Here’s our FPL forwards GW23 player rankings article. I’m continuing the new format but as usual there’s a table of stats to help and a spreadsheet that can be filtered how you like to help you make a transfer choice
FPL forwards GW23 player rankings
This is the 2nd article in the player rankings series. There’s also defenders and GKs rankings
All the stats are from the free site understat
New Methodology
I’m trying a new method for the article which is amalgamates my form article with the player rankings article.
I’ve ordered the players by their underlying stats ranking when I convert their xG and xA over the last 10 gameweeks into FPL points for goals and assists. That figure is adjusted for the average minutes played over the last 10 gameweeks.
I’ve then provided a range of different stats to help you choose which player is the best for a transfer in.
Stats definitions
Form s/10/5. These are the form rankings for season, for the last 10 gameweeks and the last 5 game weeks. They are the average minutes adjusted rankings once the xG and xA are converted into FPL points. The lower the number the better the ranking.
Av minutes: The average minutes played in the last 10 gameweeks. Non appearances aren’t counted.
PPM – the fantasy premier league sites points per match.
Fixture ease: this is ranking for attacking players over the next 6 gameweeks from my fixture ease schedule article. The lower the number the better the fixtures
Consistency %: the % of starts where the player has scored a goal or assistover the season. Only appearance of 45 mins or more count
ATGS: the anytime goal scorer bookies odds for GW23 for £1 invested.
VFM: A Value for Money calculation by dividing the theoretical season goal and assist points by the players value. The higher the better.
SH90 KP90: shots and key passes per 90 minutes played.
The schedule ranked by forwards underlying stats over the last 10 gameweeks
Here is the link to the google spreadsheet. You can go to file>make a copy and then sort it how you like.
The schedule is not adjusted for Fixtures however the players fixture ease ranking is included along with a load of other stats. 360 minutes in last 10 required.
Injury and gametime omissions
The following players are injured or doubts and are therefore NOT included in the above schedule with fantasy premier league website % next to them
Kane, Wesley, Ashley Barnes, Josh King are all out and not included
The following are 75% doubts on the FPL site and I’ve therefore kept them in. Pukki, Rashford and Wood are 75% are included but need monitoring.
Aubameyang is suspended
The following have been omitted due to gametime insecurity
Mousset, McBurnie and McGoldrick as Wilder continues to rotate.
I’ve kept the Jesus in as the rotation with Man City would mean no players in any schedules
Aguero
Aguero didn’t play the requisite minutes for the schedule and his average minutes were only 53 per game over the last 10. His xG90 and xA90 were still an impressive 0.71 and 0.11. However the average minutes would have given him a false position.
For that reason I’ve kept him out but I’d like to think you don’t need to tell me about how good Aguero is
The fixture ease schedule for attacking players
Here’s the schedule which ranks the teams by the ease of the defences they face over the next 6 gameweeks. You can then see the schedule they face if you’re thinking of transferring a player in
Here’s the form schedule in it’s original format
Players are ranked by their underlying stats converted to FPL goal and assist points over the last 10 gameweeks. You can see their individual xG90 and xA90.
More content
Geek note: If you join our Patreon site you will get access to an FPL contributor tracker team which combines the contributors individual teams each week to show their favourite players, transfers and captains. It will always be completed on a Friday/Saturday in a normal gameweek. There will also be an accompanying spreadsheet so you can drill down further. Currently 1,298 points 53k overall rank
You also get:
Weekly podcasts with the Geek and the other contributors
Joe’s interactive transfer planner and points projection tool plus PlannerTeam Currently 1,280 points 105k overall rank
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NEW Weekly FFGeek contributor imaginary wildcard articles
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Other posts
Early thoughts on the FFGeek team
FFGeek contributors show their GW23 teams part 1
GW23 Defender and GK player Rankings
FFGeek early transfer for GW23
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