FPL forwards GW28 player rankings


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Here’s our FPL forwards GW28 player rankings article. There’s a table of stats to help and a spreadsheet that can be filtered how you like to help you make a transfer choice

FPL forwards GW28 player rankings

This is the 3rd article in the player rankings series. There’s also defenders and GKs rankings plus midfielder player rankings

All the stats are from the free site understat

Methodology

I’ve ordered the players by their underlying stats ranking when I convert their xG and xA over the last 10 gameweeks into FPL points for goals and assists. That figure is adjusted for the average minutes played over the last 10 gameweeks.

I’ve then provided a range of different stats to help you choose which player is the best for a transfer in.

Stats definitions

Form s/10/5. These are the form rankings for season, for the last 10 gameweeks and the last 5 game weeks. They are the average minutes adjusted rankings once the xG and xA are converted into FPL points. The lower the number the better the ranking.

Av minutes: The average minutes played in the last 10 gameweeks. Non appearances aren’t counted.

PPM – the fantasy premier league sites points per match.

Fixture ease: this is ranking for attacking players over the next 6 gameweeks from my fixture ease schedule article. The lower the number the better the fixtures

ATGS: the anytime goal scorer bookies odds for GW28 for £1 invested.

VFM: A Value for Money calculation by dividing the theoretical season goal and assist points by the players value. The higher the better.

The schedule ranked by forwards underlying stats over the last 10 gameweeks

Here is the link to the google spreadsheet. You can go to file>make a copy and then sort it how you like.

This is an objective schedule which converst underlying sstats into FPL points.  It is not adjusted for Fixtures however the players fixture ease ranking is included along with a load of other stats. 360 minutes in last 10 required.




FPL forwards GW27 player rankings

A few words about some unusual ranks

First of all Sergio Aguero would be miles ahead of everyone if he played anything like decent minutes. His average of 59 minutes over the last 10 is his downfall.  Over the season he is first.

Calvert Lewin is killing it with a season xG of 0.61.  Only Aguero and Jesus have a better non penalty xG90 for the season

Troy Deeney is unrealistically high.   He’s in a pretty false position due to a big penalty bounce and his season ranking of 10 is more realistic.

Jamie Vardy’s has just been bad over the last 10 and worse over the last 5.  His season ranking of 6 is what you’re holding on to.

Danny Ings’s low place is easy to explain.  Basically only Aubameyang has out performed their xG more. That goes against his history which is a concern.  Is he better due to being injury free or luckier? His xG90 is still at a good level and comparable to Jimenez although Jimenez has vastle superior xA.

Aubameyangs stats are also less than you’d want for the price.  He is the biggest overperformer of xG. Like Ings though he has no history of doing this. However he hasn’t really got the penalty boost you’d expect if you’re looking for positives.

Diogo Jota is another player hampered by his average minutes.  His season xG90 is a respectable .49 for the season although he does little on the xA side.

Blanks GWks GW28 and GW31

You may have seen my recent article on the blanks and doubles

Blank GW28

The EFL cup final clashes with GW28 meaning there are the following postponements.

Sheffield United v Aston Villa

Man City v Arsenal

Where they go is yet to be determined.

Blank GW31

The FA Cup 6th round clashes with GW31 meaning there are postponements;

The only guaranteed games are

Burnley v Watford

Wolves v Bournemouth

Norwich v Everton will remain if Norwich lose to Spurs in the 5th round

Injury omissions from the schedule

Wesley – out for the season

Chris Woods and Ashley Barnes are both doubts for GW28 so I’ve omitted them

Rashford seems like he may not be back until April

Kane is also a long term injury.

Gametime omissions from the schedule

Lacazette, Martinelli, Rodriguez, Solanke, Moussett, Haller, Jesus

Note: I’ve assumed Abraham will get his place back for GW28.

The fixture ease schedule for attacking players

Here’s the schedule which ranks the teams by the ease of the defences they face over the next 3 gameweeks. I’ve shortened it due to the uncertainty of fixtures in GW31. You can then see the schedule they face if you’re thinking of transferring a player in.




 FPL forwards GW28 player rankings

More content

Geek note:  If you join our Patreon site you will get access to an FPL contributor tracker team which combines the contributors individual teams each week to show their favourite players, transfers and captains. It will always be completed on a Friday/Saturday in a normal gameweek. There will also be an accompanying spreadsheet so you can drill down further.  Currently 1,593 points 41k overall rank

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Other Posts

GW28 fixture ease

Bandwagons and sinking ships for GW28

Early thoughts on the FFGeek team

Analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers

The FFGeek captain poll for GW28

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