Here’s our FPL forwards GW29 player rankings article. There’s a table of stats to help and a spreadsheet that can be filtered how you like to help you make a transfer choice
FPL forwards GW29 player rankings
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This is the 3rd article in the player rankings series. There’s also defenders and GKs rankings plus midfielder player rankings
All the stats are from the free site understat
Methodology
The ranking is entirely objective and Maths based. I’ve ordered the players by their underlying stats ranking when I convert their xG and xA over the last 10 gameweeks into FPL points for goals and assists. That figure is adjusted for the average minutes played over the last 10 gameweeks.
I’ve then provided a range of different stats to help you choose which player is the best for a transfer in.
Stats definitions
Form s/10/5. These are the form rankings for season, for the last 10 gameweeks and the last 5 game weeks. They are the average minutes adjusted rankings once the xG and xA are converted into FPL points. The lower the number the better the ranking.
Av minutes: The average minutes played in the last 10 gameweeks. Non appearances aren’t counted.
PPM – the fantasy premier league sites points per match.
Fixture ease: I have yet to do this but will endeavor to come back to it. This is generally the ranking ranking for attacking players over the next 6 gameweeks from my fixture ease schedule article. The lower the number the better the fixtures
ATGS: the anytime goal scorer bookies odds for GW29 for £1 invested.
VFM: A Value for Money calculation by dividing the theoretical season goal and assist points by the players value. The higher the better.
The schedule ranked by forwards underlying stats over the last 10 gameweeks
Here is the link to the google spreadsheet. You can go to file>make a copy and then sort it how you like.
This is an objective schedule which convert underlying stats into FPL points. The schedule is not adjusted for fixtures. There’s no fixture ease article at the moment and no bookies odds for game 2 Man City v Arsenal. 360 minutes in last 10 required.
Players not in the schedule
Rashford, Abraham and Deulofeu are not in there due to injury.
Jesus, Lacazette, Rodriguez, Mousset, Martinelli, Kean, Iheanacho, Obafemi, Murray, Sharp, Solanke, McGoldrick and Greenwood aren’t there due to lack of gametime security.
Players who didn’t qualify for 360 minutes. Benteke, Josh King and Samatta.
Comments on a couple of players
The schedule merely converts their underlying stats into theotrtical FPL points.
Aubameyang and Ings are 2 players on the face of it you would think would be higher. The reason for that is they are both significantly over performing their underlying stats. Neither have any significant history of doing so.
Jota’s stats are incredible over the last 10. If his average minutes were better he could even be close to the top.
Vardy’s stats have just been plain miserable
Other posts
Analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers
Early thoughts on the FFGeek team
Monitoring the FA Cup results to determine blank GW31
Defender player rankings for GW29
Fantasy premier league double gameweek 29 announced
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