FPL team tips GW12 – FFGeek contributor’s teams part 3


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Here’s our FPL team tips GW12 article where the 3rd group of the FFGeek contributors show their teams for GW12. In this part there’s Yaniv Salomon, Keith Spencer, Jordan Sadler, Rob Cosgrove, Andrew Pratt and Alex Skinner

FPL team tips GW12 – FFGeek contributor’s teams part 3

Introduction

This is part 3 of the FPL managers who contribute to the FFGeek site with good histories who show their teams each week. This will give people a feel for what other managers are doing. It’s a fairly informal thing with no obligation on anyone and these teams may change at anytime before the deadline without further notice. In the future it also wont cover early transfers. It’s just to give an idea of the trends for the week no more.

See the part 1 contributors and part 2 contributors article.

Yaniv Salomon

Yaniv finished with an overall rank of 4k last season and 8k in 17/18

GW11 points: 77 (FPL average 53) Total points 633 Gameweek rank 614k, Overall Rank: 129k, green arrow 106k, Team Value: £103.6m

Raheem Sterling and Callum Wilson out , Martial and Vardy in.  Wildcard is waiting for the next gameweek




FPL team tips GW12

Keith Spencer

Keith’s last 3 seasons overall ranks were 44k, 3k and an incredible 325th overall

GW11 points: 77 (FPL average 53) Total points 622 Gameweek rank 657k, Overall Rank: 229k, green arrow 183k, Team Value: £101.9m

Carrying over the free transfer

You can follow Keith on twitter here

FPL team tips GW12

Jordan Sadler

Jordan finished in 14k last season and 76k in 17/18

GW11 points: 84 (FPL average 53) Total points 625 Gameweek rank 271k, Overall Rank: 194k, green arrow 293k, Team Value: £102.7m

GW11 Review:

It was a fantastic week for me which resulted in a very big green arrow, my best gameweek of the season so far.

I scored 84 points to make my total points 625 giving me a gameweek rank of 271k, taking me to 194k overall. I decided to do a differential captain pick of Mane and it paid dividends with both De Bruyne and Sterling blanking. I had 6 returns, 4 of which were double figures, including my captain. The only 2 annoyances of the gameweek were Pep/Otamendi costing me 13 points by coming on in the 90th minute and Maddison returning rather than Tielemans.

However, it was still a fantastic week and one I’m hoping to now push on from.

GW12: Overview:

Generally I’m quite happy with my team though there are a couple of obvious issues within the side, namely Otamendi and Wilson. I’ll be looking at shifting Otamendi after this gameweek and then Wilson the one after when his fixtures turn. Ideally I’d have preferred to take both out next gameweek but unsure if it’s worth the hit currently. Still awaiting to hear on Mount’s injury but hopefully he’ll play and if not I’m fine with Lundstram playing instead after his big haul last week.

Transfers: Ryan has definitely performed well for me but with Brighton’s turn in fixtures I decided it was time to swap him out. Spurs have decent fixtures and Gazzaniga is their current number one so he seemed like an obvious pick out of the cheap goalkeepers. Hopefully Spurs can start to turn their fortunes round and perform to their potential, as if they do, he’ll be an absolute bargain at 4.4.

Bench: Reluctantly I’m benching Lundstram after a massive haul last week. Spurs really aren’t performing at their best but surely they will score at least one at home against Sheffield. Saka is bench fodder so he’s always on my bench and Otamendi doesn’t seem to be playing and even if he was it’s away against Liverpool so I wouldn’t start him regardless.

Captain: Now this is the difficult decision of the gameweek. Should you go Vardy vs Arsenal (H), Abraham vs Palace (H) or go a differential such as Mane vs Man City (H).

