Here’s our FPL forwards GW13 player rankings article. There’s a table of stats to help and a spreadsheet that can be filtered how you like to help you make a transfer choice
FPL forwards GW13 – player rankings
This is the 3rd article in the player rankings series. There’s also defenders/GKs and the midfielders player rankings
Methodology
I’ve picked a selection of forwards who I think will start GW13 although where there is doubt it is mentioned in the commentary below.
I’ve then looked at their expected goals and assists data in 19/20 so far as well as how it relates to their historical numbers. After that I’ve then adjusted it for their ability to over/underperform, their bonus potential, their average minutes played and their upcoming 6 fixtures
Stats definitions
FFG Proj PPG: The PPG going forward using the above methodology adjusted for minutes played and upcoming fixtures
FPL PPM 19/20: The points per match from the fantasy premier league website
Rank form: Their ranking in my current form table for the position.
Av minutes: The average minutes played per match to date. Non appearances aren’t counted. There is some discretionary adjustments for non representative sub appearances
Consistency %: the % of starts where the player has scored a goal or assist. Only appearance of 45 mins or more count
Fixture ease: this is ranking for attacking players from my fixture ease schedule article. See also below
ATGS GW13: the anytime goal scorer bookies odds for GW13 for £1 invested.
The schedule ranked by projected points per match
Here is the link to the google spreadsheet. You can go to file>make a copy and then sort it how you like.
The schedule is ranked by my projected points over 6 gameweeks. See above for the methodology and definitions
Just the one note
Kane and Aguero
Both are ranked quite low for their pedigree. Kane is affected by a drop off in underlying stats and a mixed schedule. Aguero is due to the average minutes being quite low and due to a drop off in stats although his is from a ridiculously high base. Aguero has a quite tough schedule although you could argue he’s fixture proof. If you think that then your only concern is his minutes
Fixture ease schedule
Here’s how I’ve rated the teams by the ease of the defences they face over the next 6 games. Just in case you want to check out fixtures when thinking about a transfer.
The forward form schedule
Here I’ve turned the last 10 gameweeks and 5 gameweeks into FPL points and ranked them. It also gives you a chance to see their xG and xA over the last 10 weeks. All from the excellent free site understat
More content
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Other posts
Early thoughts on the FFGeek team
FFGeek contributors show their GW13 teams part 1
Help Alex Ball choose his transfers for GW13
FFGeek contributors show their teams Part 2
Defender and GK player rankings
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