FPL underlying stats GW14 – cumulative expected goals/assists and shot/key pass stats to GW13


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Here’s our FPL underlying stats GW14 article where we present expected goals/assist information as well as shot/key pass stats up to and including GW13. We look at stats for individual players by position.

FPL underlying stats GW14 – cumulative expected goals/assists and shot/key pass stats to GW13

Methods and Caveats for player rankings

Expected goals (xG) and assists (xA) is a stat where the probability is evaluated that any given shot or assist of a shot will end up as a goal.

Here I’ve taken the xG90 and xA90 and turned into project attacking FPL points for the season. No appearance points or clean sheet points or bonus just the basic goal and assist points. I’ve included the penalty part of xG .

I’ve then adjusted midfielders and forward for the minutes they would be expected to play in each game. Generally by taking the average of the last 4 matches as a rule of thumb although there is discretion there.

There’s also the Shots and key passes per 90 in the schedule too.

This article is very time consuming and laborious and easy to make mistakes so apologies if there is any. Please point out any in the comments section.

What you see below is a graphic. Here’s the link to the google spreadsheet

The stats are from the excellent free site understat.com and the values are as of Monday 26 November.  The Burnley and Newcastle stats don’t include their Monday night game

Midfielders

The players are ordered by projected FPL points that from the xG90 and xA90 stats to date assuming they played 38 games for and then adjusted for the average minutes expected to play. Doesn’t include bonus, appearance etc just raw attacking points



FPL underlying stats GW14

Note with Sane I looked at his average minutes when starting on the basis that his gametime will be different than the last 4 with Mendy out.

Forwards





The players are ordered by projected FPL points that from the xG90 and xA90 stats to date assuming they played 38 games for and then adjusted for the average minutes expected to play. Doesn’t include bonus, appearance etc just raw attacking points

FPL underlying stats GW14

Defenders

The players are ordered by projected FPL points that from the xG90 and xA90 stats to date assuming they played 38 games for 90 minutes. No minutes adjustment on this one. Only attacking stats not clean sheets or bonus.

FPL underlying stats GW14

See our article on players underlying stats for GW13 only

There’s also our fixture ease article and our bandwagons and sinking ships article

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