FPL forwards – player rankings for GW12


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Here’s our  FPL forwards player rankings article for GW12. There’s a range of stats plus commentary on each player and their next 6 fixtures. This will help you choose the best transfer for your team

  FPL forwards – player rankings for GW12

First it’s important to remember that each player is ranked as a transfer target for this week. So while we generally look at fixtures, form and underlying stats a player who’s away to Man City is going to be ranked lower than someone home to Huddersfield for example. If possible a transfer should have a good fixture first up.

Firstly there’s a table of stats. Then there’s a bit of brief commentary on each player and their next 6 fixtures.

This is the 4th player rankings article. I’ve also written a defenders and GKs player rankings article a budget midfielders article  and a premium midfielders article

STATS DEFINITIONS

Fixt Ease: The ease of the mentioned fixture range from an attacking perspective. See our GW12 fixture ease article

Mins per FPL Pt. The amount of minutes a player takes to earn an FPL point. The shorter and obviously lower the number is the better

ATGS – the bookies anytime goalscoring odds for GW12.

xG and xA per 90 – the expected goals and assists per 90 minutes played from the better than excellent site understat.com. See our underlying stats summary for expected goal information on teams and players. See also Joseph Crilleys GW11 review part 1 with underlying stats and part 2

The Schedule




FPL forwards

Aguero

With any Man City attacking player the only limitation at the moment is gametime.  Aguero has an added dimension this week with his “dizzy spell” or “fainting” depending on whether you believe the club or other press.  Whatever the situation is the key will be the press conference of Pep  and hopefully he will be more helpful than on other occaisions.

Aguero seems to be the number 1 striker and Pep seems to be settling on a 1 striker system. Whatever the case there will undoubtedly be rotation.  However when on the pitch he is ahead of anybody in returns and underlying stats by some distance.  Has pens too.

Leicester (A)
Huddersfield (A)
Southampton (H)
West Ham (H)
Man Utd (A)
Swansea (A)

Lukaku

Lets not kid ourselves the last 4 games have been a goal threat disaster from Lukaku’s point of view with 2 assists not really papering over the cracks.  3 tough fixtures didn’t help the situation and neither did Mournho’s desire not to lose in at least 2 of them.  Lukaku now has the chance to get back to what he has been doing best and that’s battering teams lower down the table.  Doesn’t have pens.

Newcastle (H)
Brighton (H)
Watford (A)
Arsenal (A)
Man City (H)
Bournemouth (H)

Morata

8 whole games shall we call them and 2 part games have seen 7 goals and 3 assists fr the new comer to the premier league.  Incredibly he’s returned a goal or assist in 6 of those 8 games.  The underlying stats are good too if not Aguero good.  At GW14 there’s also a very juicy run of fixtures.  The only real negative is whether he can take physically the December period when the last 2 seasons he’s been a sub principally

West Brom (A)
Liverpool (A)
Swansea (H)
Newcastle (H)
West Ham (A)
Huddersfield (A)

Kane

The conundrum is simple if that actually makes sense?  How can you have a player who is the most expensive in the FPL that can’t seem to score in the home games that you want him too but is devastating away?

You either decide he’s a colossal waste of money or just captain someone else in his home games.

There’s only so long you can peddle the great underlying stats at home stuff and to be quite frank against Swansea and Palace at home the underlying stats were terrible.

However it’s gard to ignore someone who’s had 4 double figure FPL point hauls in 10 starts.  However it’s also easy to forget that Aguero, Jesus and Morata all have better returns when on the pitch and Lukaku, Jesus and Aguero also have better underlying stats when on the pitch.

Does have pens and some direct free kicks.

Arsenal (A)
West Brom (H)
Leicester (A)
Watford (A)
Stoke (H)
Brighton (H)




Jesus

Jesus’s rank is purely about gametime risk.  His returns and underlying stats are phenomenal.  When on the pitch he will score.  It’s just Aguero seems favoured as does a single striker system.  The worry is that Jesus spearheads Pep’s desire to win the FA Cup and the EFL cup.

May play this weekend depending on the Aguero dizziness prognosis

Leicester (A)
Huddersfield (A)
Southampton (H)
West Ham (H)
Man Utd (A)
Swansea (A)

Firmino

Firmino isn’t a striker.  He’s someone who starts centrally and ends up drifting around to help everyone else score.  3 goals and 2 assists isn’t a disaster but it’s 1 goal and no assists in his last 8 games that is the disaster.  His underlying stats don’t help him either.

Southampton (H)
Chelsea (H)
Stoke (A)
Brighton (A)
Everton (H)
West Brom (H)

Lacazette

6 goals in 9 starts plus 2 sub appearances actually sounds ok but there are far too many games where he does the invisible man impersonation.  The random benchings and the constant subbings for Giroud also aren’t helpful.  A game against Spurs isn’t really a great entry point for a transfer either.  Should have pen duties.

Spurs (H)
Burnley (A)
Huddersfield (H)
Man Utd (H)
Southampton (A)
West Ham (A)

Murray

Hard to judge someone on 5 starts but 4 goals in his last 3 games really is hard to ignore.  These performances haven’t been flukes either as he’s been a real threat in all 3 games.  He is 34 which makes you wonder how consistently he will play but in those 4 games he’s averaged 86 minutes.

His premier league history is interesting.  Not much to say after 14/15 but in that season on limited minutes his stats and underlying stats were positively Aguero like.  So he does have it in him or at least he did a few years ago.  Also has pens.

Stoke (H)
Man Utd (A)
Crystal Palace (H)
Liverpool (H)
Huddersfield (A)
Spurs (A)

Vardy

6 goals in 11 games for the Leicester striker is definitely ok as are his overall underlying stats.  However the underlying stats and goals suggest that against sides that sit deep he has a problem scoring which is not an ideal trait. Maybe Man City will suit him then.

Man City (H)
West Ham (A)
Spurs (H)
Burnley (H)
Newcastle (A)
Southampton (A)

Abraham

4 goals and and assist in 10 starts for the Swansea forward isn’t too bad a return.  The underlying stats are  ok I guess for the price.  However I would say in only 3 games he has been anything like the goal threat you’d want.

Burnley (A)
Bournemouth (H)
Chelsea (A)
Stoke (A)
West Brom (H)
Man City (H)

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4 thoughts on “FPL forwards – player rankings for GW12”

  1. On a WC this week and have decided to go with a real cheepie FWD from Everton, but which one is the right choice?
    Niasse (4.9m) or Calvert-Lewin (5.0m).
    Thanks

  2. Aguero has just declared himself fit for the saturday game. Does changes things on the Wildcard and Forward articles?

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