Scoring odds: Vardy 3/4 , Abraham 4/6, Mane 6/4

G&A this season: Vardy 10&1, Abraham 9&2, Mane 6&2

xG this season: Vardy 4.52, Abraham 6.53, Mane 4.71

xA this season: Vardy 0.77, Abraham 2.25, Mane 2.24

xG defences: Arsenal (A) 8.03, Palace (A) 7.91, Man City (A) 7.81

xG offences: Leicester (H) 6.72, Chelsea (H) 11.33, Liverpool (H) 13.89

As I said in my previous article, I’m quite an analytical person and like to look at the data to make my decisions. Historically Vardy has not been this clinical, in terms of xG over performance, similarly with Abraham though there is less historical data on him. Mane is performing to a similar level of over performance as last season so his stats seem about right for his xG and xA. According to the xG, all the defences are relatively similar between Arsenal, Palace and Man City away from home this season but Liverpool’s offence is clearly very superior.

The scoring probability points to Abraham but the general team quality points towards Mane, especially with this currently weakened defence (potentially with Ederson out also). This for me is a 50/50 call but seeing as the upside of picking Mane is greater than the upside of picking Abraham I think I’m going to captain Mane, with Abraham as my vice captain. I just feel like with the atmosphere of a booming Anfield and the pace of Mane and Salah with the high line of Man City, Liverpool should definitely score at least a couple.

Good luck with gameweek 12.

Transfer summary:  Ryan out Gazzaniga in

You can also read Jordans return to FFGeek article

Also follow Jordan on twitter here




FPL team tips GW12

Andrew Pratt

Andrew finished with an overall rank of 8k last season and 1k in 17/18

GW11 points: 67 -4 (FPL average 53) Total points 612 Gameweek rank 1653k, Overall Rank: 360k, red arrow 25k, Team Value: £102.0m

Thoughts on Gameweek 11

I scored 10 above the average but this was not enough to prevent a fourth consecutive red arrow, my worst run in some time. Lundstram (get him ASAP if you don’t have him) and Soyuncu delivered. Captain Sterling blanked and is now one yellow card away from missing a game. Jorginho picked up a fifth yellow and will miss GW12. Kelly and Greenwood continue to be dead wood in my team.

For GW11 I dropped Aubameyang, Cantwell and Otamendi for Vardy, Tielemans and Mendy. Aubameyang immediately punished me after not returning for each gameweek I had him in for, but all in all I’d take Vardy over him for now. The Tielemans transfer feels right but the Mendy one looks poor in hindsight.

My waning belief in VAR and the way it is being used finally ran aground 80min into the Watford v Chelsea game. The game will change for the worse if VAR is not fixed and I would support shelving it or limiting its use for the remainder of this season.

Thoughts on Gameweek 12 and beyond

There was more midweek frustration for me in Jorginho scoring 2 when they don’t count and Mount getting injured. Worryingly, Mendy played 90min so he might be rotated out for GW12. Sterling played 90min with a goal and another man of the match performance when it doesn’t count. I doubt Pep will rest Sterling or Aguero, who only played about 20min midweek, against Liverpool but nothing would surprise me. Salah played midweek and seems to be over the worst of his ankle troubles.

This week I think there should be healthy returns from Leicester offence so I’ll probably go with Vardy as captain. Chelsea should do well too. The Liverpool v City game will be fascinating. City cannot afford to lose this one but they have a weakened defence and I feel they are likely to concede two or more so they might have to try to outscore Liverpool rather than keep them at bay. It could be high scoring. I hope VAR has done its stretches.

A combination of suspended players, dead wood, injuries, Pep’s likely rotation wheel and poor previous transfers leave me scratching to field 11 players this week. After GW12 is another international break in which we will likely need our free transfers so my transfers this week will be the defensive / conservative type. I have one free transfer and 0.3 in the bank so I will probably use it to bring in Rico for Kelly, who is back on Palace’s bench. I’ll hold Jorginho, who I have not lost faith in and Chelsea do have reasonable fixtures after GW13. Mount’s injury doesn’t look too serious so I’ll try resisting the urge to transfer him out if news comes through of him being unfit this week.

