Here’s the ninth in a series of fantasy premier tips articles where we look at each clubs most disappointing FPL player so far this season and see whether they can rebound this or next season. Hopefully it will identify some value players for this or next season. In this article we’ve looked at Spurs and Watford
fantasy premier tips – Each clubs disappointments and can they rebound? – part 9
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Spurs – Harry Kane £10.8m
To understand why Harry Kane is on the list you need to go back to 17/18 and 16/17 when he scored 29 goals. I remember going to the pub to watch Spurs demolish Leicester 6-1 in GW37 in 16/17 and Kane score 4 goals. He then went on to get a hat trick in GW38 v Hull. A big part of your season was if you had him and captain him in those games. Luckily I had at least had him. I’ve put the you tube links to those games which you might want to watch if you had him as well. They are just ruthless finishing not only inside the box but his shooting ability outside the box is eye watering.
So in underlying stats in 17/18 he was shooting at 5 times per 90 and his xG90 was 0.78. Only Aguero gets anywhere near these numbers. Those are mind boggling numbers.
In 19/20 his xG is 0.40 nearly half of 17/18 and he’s shooting at 2.87 shots per 90. Not that far off half as well. It’s just a monumental fall from the heady heights. The stories that someone would pay £200m for him are an absolute joke
Can he rebound? I very much doubt it. Injuries and his penchant for dropping deep can’t help the situation. I imagine Mourinho will want him to be more of a focal point though which may help.
Watford – Gerard Deulofeu £6.1m
The disappointments started early with Deulofeu. 18/19 was a very successful season with him classified as a midfielder but playing as a forward. the PPM was good for the price and the underlying stats good as well.
However, an FPL reclassification as a forward was the first meaning the extra point for a goal as a midfielder and clean sheet point would be lost. The reclassification was fairly inevitable as he played most of the season in 18/19 as a forward. Ironically one of the problems in 19/20 has been an even split of games between LM/LW and as a CF. The latest manager, Nigel Pearson, seems to definitely sees him as a wide player. While in underlying volumes the change of position over the season didn’t make much all the other stats dropped markedly. PPM,xG and PP90 were well down.
It’s hard to see a rebound as a left sided player this or next season.
I outline my FPL strategy along with 10 other FFGeek contributors in our new EBook.
Other posts
Best fixtures until the end of the season attackers
Best fixtures to the end of the season defenders
A deep dive on the 10 top FPL managers stats
Andrew Whitfield gradual wildcard
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