker has competition from Cancelo and Mendy is back to take over Zinchenko although whether he has his minutes managed after injury is an unknown.

The only issue with Otamendi is whether, with City in such devastating attacking form, a City defender is a waste of one of your 3 options and you should get a 3rd attacker in your team.

GW7 EVE (A)
GW8 WOL (H)
GW9 CRY (A)
GW10 AVL (H)
GW11 SOU (H)
GW12 LIV (A)

Lundstram

Coming into GW1 there were perhaps four £4.0m defensive options in Lundstram, Kelly, Rico and Hanley.  Those who plucked for Lundstram as an FPL defender playing as a CM have been richly rewarded (assuming he wasn’t stuck on your FPL bench).  What’s more Sheffield United have also kept 2 clean sheets in their first 2 games both of which he’s added attacking returns for 12 and 14 FPL point hauls.

According to my form tables he’s 2nd in attacking underlying stats for defenders only behind £7.1m Alexander Arnold.  He’s operating a pretty handy level even if he was a midfielder.  His stats would put him 18th in the midfielders form table ahead of, say, Grealish and Felipe Anderson.  And that’s without the bonus of clean sheet points.

Again he’s another player from a team from the Championship and establishing a level going forward is always tricky.  I personally find it difficult to put such a player on my bench as you just know you’ll miss out on one of those 12 or 14 pointers.  Will the attacking returns and clean sheets continue?  You could argue that it doesn’t matter that much for £4.3m.  I guess that depends on how happy you are having him as a rotation and accepting the risk of missing out on a big haul or whether you’re prepared to plough through and accept the good with the bad.

The fixtures aren’t great but if you’re willing to rotate him then that’s not an issue.

GW7 LIV (H)
GW8 WAT (A)
GW9 ARS (H)
GW10 WHU (A)
GW11 BUR (H)
GW12 TOT (A)




The Sinking Ships

These are the 4 most transferred OUT players so far in the gameweek

Sterling

The Man City LAM has blanked twice and then was left on the bench in the 8-0 win over Watford.  Given that background at £12.1m it’s no surprise you’re going to be sold.

It does seem a little harsh. After all this is a guy who’s got 35 goals and 32 assists in the last 2 seasons and has started the season, at least in underlying stats, at the top of my form tables for Mids.

At Man City though Aguero is on fire and there is also De Bruyne at £9.9m, David Silva at £7.5m and Bernardo Silva at £7.8m so you could decide to invest your City money elsewhere.

GW7 EVE (A)
GW8 WOL (H)
GW9 CRY (A)
GW10 AVL (H)
GW11 SOU (H)
GW12 LIV (A)

Rashford

The Man Utd striker went off vs West Ham with a groin injury.  OGS expects him to be out for a “little while” Although you may want to wait for more news later in the gameweek transfers out aren’t surprising.

I would expect Martial to continue playing CF in his absence if Martial is fit.  Reports are positive that Martial could be fit for GW7

GW7 ARS (H)
GW8 NEW (A)
GW9 LIV (H)
GW10 NOR (A)
GW11 BOU (A)
GW12 BHA (H)

Digne

After Everton started with 2 clean sheets things were looking rosy and those like myself who were concerned about the loss of Gueye and Zouma seemingly had their concerns unfounded.  However, even in the 1-0 win over Watford in GW2 the warning signs were out with Watford posting an xG of 1.17 albeit only on 8 shots.  Since then there’s been no clean sheet and 9 goals conceded in 4 games with goal shy Wolves and Sheffield United getting 2 each.  Now you could argue that Everton have been unlucky.  They do sit 5th on xG conceded so far and have been unlucky conceding 9 goals vs an xG of 6.83.  However whereas a GK like Fabianski leads West Ham to beating xG conceded,  Pickford has been rather erratic which hasn’t helped.

However that’s only half the story.  Digne hasn’t been himself on the attacking front either.  In my defenders form tables for attacking underlying stats he currently sits 23rd and 12th for fullbacks.  While I acknowledge that this table for defenders is pretty volatile his xA90, which is his bread and butter, is half last years rate.  The good thing though is the volume of key passes is marginally up.  Also it’s worth noting that in GW6 v Sheffield Everton attacked primarily down the right which wasn’t helpful.

As if that wasn’t enough the next game is home to Man City.  So if you were looking for exit points there’s none better and those teetering on the edge of the transfer out button may find the urge too compelling.

GW7 MCI (H)
GW8 BUR (A)
GW9 WHU (H)
GW10 BHA (A)
GW11 TOT (H)
GW12 SOU (A)

Zinchenko

The Man City LB was poor v Norwich and whether this lead to him being dropped for Mendy or whether Mandy as the number 1 LB was definitely fit enough to start is fairly moot.  Zinchenko’s number seems pretty much up.  Only a desire to integrate Mendy in slowly by Pep can see any minutes coming for Zinchenko going forward.  As I said above Otamendi seems the safest route into the City defenders

GW7 EVE (A)
GW8 WOL (H)
GW9 CRY (A)
GW10 AVL (H)
GW11 SOU (H)
GW12 LIV (A)

Other posts

GW7 analysing 10 top FPL managers

GW6 review

Early thoughts on the FFGeek team

Form stats

More content

Geek note: If you join our Patreon site you will get access to an FPL contributor tracker team which combines the contributors individual teams each week to show their favourite players, transfers and captains. It will always be completed on a Friday/Saturday in a normal gameweek. There will also be a spreadsheet of each managers teams, transfers and captains so you can drill down further.

You also get:

Joe’s interactive transfer planner and points projection tool

Weekly podcasts with myself and the contributors

FFGeek private leagues

Access to the FFGeek Slack channel for discussion with the contributors and members

$2 and $3 tiers per calendar month. No commitment beyond 1 month

FFGeek league code codes:

fantasy premier league:  fnqq66

Sky Sports fantasy football:  fantasyfootball.skysports.com/leagues/join with PIN 8426114

Telegraph fantasy football:  passcode 8693.  PIN code 8000919.  The telegraph have also offered a prize of £100 to the winner.

Telegraph fantasy football European Super League:   League PIN: 8186902  League Passcode: 2113

Sun Dream Team:

Classic League PIN:  SGDKX9Y3

H2H PIN:  SGFU3CR9

Social Media

Follow FFGeek on twitter and facebook and instagram for article updates and news

1 thought on “fantasy premier league transfer tips GW7 – the bandwagons and sinking ships”

Comments are closed.