FPL best fixtures GW7 – a fixture ease schedule for attacking players and defensive players


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Here’s our FPL best fixtures GW7 with our fixture ease schedules. Here we look at the teams and players with the best fixtures from an attacking players and a defensive players perspective over the next 6 gameweeks.

FPL best fixtures GW7 – a fixture ease schedule for attacking players and defensive players

Methodology

Were getting near to the point where I will only use 19/20 data but I’m still basing it on 18/19 and making adjustments for current form etc.

The idea is to have 2 fixture ease schedules as teams don’t have the same quality of defence as they do attack. Take Arsenal for instance.  One will rank the teams by the ease of the opposition defences they face over the upcoming games. That will be called the attackers fixture ease schedule.

The 2nd will rank the teams by the ease of the attacking teams they face. This will be called the defenders fixture ease schedule.

I have done this by looking at the goals scored last season to rank attacking teams and goals conceded last season to rank defensive teams on a home and away basis. I’ve then applied a factor against the average goals home and away. I have adjusted some of the factors if a team over or under performed their expected goals by a considerable margin but that was only in a low number of cases. For the promoted teams I have tried to find a proxy team from 18/19 teams and used their data although there are some adjustments as we get a look at them. I’ve also made subjective adjustments for transfer activity. I will keep using last seasons data adjusted until I feel there is enough to move onto this seasons.

I have a fixture graphic below which I’ve colour coded for difficulty. It is just to improve the visual aspect of the schedule and the factors I’ve talked about above, rather than the just the colours, are basis for calculation.

A fixture ease schedule for attacking players

Here’s a graphic where the teams are ranked by the ease of the defences they face over the next 6 gameweeks. There’s attacking  player suggestions below.




FPL best fixtures GW7

Attacking player suggestions

Here I’ve picked out the teams with the best fixtures with an emphasis on the next and early fixtures. So that’s the first 4 above.

I’ve put their 18/19 points per match, their 19/20 points per match and their positional form ranking from my form article

Chelsea

£7.4m fwd Abraham – scored a goal or assist every 113 minutes for Villa in 18/19. 19/20 PPM – 7.3  form ranking  2

£6.1m mid Mount – scored a goal or assist every 234 minutes for Derby in 18/19. 19/20 PPM – 5.5  form ranking  13

 Bournemouth

£7.8m fwd C Wilson – 18/19 PPM – 5.6. PPM 19/20 – 6.7  form ranking  12

£6.3m fwd King – 18/19 PPM – 4.0 PPM 19/20 – 4.0  form ranking  31

£6.1m mid H Wilson – scored a goal or assist every 173 minutes for Derby in 18/19. 19/20 PPM – 4.6  form ranking 35

Norwich

£7.1m fwd Pukki – scored a goal or assist every 101 minutes for Norwich in 18/19. 19/20 PPM – 8.5  form ranking  4

£5.0m mid Cantwell – scored a goal or assist every 533 minutes for Norwich in 18/19. 19/20 PPM – 4.8  form ranking  5

£6.0m mid Buendia – scored a goal or assist every 143 minutes for Norwich in 18/19. 19/20 PPM – 4.3  form ranking  42

West Ham

£7.4m fwd Haller – scored a goal or assist every 91 minutes for Frankfurt in 18/19. 19/20 PPM – 5.4  form ranking  6

£6.9m mid Anderson – 18/19 PPM – 4.3 PPM 19/20 – 3.6  form ranking  21

£6.5m mid Lanzini– 18/19 PPM – 1. 7 PPM 19/20 – 4.2  form ranking  29

£5.9m mid Yarmalenko – 18/19 PPM – 2.1 PPM 19/20 – 4.8  form ranking  53

Both Lanzini and Yarmalenkos 18/19 PPMs were distorted by sub apps.

A fixture ease schedule for defensive players

Here’s a graphic where the teams are ranked by the ease of the attacking teams they face over the next 6 gameweeks.  There’s defensive player suggestions below.




FPL best fixtures GW7

Defensive player suggestions

I’ve gone for Chelsea, Man City and Spurs.  I’ve avoided Arsenal and West Ham as I think next week would be better entry points.

Chelsea

The only certainties at the moment are Kepa and Azpilicueta.  Tomori looks the favourite for the CB partner of Rudiger when he’s fit due to performances plus Christensen has a probably non serious knock which may or may not be ok for the weekend.  Tomori at £4.5m is such good value you may think it’s worth the uncertainty risk.  Emerson seems to be the number 1 left back but he has an uncertain injury.

£5.5m GK Kepa – 18/19 PPM – 3.9. PPM 19/20 – 1.3

£5.9m Def Azpilicueta – 18/19 PPM – 4.2. PPM 19/20 – 2.0

Man City

With Stones and Laporte injured Otamendi becomes the only safe starter with Mendy replacing Zinchenko but early back from injury and Cancelo potential to replace Walker

£6.1m GK Ederson – 18/19 PPM – 4.4. PPM 19/20 – 4.2

£5.5m Def Otamendi – 18/19 PPM – 3.9. PPM 19/20 – 4.8

Spurs

The CBs of Vertonghen and Alderweireld seem fairly safe but offer little attacking potential.  Aurier and Rose do offer attacking potential but will be subject to rotation and Aurier has yet to face the competition of a fit Foyth.

£5.5m GK Lloris – 18/19 PPM – 4.4 PPM 19/20 – 3.8

£5.5m Def Alderweireld – 18/19 PPM – 3.1 PPM 19/20 – 2.8

£5.3m Def Vertonghen – 18/19 PPM – 3.0 PPM 19/20 – 2.3

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