Here’s our FPL best fixtures GW11 with our fixture ease schedules. Here we look at the teams and players with the best fixtures from an attacking players and a defensive players perspective over the next 6 gameweeks.
FPL best fixtures GW11 – a fixture ease schedule for attacking players and defensive players
Methodology
Were getting near to the point where I will only use 19/20 data but I’m still basing it on 18/19 and making adjustments for current form etc. I’m expecting to move fully to 19/20 data over the November International break before GW13
The idea is to have 2 fixture ease schedules as teams don’t have the same quality of defence as they do attack. Take Arsenal for instance. One will rank the teams by the ease of the opposition defences they face over the upcoming games. That will be called the attackers fixture ease schedule.
The 2nd will rank the teams by the ease of the attacking teams they face. This will be called the defenders fixture ease schedule.
I have done this by looking at the goals scored last season to rank attacking teams and goals conceded last season to rank defensive teams on a home and away basis. I’ve then applied a factor against the average goals home and away. I have adjusted some of the factors if a team over or under performed their expected goals by a considerable margin but that was only in a low number of cases. For the promoted teams I have tried to find a proxy team from 18/19 teams and used their data although there are some adjustments as we get a look at them. I’ve also made subjective adjustments for transfer activity. I will keep using last seasons data adjusted until I feel there is enough to move onto this seasons.
I have a fixture graphic below which I’ve colour coded for difficulty. It is just to improve the visual aspect of the schedule and the factors I’ve talked about above, rather than the just the colours, are basis for calculation.
Player values are Tuesday 29 October.
A fixture ease schedule for attacking players
Here’s a graphic where the teams are ranked by the ease of the defences they face over the next 6 gameweeks. There’s attacking player suggestions below.
Attacking player suggestions
Here I’ve picked out the 5 teams with the best fixtures. That’s Leicester, Watford ,Wolves, Norwich and Arsenal
I’ve put their 18/19 points per match, their 19/20 points per match:
Leicester
£9.2m fwd Vardy – 18/19 PPM – 5.1 PPM 19/20 – 7.4. Has penalty duties
£7.3m mid Maddison – 18/19 PPM – 3.8 PPM 19/20 – 4.9
£6.5m mid Tielemans – 18/19 PPM – 4.8 PPM 19/20 – 4.8
£6.1m mid Perez – 18/19 PPM – 3.8 PPM 19/20 – 4.7
Watford
No one at the moment
Wolves
£7.2m fwd Jimenez – 18/19 PPM – 4.8 PPM 19/20 – 4.3. Has penalty duties.
Norwich
£6.9m fwd Pukki – 18/19 PPM – n/a PPM 19/20 – 5.7
Arsenal
£11.1m fwd Aubameyang – 18/19 PPM – 5.7 PPM 19/20 – 5.9 Aubameyang has penalty duties.
£9.3m mid Pepe – scored a goal or assist every 101 minutes for Lille in 18/19. 19/20 PPM – 3.1
£9.3m fwd Lacazette – 18/19 PPM – 4.7 PPM 19/20 – 4.0
A fixture ease schedule for defensive players
Here’s a graphic where the teams are ranked by the ease of the attacking teams they face over the next 6 gameweeks. There’s defensive player suggestions below.
Defensive player suggestions
Here I’ve picked out the 5 teams with the best fixtures in the schedule. That’s Arsenal, Man Utd, Wolves, Man City and West Ham
I’ve put their 18/19 points per match and their 19/20 points per match.
Arsenal
There’s alot of uncertainty in the lineup and Luiz who is probably safe is expensive so I’ve gone for new LB Tierney and GK Leno
£5.0m GK Leno – 18/19 PPM – 3.3. PPM 19/20 – 3.4
£5.4m Def Tierney – 18/19 PPM – n/a PPM 19/20 – 1.0
Man Utd
£5.5m GK De Gea – 18/19 PPM – 3.2. PPM 19/20 – 3.7
£5.4m Def Maguire – 18/19 PPM – 3.0 PPM 19/20 – 2.5
Wolves
If Doherty could get guaranteed starts as a wingback even at £6.0m he would be worth considering but that’s not the case yet
£5.2m GK Patricio – 18/19 PPM – 3.2. PPM 19/20 – 4.3
£5.0m Def Coady – 18/19 PPM – 3.3. PPM 19/20 – 2.8
Man City
Apart from Ederson you need to accept rotation risk
£6.1m GK Ederson – 18/19 PPM – 4.4. PPM 19/20 – 4.4
£5.9m Def Mendy – 18/19 PPM – 5.9 PPM 19/20 – 4.3
West Ham
£4.4m GK Roberto new to FPL – PPM 19/20 – 2.5
£4.5m Def Diop – 18/19 PPM – 2.6. PPM 19/20 – 2.6
If you’re willing to pay more money there’s Cresswell who appears in front of Masuaku for the LB position although Pellegrini does seem to change lineups a bit
£4.9m Def Cresswell – 18/19 PPM – 1.7. PPM 19/20 – 5.0
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