After Kelly is out, the team feels solid generally and good for the weeks approaching Christmas, where our benches will be important. However, at the periphery there are a few worries including Greenwood’s game time, uncertainty over possible rotation of City assets (especially Mendy, who I’m hoping will cement his place back in the team) and a little question mark over Chelsea’s defence. On my watchlist is De Bruyne, Pulisic, Emerson, Alexander Arnold, Wolves offence and Sheffield United (not clear who yet).

I feel that there are lot of teams misfiring right now and I’ll continue to avoid many for now and focus primarily on assets of City, Liverpool, Leicester and Chelsea. It’s a dangerous game.

If you feel you have a few sub-optimal players in your team, you’re not alone. Many managers will be looking uncomfortably at the likes of Salah (is the ankle injury behind him?), Hudson-Odoi, Mount (injured midweek), Alonso (lost his place?), Ederson (injured midweek), Kelly (lost his place), Yarmolenko (limited minutes) and assets of United (poor), City (rotation), Norwich (dire), Watford, Brighton (tough fixtures), Burnley (underperforming), Arsenal, Spurs, West Ham, Everton, etc. It’s a tough time – stay the course and avoid the rage transfer.

This week is a Friday deadline. Good luck, all!

Transfer summary:  likely to be Rico in Kelly out

In the below, see Rico (away to Newcastle) instead of Kelly.

FPL team tips GW12

Rob Cosgrove

Rob’s last 3 seasons overall rank were 45k, 40k and 23k

GW11 points: 72 -4 (FPL average 53) Total points 590 Gameweek rank 1,082k, Overall Rank: 827k, green arrow 221k, Team Value: £101.3m

Despite a great week last week there is a lot of work to do with my team.

Salah, Sterling and De Bruyne are not performing as well as they could do and tie up alot of money in my team. However this week, my defence takes priority.

Van Aanholt has come to the end due to the fixtures turning and I need to start saving some money so I have downgraded him to Saiss of Wolves as their fixtures look great!

I know they have Europa League however they were at home yesterday so no travel issues. The Villa game is a local derby so a clean sheet may be rare however he is cheap and worth a punt (I hope!)

Pukki is on his final appearance in my team and will probably become Jiminez (or Vardy if I get brave and drop one of the big hitters in midfield but that’s for me to contemplate next gameweek).

Captain is Martial who may be a cheeky differential pick this week!

transfer summary:  Van Aanholt out Saiss in

Alex Skinner

Alex’s last 3 seasons were 1k, 302k and an incredible 824th overall

GW11 points: 54 (FPL average 53) Total points 549 Gameweek rank 3,391k, Overall Rank: 2,327k, red arrow 90k, Team Value: £103.0m

I’m rolling with my transfer to give me 2 over the international break.

What could have been last week – Dunk and the man Lundstram left on my bench with Wilson blanking again.

Did think about bringing in Jiménez with his great fixtures coming up and still something I’m really considering but sticking with Wilson again this week.

With Arsenals leaky defence I’m going with Vardy at home as captain, Tammy a very close second vc.

Good luck all

Transer summary:  Carrying over a free transfer

FFGeek contributors League

The FFGeek contributors combined team is going well in 6th place and with 565 points and an overall rank of 119k.  You can follow that team, including live transfers, on our subscription Patreon site.

There’s also Joes transfer planner team with an OR of 595k

There’s loads of other features that you can read about at the bottom of the page

Other posts

10 top FPL managers

Early thoughts on the FFGeek team

GW12 fixture ease schedule

FFGeek contributors show their GW12 teams part 1

GW12 captain and transfer polls

Defender and GK player rankings GW12

Midfield player rankings GW12

Forward player rankings GW12

FFGeek contributors show their teams part 2

Jordan Sadler returns to fantasy football geek

The FFGeek imaginary wildcard

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