Here’s our FPL forwards GW18 player rankings article. I’m trialing a new format but as usual there’s a table of stats to help and a spreadsheet that can be filtered how you like to help you make a transfer choice
FPL forwards GW18 player rankings
This is the 3rd article in the player rankings series. There’s also defenders and GKs and midfielder rankings
New Methodology
I’m trying a new method for the article which is amalgamates my form article with the player rankings article.
I’ve ordered the players by their underlying stats ranking when I convert their xG and xA over the last 10 gameweeks into FPL points for goals and assists. That figure is adjusted for the average minutes played over the last 10 gameweeks.
I’ve then provided a range of different stats to help you choose which player is the best for a transfer in.
Stats definitions
Form s/10/5. These are the form rankings for season, for the last 10 gameweeks and the last 5 game weeks. They are the average minutes adjusted rankings once the xG and xA are converted into FPL points. The lower the number the better the ranking.
Starts – this looks the their recent history in starting matches. 3/5 means they started 3 of the last 5. L 11 means they started the last 11
Av minutes: The average minutes played in the last 10 gameweeks. Non appearances aren’t counted.
PPM – the fantasy premier league sites points per match.
Fixture ease: this is ranking for attacking players over the next 6 gameweeks from my fixture ease schedule article. The lower the number the better the fixtures
Consistency %: the % of starts where the player has scored a goal or assistover the season. Only appearance of 45 mins or more count
ATGS: the anytime goal scorer bookies odds for GW18 for £1 invested.
VFM: A Value for Money calculation by dividing the theoretical season goal and assist points by the players value. The higher the better.
The schedule ranked by forwards underlying stats over the last 10 gameweeks
Here is the link to the google spreadsheet. You can go to file>make a copy and then sort it how you like.
The schedule is not adjusted for Fixtures however the players fixture ease ranking is included along with a load of other stats
So for example if you take Abraham you can see his season and last 10 form are great but they have dropped off in the last 5 GWks to being ranked 10th. He pretty much starts every game and his average minutes are good. His PPM is excellent at 6.2 as are the fixture ranking at 5. His season consistency of returns at 53% is very good and his anytime goalscoring odds are really good for GW18 vs Spurs at £2.00. His value for money at 12.6 looks very good too based on those last 10 gameweeks. It’s just how much you think his drop off in underlying stats form over the last 5 gameweeks affects your decision as to whether you transfer him in.
Injury doubts
The following players are injury doubts with fantasy premier league website % next to them
All 75% – Connolly, Wood, King and Pukki
Not on the schedule and 25% Callum Wilson and Aguero
Not on the schedule due to gametime risk
Lacazette who hasn’t started the last 2. Rodriguez of Burnley and Solanke of Bournemouth. Both may start depending on injuries in their team though.
The fixture ease schedule for attacking players
Here’s the schedule which ranks the teams by the ease of the defences they face over the next 6 gameweeks. You can then see the schedule they face if you’re thinking of transferring a player in
Here’s the form schedule in it’s original format
Players are ranked by their underlying stats converted to FPL goal and assist points over the last 10 gameweeks. You can see their individual xG90 and xA90
More content
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Other posts
Early thoughts on the FFGeek team
FFGeek GW18 captain and transfers poll
FFGeek contributors show their GW18 teams part 1
GW18 defender and GK player rankings
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