Here’s our FPL best fixtures GW10 with our fixture ease schedules. Here we look at the teams and players with the best fixtures from an attacking players and a defensive players perspective over the next 6 gameweeks.
FPL best fixtures GW10 – a fixture ease schedule for attacking players and defensive players
Geek note. This article was written and posted before the Monday night Sheffield United v Arsenal game
Methodology
Were getting near to the point where I will only use 19/20 data but I’m still basing it on 18/19 and making adjustments for current form etc. I’m expecting to move fully to 19/20 data over the November International break before GW13
The idea is to have 2 fixture ease schedules as teams don’t have the same quality of defence as they do attack. Take Arsenal for instance. One will rank the teams by the ease of the opposition defences they face over the upcoming games. That will be called the attackers fixture ease schedule.
The 2nd will rank the teams by the ease of the attacking teams they face. This will be called the defenders fixture ease schedule.
I have done this by looking at the goals scored last season to rank attacking teams and goals conceded last season to rank defensive teams on a home and away basis. I’ve then applied a factor against the average goals home and away. I have adjusted some of the factors if a team over or under performed their expected goals by a considerable margin but that was only in a low number of cases. For the promoted teams I have tried to find a proxy team from 18/19 teams and used their data although there are some adjustments as we get a look at them. I’ve also made subjective adjustments for transfer activity. I will keep using last seasons data adjusted until I feel there is enough to move onto this seasons.
I have a fixture graphic below which I’ve colour coded for difficulty. It is just to improve the visual aspect of the schedule and the factors I’ve talked about above, rather than the just the colours, are basis for calculation.
A fixture ease schedule for attacking players
Here’s a graphic where the teams are ranked by the ease of the defences they face over the next 6 gameweeks. There’s attacking player suggestions below.
Attacking player suggestions
Geek note. This article was written and posted before the Monday night Sheffield United v Arsenal game
Here I’ve picked out the teams with the best fixtures with an emphasis on the next and early fixtures. That’s Man Utd, Arsenal and Watford
I’ve put their 18/19 points per match, their 19/20 points per match and their positional form ranking from my underlying stats form article up to GW8. Up to GW9 not completed as I write this.
Man Utd
£8.4m fwd Rashford – 18/19 PPM – 3.9 PPM 19/20 – 5.2 form ranking 9. Rashford has penalty duties
I’ve not included Martial and Pogba due to fitness issues. Martial was a sub v Liverpool but Pogba was not. Europa League fixtures may help clear this up.
Arsenal
£11.1m fwd Aubameyang – 18/19 PPM – 5.7 PPM 19/20 – 6.9 form ranking 8. Aubameyang has penalty duties.
£9.3m mid Pepe – scored a goal or assist every 101 minutes for Lille in 18/19. 19/20 PPM – 3.4 form ranking 11
I’ve not included Lacazette as a lot depends on whether he starts on Monday or in the Europa League match after his injury lay off
Watford
No one at this stage. I have Cleverley in my FPL team but only as a bench possible rotation player.
A fixture ease schedule for defensive players
Here’s a graphic where the teams are ranked by the ease of the attacking teams they face over the next 6 gameweeks. There’s defensive player suggestions below.
Defensive player suggestions
Geek note. This article was written and posted before the Monday night Sheffield United v Arsenal game
Here I’ve picked out the teams with the best fixtures with an emphasis on the next and early fixtures. That’s Arsenal, Wolves, West Ham and Manchester City
I’ve put their 18/19 points per match and their 19/20 points per match
Arsenal
Until we see the lineup tonight and midweek in the Europa I’d be reluctant to suggest anyone other than GK Leno
£5.0m GK Leno – 18/19 PPM – 3.3. PPM 19/20 – 3.4
West Ham
£4.4m GK Roberto new to FPL – PPM 19/20 – 2.7
£4.5m Def Fredericks – 18/19 PPM – 2.7. PPM 19/20 – 3.1
Wolves
£5.2m GK Patricio – 18/19 PPM – 3.2. PPM 19/20 – 4.6
£5.0m Def Boly – 18/19 PPM – 3.3. PPM 19/20 – 4.2
Man City
With Otamendi injured it’s impossible to recommend anyone except the GK from a gametime perspective except the GK Ederson
£6.1m GK Ederson – 18/19 PPM – 4.4. PPM 19/20 – 3.9
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